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Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Tencent Holdings (700 HK): 1Q24: Strong earnings beat; game revenue mi...

Tencent’s 1Q24 results came in slightly below our expectation. Revenue grew 6.3% yoy to Rmb159.5b, in line with consensus estimate. Gross margin expanded 7ppt yoy to 52.6%, better than consensus forecast. Non-IFRS operating profit recovered to Rmb58.6b, while non-IFRS operating margin rose to 36.8%, better than our estimate. Non-IFRS net profit was elevated by 54.5% yoy, 17% above consensus estimate on a positive shift in revenue mix. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$454.00.

Greater China Research Team ... (+6)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Daily: Thursday, May 16, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$82.65/Target: HK$98.00) Alibaba delivered in-line 4QFY24 results. Revenue grew 7% yoy to Rmb221.9b, in line with street estimates. Non-GAAP net profit was Rmb24.4b, down 11% yoy and is 7% below street estimates, with net margin of 11%. In FY24, Alibaba has approved the two-part dividend of US1.66 per ADS, representing an aggregate of US$4b and 18% dividend payout ratio. We remain optimistic on the double-digit revenue growth target for the ...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+18)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jacquelyn Yow Hui Li
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Leow Huey Chuen
  • Limartha Adhiputra
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Notes - Thursday, May 16, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$82.65/Target: HK$98.00): 4QFY24: Rewarding dividend payout; reigniting cloud revenue growth in 2H24. Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK/BUY/HK$36.80/Target: HK$51.00): 1Q24: Results within expectations; launch of smart gaming tables in Jul 24. Miniso (MNSO US/NOT RATED/US$24.15): 1Q24: 20-25% revenue guidance for 2Q24; raises TOP TOY store opening target for 2024. Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$381.80/Target: HK$454.00): 1Q24: Strong earnings b...

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

Tencent 1Q24 Results: Domestic Games to Return to YoY Growth in 2Q

What’s new: Tencent’s reported 1Q24 results were above consensus and our expectations. Domestic games could return to growth in 2Q and potentially accelerate in the 2H driven by resiliency in legacy titles and new game launches including DnF Mobile. Margins could further improve amid shift to high-quality revenue growth model, and continued cost controls. We maintain our PT at HKD450. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Expect growth momentum to reaccelerate in 2Q24 with re...

We expect lukewarm mobile grossing growth in 1Q24, with an expected reacceleration in 2Q24, primarily boosted by the release of several highly-anticipated blockbuster titles. We are optimistic on the growth of the online games sector in 2024 as it will be driven by a further acceleration in Banhao approvals, consolidation towards top game producers and the emerging popularity of mini-games. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Greater China Research Team ... (+7)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

REG: Strategy: Alpha Picks - May 2024

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call: Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Slight Outperformance In A Bear Market: Our picks are BSDE, TLKM, ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, JSMR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Well-Positioned For 1Q Results Season: Our April picks again beat the KLCI. May 24 picks: GENM, Inari, Mah Sing, MrDIY, MYEG, Press Meta...

