Weixin has launched a new AI search function integrated with DeepSeek. We believe AI adoption will serve as a growth multiplier in innovative gameplay, AI agent development, advertising data analytics, and ad monetisation within Mini Programs and Mini Shops. Tencent’s 4Q24 results will be released on 19 Mar 25. We forecast a 4Q24 revenue growth of 11% yoy, driven by resilient game grossing and online ad revenue growth. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$608.00.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales rebound wow but remain low due to wait-and-see sentiment. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Renewable Energy: Solar energy equipment: Policy-driven installation rush to support prices; milder module shipment growth in 2025. Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$120.90/Target: HK$150.00): 3QFY25: CMR beat; all-in AI; capex in next three years to exceed that of the past decade. Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China auto sales rebounded in the seventh week of 2025, but remained low compared with the previous month due to consumers’ wait-and-see sentiment amid a price war and the transitional period of product upgrade. Zeekr’s acquisition of Lynk & Co strengthens Geely’s premium EV strategy. GWM has unveiled a strategy for affordable smart driving solutions. DeepSeek is gaining traction among automakers. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay S...
Amid geopolitical uncertainties, the emergence of DeepSeek models have ignited a major AI industry shake-up, garnered investor attention and drawn wide developer interest in the Chinese AI industry as it lowers the technical and financial barriers in deploying LLM. An increasing number of global hyperscalers and application companies have facilitated the deployment of DeepSeek and Qwen models, further expanding their accessibility and adoption. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Growth potential and AI development trends following emergence of DeepSeek. Property Policy implementation and development remain the key focus and catalyst. INDONESIA Strategy Catching A Falling Knife Or Opportunity To Buy? We Say Buy Our picks are BBCA, BBTN, CMRY, ICBP, KLBF, CTRA, AMRT, PGEO, TL...
The HSI and MSCI China index rose 0.8% mom and 0.9% mom respectively in January as investors awaited clarity on Sino-US relations and any additional Chinese stimulus. Looking ahead, we will focus on oversold names, policy beneficiaries and stocks that will also be quick to book profits due to greater market volatility. We are adding AIA, CR land, Haier and Han’s Laser to our BUY list. We take profits on Crystal, Geely, Trip.com and Weimob, and cut losses on Sinopharm.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls: Add AIA, CR Land, Haier and Han’s Laser to our BUY list. Take profit on Crystal, Geely, Trip.com and Weimob. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Slight Underperformance In Jan 25: Our picks are ISAT, KLBF, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI and ASII. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Spotlight On The Upcoming Results Winners: Our Alpha Picks outperformed in Jan 25. Feb 25 picks: Gamuda, GENM, Kossan, MrDIY, MYEG, Pekat, RGB, RHB Bank, VSI...
In view of a stable regulatory backdrop and competitive market landscape, we have identified a few themes for the game sector in 2025, including high-quality blockbuster releases, overseas expansion and AI integration. The online gaming sector remains a countercyclical play and is less susceptible to macro softness. We are shifting our preference to NetEase in view of its solid progress in recent new game releases, which is fuelling grossing growth visibility in 2025. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales down 10% yoy but up 8.5% wow; EVs gain on subsidy rollout. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Healthcare The challenging but rewarding journey of globalisation amid rising geopolitical risks. Internet ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls: Add CATL, JD Logistics, Miniso and Plover Bay to our BUY list, and Weimob to our SELL list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Our Selections Outperform In 2024: Our picks are ISAT, KLBF, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI, CMRY and ASII. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Still Ample Domestic Catalysts: Our Alpha Picks outperformed in Dec 24. Jan 25 picks: Gamuda, GENM, MrDIY, MYEG, Pekat, RGB, RHB Bank, SP Setia, VSI and Yinson. SINGAP...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls Add CATL, JD Logistics, Miniso and Plover Bay to our BUY list, and Weimob to our SELL list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Our Selections Outperform In 2024 Our picks are ISAT, KLBF, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI, CMRY and ASII. MALAYSIA Update VS Industry (VSI MK/BUY/RM1.16/Target: RM1.50) Despite a 17% recovery in its share price since its low in m...
We saw largely in-line top-line growth across companies in 3Q24, mainly pressured by a lukewarm macro environment, but with earnings beat thanks to enhanced efficiency from AI integration. Alongside pending visibility on further domestic supportive policies, we believe the key 2025 highlights are: a) re-acceleration of e-commerce GMV growth, b) potential upside in ad take rate monetisation, c) rejuvenation of online games grossing, and d) sustained travel enthusiasm. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
Expect increased market volatility in 1H25 as the US embarks on another round of trade rebalancing with China via higher tariffs. We expect China to roll out growth supportive policies on top of the de-risking measures that have been announced. Hence, we prefer a domestic orientation and policy beneficiaries for 1H25. Our MSCI China Index target is at 68pt, based on 7% EPS growth and 10.5x PE. The downside target is 51pt in the event of a full-fledged trade war. China is focusing on de-riskin...
A director at Tencent Holdings Limited sold 4,427 shares at 401.025HKD and the significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two year...
With a disappointing Q3, 2024 is proving to be a disappointment for Nexon, with revenues and profits not much improved from 2023 despite the augmented content. However, if earnings haven’t increased this year, neither has the share price, and that is really the only saving grace about this performance, which perhaps suggests that the lacklustre performance is now in the price.
What’s new: Tencent’s reported 3Q24 top-line results that were largely in line with consensus and our expectations. Online gaming (domestic and international) and payments could accelerate, while ads could decelerate in 4Q partly due to tougher comps and continued weakness in brand ads. Margins could continue to improve amid a shift to high-quality revenues and continued cost controls. We maintain our PT at HKD530. Analysts: Jin Yoon
Tencent reported a solid earnings beat for 3Q24. Revenue grew 8% yoy to Rmb167.2b, in line with consensus estimates. Gross margin expanded 4ppt yoy to 53.1%, in line with consensus forecasts. Non-IFRS operating profit grew 18.6% yoy to Rmb61.3b, while non-IFRS operating margin expanded 3.2ppt yoy to 36.6% on a positive shift in revenue mix. Non-IFRS diluted EPS surged 36% yoy, beating consensus estimates by 10%. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of HK$570.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$403.80/Target: HK$570.00) Tencent reported a solid earnings beat for 3Q24. Revenue grew 8% yoy to Rmb167.2b, in line with consensus estimates. Gross margin expanded 4ppt yoy to 53.1%, in line with consensus forecasts. Non-IFRS operating profit grew 18.6% yoy to Rmb61.3b, while non-IFRS operating margin expanded 3.2ppt yoy to 36.6% on a positive shift in revenue mix. Non-IFRS diluted EPS surged 36% yoy, beating consensus estimates by 10%. M...
GREATER CHINA Results Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$403.80/Target: HK$570.00): 3Q24: Solid earnings beat; mini shop and potential blockbuster as key catalysts. INDONESIA Results Aspirasi Hidup Indonesia (ACES IJ/BUY/Rp835/Target: Rp1,200): 3Q24: NPAT up 13.7% yoy; slightly above consensus expectations. MALAYSIA Results Malaysia Marine and Heavy Engineering Holdings (MMHE MK/BUY/RM0.44/Target: RM0.70): 1H24: Positively surprises on project cost claims. Marine segment still weakened by competi...
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