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Jonathan Chaplin
  • Jonathan Chaplin

3Q24 Broadband Trends: FWA capacity limits; FWA demand limits

In this iteration of “Broadband Trends” we update our FWA capacity forecast. We also touch on early signs that demand for FWA may be limited, which could prevent mobile operators from reaching capacity limits (or force them to work harder to get there). This could have a big impact on the pace of Cable subscriber growth. Finally, we reprise our work on the competitive positioning of the various operators based on relative NPS scores.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

BT (Buy, 220p, +53%) The press is not right – Mittal has not “complet...

BT has disclosed that Mittal now has a 24.5% voting interest in BT. Therefore, the press is reporting that Mittal has now completed the stake purchase.

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

NSR Policy: Trump Designates Carr as FCC Chair

Last night, President-elect Trump designated Commissioner Brendan Carr to be the next Chairman of the FCC. Carr has long been seen as the favorite for the spot. In this note we review what we wrote a year ago what Carr intended to do if appointed Chair and what has changed in the last year, including the increased influence of Elon Musk and Robert Kennedy Jr. (RFK) on Trump Administration policies that might cause internal tensions within Trump circles as well as Trump’s desire to use the FCC to...

Felix Fischer ... (+7)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Ian Wong
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Air Baltic, Aggreko, PHM Group, Rekeep, Hapag-Lloyd, Bite, Applus, Iliad, Digi Communications, Kem One, Axactor, Nomad Foods (Iglo), Premier Foods, CBR Fashion, Telecom Italia, Boparan, Altice France (SFR), Ineos, Ineos Quattro, Casino Guichard-Perrachon

Moody's Ratings withdraws Liberty Global's ratings on issuer's request

Moody's Ratings ("Moody's") has today withdrawn Liberty Global plc's Ba3 corporate family rating and Ba3-PD probability of default rating. The outlook prior to the withdrawal was negative. RATINGS RATIONALE We have decided to withdraw the rating(s) following a review of the issuer's request to w...

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Telecom Italia : Q3 2024: enterprise stronger, consumer still difficul...

>Q3 2024 earnings still growing excluding forex impact - Q3 2024 group service revenues were flat y-o-y at € 3,367m, in line with expectations (ODDO BHF € 3,322m, consensus € 3,366m). Like-for-like (excluding the sale of NetCo and negative forex changes with Brazil), group service revenues are up 4.5% y-o-y driven by Brazil (+7%) and domestic Enterprise (+11%). Q3 2024 organic EBITDAaL of € 931m is 1% below expectations (ODDO BHF € 943m, consensus € 947m) but still up...

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Deutsche Telekom : Q3 2024: Germany not much impacted by higher compet...

>Q3 2024: solid figures with adjusted EBITDAaL +6% y-o-y - Q3 2024 sales are up 4% like-for-like y-o-y to € 28,501m in line with consensus (ODDO BHF € 28,028m, consensus € 28,470m). Q3 2024 adjusted EBITDAaL is up 6% y-o-y to € 11,096m or 1% above consensus (ODDO BHF € 10,972m, consensus € 11,045m). FCFaL are up 28% year-to-date to € 15bn, helped by lower cash capex (-10% year-to-date).Deutsche Telekom is overall confirming guidance: (i) adjusted EBITDAaL of € 4...

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Deutsche Telekom : Q3 2024: Germany not much impacted by higher compet...

>Q3 2024: solid figures with adjusted EBITDAaL +6% y-o-y - Q3 2024 sales are up 4% like-for-like y-o-y to € 28,501m in line with consensus (ODDO BHF € 28,028m, consensus € 28,470m). Q3 2024 adjusted EBITDAaL is up 6% y-o-y to € 11,096m or 1% above consensus (ODDO BHF € 10,972m, consensus € 11,045m). FCFaL are up 28% year-to-date to € 15bn, helped by lower cash capex (-10% year-to-date).Deutsche Telekom is overall confirming guidance: (i) adjusted EBITDAaL of € 4...

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Deutsche Telekom (Buy, €36, +30%) Q3 24: Not yet benefitting from the...

After all the excitement of the CMD, we are back to business with a modest upgrade to DT’s ex-US EBITDA guidance, supported both by Germany and Europe.

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Telecom Italia : Q3 2024: enterprise stronger, consumer still difficul...

>Q3 2024 earnings still growing excluding forex impact - Q3 2024 group service revenues were flat y-o-y at € 3,367m, in line with expectations (ODDO BHF € 3,322m, consensus € 3,366m). Like-for-like (excluding the sale of NetCo and negative forex changes with Brazil), group service revenues are up 4.5% y-o-y driven by Brazil (+7%) and domestic Enterprise (+11%). Q3 2024 organic EBITDAaL of € 931m is 1% below expectations (ODDO BHF € 943m, consensus € 947m) but still up...

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Telecom Italia : Q3 2024: enterprise stronger, consumer still difficul...

>Q3 2024 earnings still growing excluding forex impact - Q3 2024 group service revenues were flat y-o-y at € 3,367m, in line with expectations (ODDO BHF € 3,322m, consensus € 3,366m). Like-for-like (excluding the sale of NetCo and negative forex changes with Brazil), group service revenues are up 4.5% y-o-y driven by Brazil (+7%) and domestic Enterprise (+11%). Q3 2024 organic EBITDAaL of € 931m is 1% below expectations (ODDO BHF € 943m, consensus € 947m) but still up...

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/E.ON, Hera, ASML, Deutsche Telekom, Teleco...

Utilities - E.ON: Indebtedness increases; bonds look too expensive. Hera posted robust 9M24 results

Alvaro del Pozo
  • Alvaro del Pozo

DEUTSCHE TELEKOM: RDOS. 3T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 3T'24 vs 3T'23: Ventas: 28.501 M euros (+3,4% vs +3,7% BS(e) y +3,4% consenso); EBITDA: 11.096 M euros (+5,8% vs +5,5% BS(e) y +5,6% consenso); BDI: 2.335 M euros (+3,0% vs +5,3% BS(e) y +5,6% consenso). Rdos. 9meses'24 vs 9meses'23: Ventas: 84.837 M euros (+78,2% vs +78,3% BS(e) y +78,1% consenso); EBITDA: 32.388 M euros (+6,2% vs +6,1% BS(e) y +6,2% consenso); BDI: 7.050 M euros (+15,3% vs +16,2% BS(e) y +16,3% consenso).

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 14 NOVIEMBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA 3T’24. IDEAS DESTACADAS Y P...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: FERROVIAL, GRIFOLS, IBERDROLA. EUROPA: ASML, DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, PROSUS, SIEMENS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. La inflación estadounidense sigue el camino esperado Las bolsas europeas terminaron con caídas, aunque el dato de i...

Felix Fischer ... (+4)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Ian Wong
  • Tanvi Arora

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Nexans, Almaviva, Best Secret (Schustermann & Borenstein), PureGym, Telecom Italia, Vallourec, Nokia, Infopro Digital, Cirsa

Ben Rickett ... (+2)
  • Ben Rickett
  • James Ratzer

Telecom Italia (Buy, €0.33, +37%) Q3 24 – The domestic value is emergi...

TI shares still haven’t really recovered from the CMD in March, but if the strong operational performance as seen in the Q3 results can continue, then over time hopefully the share price should follow.

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