reports
- James Ratzer
Vodafone to Virgin spectrum sale: More details revealed
As part of the Vodafone-Three merger (VOD3UK), the merging companies committed to sell a portfolio of spectrum to VMO2. The details of that spectrum portfolio have now been formally disclosed by Ofcom, which has published a notification listing the frequencies that are due to be transferred (LINK). In this note, we run through the final decisions and implications for potential UK revenue share.
- James Ratzer
BT (Buy, 265p, +47%) Was 240p Upside beyond the mythical £3bn FCF t...
BT’s target to reach £3bn FCF by the end of the decade has almost become mythical in status. Initially set back in 2021, is it the longest-standing piece of guidance (ever) in the telecoms sector? Quite possibly – and yet we are only half-way there.
- ING Helpdesk
- Jeroen van den Broek
- Timothy Rahill
Credit Outlook update/An unstoppable force against an immovable object
As we approach summer and reflect upon the already very busy and volatile first half of the year, we review our Credit Markets Outlook for 2025 and offer an update on our views, positioning and forecasts for the remainder of the year. We include our Picks and Pans on the Utilities, TMT, Real Estate and Bank sectors.
GFC GECINA SA
PBB DEUTSCHE PFANDBRIEFBANK AG
PSA PUBLIC STORAGE
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
ORSTED ORSTED
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
ICAD ICADE SA
DLR DIGITAL REALTY TRUST INC.
TEF TELEFONICA SA
SAB BANCO DE SABADELL SA
GRDDY GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Ageas: Reinsurance partnership with TRIGLAV, taking QS on Italian motor direct insurance Belgian Telecoms: Digi introduces a new mobile subscription at €3. Kinepolis: Box office in US/Canada up 76% YoY while France visitors were down 25%. NN Group & ASR: Dutch coalition collapse not affecting Dutch Pension Reform. SBM Offshore: Farewell Aseng after 13.5 years of service. Events Calendar
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
AGS AGEAS SA/NV
PHIA KONINKLIJKE PHILIPS N.V.
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
ASRNL ASR NEDERLAND NV
LIGHT SIGNIFY NV
MELE MELEXIS NV
KIN KINEPOLIS GROUP NV
NN NN GROUP N.V.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
TKWY JUST EAT TAKEAWAY.COM N.V.
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
TOM2 TOMTOM NV
PRX PROSUS N.V. CLASS N
DSC1 DUTCH STAR C SHAR
BAR BARCO NV
FAST FASTNED
- ABGSC Telecom Equipment Research
- Oscar Rönnkvist
- Simon Granath
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
- Jeroen van den Broek
- Jesse Norcross
- Nadège Tillier
- Timothy Rahill
- James Ratzer
The company started seeing signs of recovery as subscriber losses begu...
As we expected, the UK merger completed this morning, so we wanted to take this opportunity to highlight the note we put out on Saturday, in which we published our new model (including the UK merger, and assuming Vodafone buys out the Hutchinson minority in 3 years’ time). The terms of the deal are as initially announced. We believe the value creation is +9p per share, included within our 120p price target. We still see >50% upside from current levels.
- James Ratzer
Vodafone (Buy, 120p, +56%) Was 135p Target price/ model update: T...
We don't usually aim to publish price target updates over the weekend, so please do forgive us, but with today being May 31st and Vodafone's desire to close the UK merger during H1 and at a month-end, we would like to think that the UK deal closing could be very imminent - and maybe even today.
Deutsche Telekom AG: 1 director
A director at Deutsche Telekom AG sold after exercising options/sold 30,000 shares at 34.213EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 75/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directo...
Tele2 AB: 2 directors
A director at Tele2 AB bought 4,500 shares at 144.000SEK and the significance rating of the trade was 71/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly show...
- Felix Fischer
Europe HY Trade Book - May 2025 - Lucror Analytics
The Europe HY Trade Book for May 2025 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry. We also discuss the US tariff situation and key related impacts.
