Vodafone and Vodacom have announced today that they will be taking control of Safaricom. Given the structure of the deal with Kenyan Government involving pre-paying dividends, we think the deal could offer better than expected accretion to Vodafone’s reported FCF for limited capital outflow.
FWA has reached 38% penetration in Austria today, 13% in Italy, but is just 1-2% elsewhere in Europe. Furthermore, the EC has just made a major decision to dedicate a further 540MHz of spectrum to mobile carriers increasing their bandwidth by 60%.
In this note, we address DT’s Q3 results – and we focus on what we see as three key points of interest: 1) Given the new buyback, how does DT spend their €15bn of “surplus” capital? 2) What should we make of the new fibre messaging? 3) Where does DT go with its Nvidia relationship?
Rdos. 3T'25 vs 3T'24: Ventas: 28.935 M euros (+1,5% vs +1,7% BS(e) y +1,2% consenso); EBITDA: 11.115 M euros (+0,2% vs +0,4% BS(e) y +0,2% consenso); BDI: 2.670 M euros (+14,3% vs +6,3% BS(e) y +6,1% consenso). Rdos. 9meses'25 vs 9meses'24: Ventas: 87.361 M euros (+3,0% vs +3,1% BS(e) y +2,9% consenso); EBITDA: 33.412 M euros (+3,2% vs +3,2% BS(e) y +3,2% consenso); BDI: 7.617 M euros (+8,0% vs +5,4% BS(e) y +5,3% consenso).
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, SECTORIAL SOCIMIS. EUROPA: DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, SIEMENS, UNICREDIT. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Fin al shutdown más largo de la historia Las bolsas europeas siguieron festejando el final del shutdown estadounidense, con ga...
Vodafone has reported a decent set of H1 results and guidance has been moved to the upper-end of the guidance range (albeit us and consensus were already there). We think there is still a story for the multiple to be re-rated further – and even though there is new dividend guidance today, we also think there is potential for incremental cash return to come at the FY results.
Financial and KPI results were broadly in line with expectations and all financial guidance has been reiterated. Therefore, in this note we focus more on two specific angles – 1) How to digest the Openreach line losses and why FY26 might not be “peak line losses” and 2) What to make of the new Starlink deal announced, which we think could have interesting longer-term implications.
Utilities: Snam posted robust 9M25 financials, Veolia 9M25 results show continued strong growth, Engie weak 9M25 results – spread tightening limited. Telecom: SES reports weak 3Q25 earnings, BT reports soft 1H26 results, Swisscom 3Q25 results look mixed, Telecom Italia reports solid 3Q25 results, KPN guides for somewhat higher leverage. Real Estate: CTP 9M25 - robust operating trends, Vonovia 9M25 - guidance confirmed
Swisscom has reported a set of Q3 numbers very similar to the Q2s: a small SR miss, a good EBITDA beat, and guidance has been reiterated, suggesting a pull forward of cost out, rather than a more material fundamental improvement. As at Q2, SR trends have deteriorated - Swiss MSR trends are better, but these have been offset by FSR weakness.
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