reports
- Jeroen van den Broek
- Timothy Rahill
Credit Outlook update/An unstoppable force against an immovable object
As we approach summer and reflect upon the already very busy and volatile first half of the year, we review our Credit Markets Outlook for 2025 and offer an update on our views, positioning and forecasts for the remainder of the year. We include our Picks and Pans on the Utilities, TMT, Real Estate and Bank sectors.
GFC GECINA SA
PBB DEUTSCHE PFANDBRIEFBANK AG
PSA PUBLIC STORAGE
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
ORSTED ORSTED
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
ICAD ICADE SA
DLR DIGITAL REALTY TRUST INC.
TEF TELEFONICA SA
SAB BANCO DE SABADELL SA
GRDDY GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Bible 1Q25: Telecom Infrastructure – Mobile stabilizes off the lows, ...
Today, we are publishing the Telecom Infrastructure section of our 27th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Enterprise IT and PCs. Fixed equipment revenues are rebounding from the inventory correction, rising 9% YoY. RAN spending is stabilizing, up l...
- Carole Braudeau
- Carole Braudeau
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 09 JUNE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: CAIXABANK, ENCE, FERROVIAL, NATURGY, TELEFÓNICA, VISCOFAN. Stock markets try to climb above highs Despite the absence of good macroeconomic data last week, stock markets ended with gains, fuelled by the US (the S&P500 rose around +1.7%) and by the better employment data at the end of the week. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors last weekk were Technology and Pharma, whereas Autos and Media ended with the biggest drops. On the macro side, in the euro zone, the 1Q’25 GDP ...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 09 JUNIO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAIXABANK, ENCE, FERROVIAL, NATURGY, TELEFÓNICA, VISCOFAN. Las bolsas siguen intentando superar los máximos A pesar de una semana sin buenos datos macro, las bolsas terminaron al alza con el empuje de EE.UU. donde el S&P 500 subió un +1,1%. En el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores de la semana fueron Tecnología y Farma frente a Autos y Media que fueron los que más cayeron. En la Eurozona el PIB 1T’25 se revisó al alza 0,3 p.p. hasta el 1,5% a/a mientras...
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
- Jeroen van den Broek
- Jesse Norcross
- Nadège Tillier
- Timothy Rahill
- James Ratzer
The company started seeing signs of recovery as subscriber losses begu...
As we expected, the UK merger completed this morning, so we wanted to take this opportunity to highlight the note we put out on Saturday, in which we published our new model (including the UK merger, and assuming Vodafone buys out the Hutchinson minority in 3 years’ time). The terms of the deal are as initially announced. We believe the value creation is +9p per share, included within our 120p price target. We still see >50% upside from current levels.
- James Ratzer
Vodafone (Buy, 120p, +56%) Was 135p Target price/ model update: T...
We don't usually aim to publish price target updates over the weekend, so please do forgive us, but with today being May 31st and Vodafone's desire to close the UK merger during H1 and at a month-end, we would like to think that the UK deal closing could be very imminent - and maybe even today.
Deutsche Telekom AG: 1 director
A director at Deutsche Telekom AG sold after exercising options/sold 30,000 shares at 34.213EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 75/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directo...
- James Ratzer
TeleColumbus (Overweight) Updated model and outlook post Q1 results
TeleColumbus reported Q1 results last night – and for our detailed review of the quarter, please see our note HERE.Now, following the management call, we publish an updated model to reflect the comments around the more competitive environment in the market. In this note, we run through our changes to estimates, liquidity and valuation.
- Ben Rickett
- James Ratzer
- Russell Waller
- Felix Fischer
Europe HY Trade Book - May 2025 - Lucror Analytics
The Europe HY Trade Book for May 2025 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry. We also discuss the US tariff situation and key related impacts.
SCHP SECHE ENVIRONNEMENT
PFD PREMIER FOODS PLC
AMS AMS AG
CO CASINO GUICHARD-PERRACHON SA
VK VALLOUREC SA
TLW TULLOW OIL PLC
EO FAURECIA SA
105I SAPPI LIMITED
TEVA.N TEVA PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRIES LIMITED SPONSORED ADR
LBTYA LIBERTY GLOBAL PLC CLASS A
CSTM CONSTELLIUM SE CLASS A
CCK CROWN HOLDINGS INC.
RXL REXEL SA
DBG DERICHEBOURG SA
725180 STADA ARZNEIMITTEL AG
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
TNET TELENET GROUP HOLDING NV
TUI1 TUI AG
NEX NEXANS SA
VED VEDANTA RESOURCES PLC
VCP VICTORIA PLC
AF AIR FRANCE-KLM SA
BBD.B BOMBARDIER INC. CLASS B
SYNT SYNTHOMER PLC
INTRUM INTRUM AB
888 888 HOLDINGS PLC
IPF INTERNATIONAL PERSONAL FINANCE PLC
ENQ ENQUEST PLC
EDR EDREAMS ODIGEO SA
TC1 TELE COLUMBUS AG
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
103M SASOL LIMITED
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
REC RECORDATI INDUSTRIA CHIMICA E FARMACEUTICA S.P.A.
TGS TGS-NOPEC GEOPHYSICAL COMPANY ASA
TALK TALKTALK TELECOM GROUP PLC
TATAMOTORS TATA MOTORS LIMITED
PL8 PLAYTECH PLC
ARW ARROW GLOBAL GROUP PLC
NEMAKA NEMAK S.A.B. DE C.V.
SPIE SPIE SA
CEXA CEMEX SAB DE CV (ADR)
ARD ARDAGH GROUP S.A. CLASS A
PFL PFLEIDERER GROUP SA
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
CDR CODERE S.A.
GAME GAMENET GROUP SPA
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS PLC
AXA AXACTOR SE
BORR SECURITAS DIRECT AB CL B
BORR DRILLING LTD
- Carole Braudeau
- Carole Braudeau
- James Ratzer
BT (Buy, £2.40, +46%) Dig a bit deeper and it is better than the headl...
Going into these results, we believe that two numbers were in focus – the Openreach line losses and the new FY26 guidance. In this note we dig into both of these in more detail and highlight why having TalkTalk as a major ISP on the Openreach network is causing them specific issues driving some of the higher line losses.
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
- Jeroen van den Broek
- Jesse Norcross
- Nadège Tillier
- Timothy Rahill
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 22 MAY (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: RENEWABLES SECTOR, TELEFÓNICA. Market not ready to fall There were slight drops on European stock markets in view of the tension to be generated by the fiscal plan being negotiated by the Trump administration. In a divided STOXX 600, the winning sectors of the day were Telecoms and Technology, whereas Consumer Goods and Retail suffered the biggest losses. On the macro side, in the UK April’s inflation rose unexpectedly to 3.5% YoY (15-month high), as did the core figure, which ros...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 22 MAYO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: SECTOR RENOVABLES, TELEFÓNICA. El mercado se resiste a bajar Tímidas caídas en las bolsas europeas, ante las tensiones que generará el plan fiscal que está negociando la administración Trump. En un STOXX 600 dividido, los sectores ganadores del día fueron Telecomunicacion y Tecnología, mientras que B. Consumo y Retail sufrieron las mayores correcciones. Por el lado macro, en R. Unido la inflación de abril sorprendió al alza repuntando hasta 3,5% int...
- James Ratzer
Vodafone (Buy, 135p, +82%) FY 2025: Trying to move the debate on from ...
The broad theme of Vodafone’s results remains the same as in past periods: Germany has been disappointing and has been the main focus of the market, but other parts of the business have been able to offset it, with increasing weight now on Vodacom for FY26.
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