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Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare
Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Anticipating the memory supply-demand balance of 2026, on a single sli...

In our Micron initiation in 2022, we introduced a unique framework to track memory supply and demand, based on COGS and PPE. In today’s one-slider, we update our view on memory supply-demand balance for 2026.

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

T Threats Limited in Senate FirstNet Hearing; House Hearing This Week

In a legislative battle pitting the interests of T v. VZ and TMUS, the Senate held a hearing last week on the reauthorization of the FirstNet Authority (FNA), with the House holding another one this coming Wednesday. In this note, we analyze the first hearing as well as a draft House bill with an eye toward whether the upcoming Congressional action is likely to change the current economics of public safety communications for T, VZ, and TMUS.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Haidje Rustau ... (+4)
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Sappi, Telecom Italia, Telenet, Mahle, Seche Environnement, Crown Holdings

David Barden
  • David Barden

T Quick Hit: AT&T closes Lumen fiber transaction

AT&T announced this morning that they have closed the Lumen fiber transaction. As part of this transaction, AT&T acquires over 4MM fiber locations and more than 1MM fiber customers in major markets. AT&T also acquires Lumen’s fiber build engine which should help accelerate fiber deployment. We published two comprehensive reports when the transaction was announced.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Where is the cost of HBM going ? A perspective on a single slide

We publish today a single slide on how we expect the cost and price of HBM to evolve in the next few years. Link below.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers – Strong start – NSR GEM Top-10 February ‘26...

Our portfolio of Top Picks has started 2026 strongly, up 6% ytd already. This month we make no changes to our top picks. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Samsung & Hynix 4Q25: Implications for memory & Micron

Samsung and Hynix reported this week. Please see the link for our take on the read-through for Micron and the broader memory market

David Barden
  • David Barden

AT&T: Only modest changes to estimates following 4Q results

Earlier today, we published our quick take on AT&T’s 4Q results and our note following the earnings call where we discussed some controversies heading into today’s results. This note focuses on the model update. Our subscriber estimate changes are modest. Revenue, EBITDA and FCF are slightly higher but within the guidance range. A full refresh reflecting the new reporting structure is forthcoming.

David Barden
  • David Barden

AT&T: That wasn’t such a scary start to US wireless results and guidan...

We shared our view of AT&T’s results this morning (note here). Results and guidance were solid. In this note following the earnings call and our multiple follow up conversations, we address key investor issues including 1) postpaid phone ARPU growth; 2) the pace of fiber deployment; 3) Internet Air net adds and ARPU growth; and 4) broadband ARPU growth. You see the trend, right? People care deeply about price and ARPU.

David Barden
  • David Barden

AT&T 4Q25 Quick Take: A reassuring start to 4Q results and initial ‘26...

AT&T reported 4Q results and guidance this morning which largely met or topped expectations. Given the concerns about interior industry competitive dynamics (ok, price war fears), the fact that ARPU and net adds and ‘26 guidance are all pretty much where they should be is a healthy place to start 4Q results season.

David Barden
  • David Barden

Wireless: Key controversies heading into US wireless 4Q25 results and ...

We can’t remember a time when investors were as nervous about wireless earnings as they are going into 4Q25 results. We think this concern is by and large overblown and we will all come out feeling consoled on the other side of this earnings cycle. In this short note, we discuss the key controversies impacting the wireless sector currently and our perspective.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

EM Tower Trends Q3 CY25 review: Solid quarter, especially in Africa

Tower revenue trends were slightly slower across the board except for Indus Towers as it benefited again from VIL’s network catch up spend. EBITDA margins were roughly stable across EM except in Indonesia which faces the near-term pressure of the XL-Smartfren consolidation. Africa continue to perform well and the LatAm Towers space had a decent Q3.

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

What’s at Stake for T (and VZ and TMUS) in the Upcoming FirstNet Autho...

Tomorrow, weather permitting, the Senate Commerce Committee will hold a hearing on the FirstNet Authority (FNA). Generally, we don’t write about Congressional hearings as they focus on sound bites rather than policy relevant to investors. Here, however, the hearing could prove market relevant. FNA has a contract with T, but Congress must act if the FNA is to be reauthorized past 2027. And the battle over the terms of that reauthorization pits T v. VZ and TMUS. In this note we provide backg...

David Barden
  • David Barden

The future of US wireless, right now - Extrapolating 3Q25 wireless tre...

We are taking 3Q25 results and the most recent cNPS data and laying out our latest thinking and forecasts ahead of 4Q results. We expect 4Q results and attendant 2026 guidance to contain material information value for investors and we wanted to share our latest forecasts, data, and trends as a starting point as we navigate this impactful season.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Cityfibre 2025 results Rational support for the whole market

XLast month, Cityfibre reported a sharp acceleration in its net add run rate due to its new deal with Sky – and a clear indication that Sky now intends to put all of its new FTTP customers in Cityfibre’s footprint on the Cityfibre network.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Sub-Saharan African Telecoms Another great quarter, upgrade AAF, MTN,...

Q3 was another great quarter for the Sub-Saharan African (SSA) operators with YoY service revenue growth in USD reaching >30% and rising EBITDA margins.

Bruno Cavalier ... (+4)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Hela Zarrouk
  • Oliver Metzger
  • Roy Külter
CON CONTINENTAL AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
FME FRESENIUS MEDICAL CARE AG
LUFTHANSA DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
FRA FRAPORT AG
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
WCH WACKER CHEMIE AG
DGE DIAGEO PLC
DB1 DEUTSCHE BOERSE AG
RNO RENAULT SA
ADS ADIDAS AG
G1A GEA GROUP AG
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
CBK COMMERZBANK AG
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
DAI DAIMLER AG
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
GBF BILFINGER SE
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
ALV ALLIANZ SE
LXS LANXESS AG
GXI GERRESHEIMER AG
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
KCO KLOECKNER & CO SE
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
MRK MERCK KGAA
KER KERING SA
VNA VONOVIA SE
EOAN E.ON SE
BOSS HUGO BOSS AG
SDF K+S AG
ZAL ZALANDO SE
G24 SCOUT24 AG
BAS BASF SE
RWE RWE AG
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
BAYN BAYER AG
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
HEN3 HENKEL AG & CO. KGAA PREF
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
TLX TALANX AG
SY1 SYMRISE AG
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
FIE FIELMANN AG
DEZ DEUTZ AG
AIXA AIXTRON SE
NDA AURUBIS AG
KRN KRONES AG
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
AED AEDIFICA SA
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
KGX KION GROUP AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
BNR BRENNTAG SE
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
RACE FERRARI NV
JUN3 JUNGHEINRICH AG PREF
FTG111 FLATEXDEGIRO AG
SIE SIEMENS AG
DUE DURR AG
SHL SIEMENS HEALTHINEERS AG
S92 SMA SOLAR TECHNOLOGY AG
JEN JENOPTIK AG
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
HAG HENSOLDT AG
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
FPE3 FUCHS PETROLUB SE
BEAN BELIMO HOLDING AG
DTG DAIMLER TRUCK
ZGN ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
STM STABILUS SE
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TUI TUI AG
NCH2 THYSSENKRUPP NUCERA AG & CO.
SCHOTT PHARMA AG
R3NK RENK GROUP AG
QGEN QIAGEN N.V.
PFSE PFISTERER HOLDING SE
SHA SCHAEFFLER AG
TKMS TKMS AG & CO. KGAA
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