SCHP SECHE ENVIRONNEMENT
PFD PREMIER FOODS PLC
AMS AMS AG
CO CASINO GUICHARD-PERRACHON SA
VK VALLOUREC SA
TLW TULLOW OIL PLC
EO FAURECIA SA
105I SAPPI LIMITED
TEVA.N TEVA PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRIES LIMITED SPONSORED ADR
LBTYA LIBERTY GLOBAL PLC CLASS A
CSTM CONSTELLIUM SE CLASS A
CCK CROWN HOLDINGS INC.
RXL REXEL SA
DBG DERICHEBOURG SA
725180 STADA ARZNEIMITTEL AG
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
TNET TELENET GROUP HOLDING NV
TUI1 TUI AG
NEX NEXANS SA
VED VEDANTA RESOURCES PLC
VCP VICTORIA PLC
AF AIR FRANCE-KLM SA
BBD.B BOMBARDIER INC. CLASS B
SYNT SYNTHOMER PLC
INTRUM INTRUM AB
888 888 HOLDINGS PLC
IPF INTERNATIONAL PERSONAL FINANCE PLC
ENQ ENQUEST PLC
EDR EDREAMS ODIGEO SA
TC1 TELE COLUMBUS AG
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
103M SASOL LIMITED
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
REC RECORDATI INDUSTRIA CHIMICA E FARMACEUTICA S.P.A.
TGS TGS-NOPEC GEOPHYSICAL COMPANY ASA
TALK TALKTALK TELECOM GROUP PLC
TATAMOTORS TATA MOTORS LIMITED
PL8 PLAYTECH PLC
ARW ARROW GLOBAL GROUP PLC
NEMAKA NEMAK S.A.B. DE C.V.
SPIE SPIE SA
CEXA CEMEX SAB DE CV (ADR)
ARD ARDAGH GROUP S.A. CLASS A
PFL PFLEIDERER GROUP SA
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
CDR CODERE S.A.
GAME GAMENET GROUP SPA
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS PLC
AXA AXACTOR SE
BORR SECURITAS DIRECT AB CL B
BORR DRILLING LTD
- James Ratzer
BT (Buy, £2.40, +46%) Dig a bit deeper and it is better than the headl...
Going into these results, we believe that two numbers were in focus – the Openreach line losses and the new FY26 guidance. In this note we dig into both of these in more detail and highlight why having TalkTalk as a major ISP on the Openreach network is causing them specific issues driving some of the higher line losses.
- James Ratzer
Vodafone (Buy, 135p, +82%) FY 2025: Trying to move the debate on from ...
The broad theme of Vodafone’s results remains the same as in past periods: Germany has been disappointing and has been the main focus of the market, but other parts of the business have been able to offset it, with increasing weight now on Vodacom for FY26.
- James Ratzer
BT (Buy, £2.40, +45%) TNT Sports exit - what are the financial implica...
The FT has reported that BT could sell its 50% stake in TNT Sports to WBD – maybe this week alongside FY results on Thursday. We assess the potential financial implications of this as it might be positive vs. market perception but could be negative vs. our valuation.
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
1Q25 Results: Telenet, VodafoneZiggo, Virgin Media O2/Delays until the...
The 1Q25 earnings reports of VodafoneZiggo, Telenet and Virgin Media O2[de] were soft. When compared to 4Q24, leverage deteriorated across the board in 1Q25, while all companies lost broadband customers. We were especially disappointed by the weaker outlook for VodafoneZiggo. Although all businesses have their intrinsic strengths, there are challenges, as described below, and our conviction to buy or sell the notes is low. We see limited value in current spreads. Nevertheless, there is still ups...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
GFC GECINA SA
ALV ALLIANZ SE
ITRK INTERTEK GROUP PLC
ENI ENI S.P.A.
RWE RWE AG
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
TLX TALANX AG
REP REPSOL SA
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
SIE SIEMENS AG
BP. BP P.L.C.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
SHEL SHELL PLC
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
AGN AEGON N.V.
- Ahmed Ben Salem
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
GFC GECINA SA
ALV ALLIANZ SE
ITRK INTERTEK GROUP PLC
ENI ENI S.P.A.
RWE RWE AG
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
TLX TALANX AG
REP REPSOL SA
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
SIE SIEMENS AG
BP. BP P.L.C.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
SHEL SHELL PLC
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
AGN AEGON N.V.
- Stephane Beyazian
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