MAJOR MAJOR CINEPLEX GROUP PCL
TFG THAIFOODS GROUP
600690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS A
02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
KKP KIATNAKIN BANK
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00992 LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ES ESSO SOCIETE ANONYME FRANCAISE
AKRA PT AKR CORPORINDO TBK
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
CTRA CIPUTRA DEVELOPMENT
STEC SINO-THAI ENGINEERING & CONSTRUCTION PCL
02328 PICC PROPERTY & CASUALTY CO. LTD. CLASS H
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
TOP THAI OIL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
KLBF PT KALBE FARMA TBK
EA ENERGY ABSOLUTE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
COM7 COM7
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
600585 ANHUI CONCH CEMENT COMPANY LIMITED CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
ORI1 ORIENT OVERSEAS (INTERNATIONAL) LIMITED
MINT MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
MAPI MITRA ADIPERKASA
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
AP4 RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS
ADRO PT ADARO ENERGY TBK
300124 SHENZHEN INOVANCE TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD CLASS A
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
PTTGC PTT GLOBAL CHEMICAL PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
ACES PT ACE HARDWARE INDONESIA TBK
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
ROTI NIPPON INDOSARI CORPINDO
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
M4B CHINA MERCHANTS BANK CO. LTD. CLASS H
SE SEA ADS
INRI INARI AMERTRON BHD
FEHT FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
PTTEP-R PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PCL NVDR
BAL BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
SCGB SUNWAY CONSTRUCTION GROUP BH
KPJ KPJ HEALTHCARE BERHAD
SMM SEMBCORP MARINE LTD
BURSA BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
MSGB MAH SING GROUP BHD
IOI IOI CORP BHD
CPALL TB CP ALL
GENM GENTING MALAYSIA BHD
MAHB MALAYSIA AIRPORTS HLDGS BHD
333 MIDEA GROUP
06098 COUNTRY GARDEN SERVICES HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
2013 WEIMOB INC
EKO EKOVEST BHD
RGB RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
SCB-R SIAM COMMERCIAL BANK PCL NVDR
709 GIORDANO INTERNATIONAL LTD
1093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
MRDIY MR DIY GROUP M BHD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
2696 SHANGHAI HENLIUS BIOTECH INC
KEX KERRY EXPRESS (THAILAND)
OR PTT OIL & RETAIL BUSINESS PCL
TIDLOR NGERN TID LOR PCL
1209 CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
BUKA BUKALAPAK.COM PT TBK
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
PDD PINDUODUO PDD US
09888 BAIDU INC
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
EXCL XL AXIATA TBK PT
MPACT MAPLETREE PAN ASIA COMMERCIAL TRUST
GOTO GOJEK TOKOPEDIA TBK PT
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
CLAS CAPITALAND ASCOTT TRUST
SMGR SEMEN INDONESIA PERSERO TBK
NATGATE NATIONGATE HOLDINGS BHD
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
2232 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP LTD
SUNWAY SUNWAY BHD
ESSO ESSO THAILAND PCL
HUME HUME CEMENT INDUSTRIES BHD
02015 LI AUTO INC
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
Bella Lu Yifei ... (+17)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jacquelyn Yow Hui Li
  • Johnny Yum
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Leow Huey Chuen
  • Limartha Adhiputra
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, May 03, 2024

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on Crystal International. Sector Automobile Weekly: EV sales pick up; take...

TFG THAIFOODS GROUP
600690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS A
02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
LH LAND & HOUSES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ORI ORIGIN PROPERTY
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
00992 LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
002142 BANK OF NINGBO CO. LTD. CLASS A
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
AKRA PT AKR CORPORINDO TBK
AALI ASTRA AGRO LESTARI
6963 V.S. INDUSTRY
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
600660 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
QH QUALITY HOUSES
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
GFPT GFPT
SPALI SUPALAI PCL
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
AP4 RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS
BSDE PT BUMI SERPONG DAMAI TBK
300124 SHENZHEN INOVANCE TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD CLASS A
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
ACES PT ACE HARDWARE INDONESIA TBK
AP AP THAILAND
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
FEHT FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
SIDO INDUSTRI JAMU DAN FARMASI SI
SCGB SUNWAY CONSTRUCTION GROUP BH
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
WPRTS WESTPORTS HOLDINGS BHD
MSGB MAH SING GROUP BHD
PMAH PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDIN
333 MIDEA GROUP
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
PSH PRUKSA HOLDING PCL
RGB RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
338 WEICHAI POWER
709 GIORDANO INTERNATIONAL LTD
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
869 PLAYMATES TOYS LIMITED
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
MPACT MAPLETREE PAN ASIA COMMERCIAL TRUST
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
2232 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP LTD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
02015 LI AUTO INC
09868 XPENG INC
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
GENTMK GENTING BERHAD
Greater China Research Team
  • Greater China Research Team

Greater China Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call

The HSI and MSCI China rose 7.4% and 6.4% mom respectively in April, lifted by news of a stock connect scheme expansion and further easing of restrictions on property purchases in China. With the July Politburo likely to see further supportive policy rollout, we are adding beneficiaries of improving domestic consumption − CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou and Tencent − to our BUY list, and closing out our SELL calls.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy

Upgrading Europe to Overweight Considering the fact that several 5% pullbacks and roughly one 10% pullback are to be expected in any given year, we continue to view the latest pullback as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market -- MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) has had a 5.5% pullback from its 2024 highs, while the EURO STOXX 50 pulled back 4.5%. We discussed last Thursday (4/18/24 Int'l Compass) how further downside may be limited with these two indexes already 4-5% off their highs, combined wi...

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

Tencent: Updates on Gaming and Other Business Segments for 1Q24

What’s New: We up our 1Q24 and FY24 top-line estimates as online gaming could fare better than our initial expectations partly driven by positive progress on change in monetization strategy coupled with new game launches such as DnF Mobile in 2Q. In this note, we discuss key updates including near-term outlook for segments including games, ads, fintech and business services. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Rewarding shareholders in 2023; emerging strategic gro...

Given the stabilising revenue growth and abundant cash on hand, mega-cap internet companies have been focusing on offering generous shareholder returns. For 2024, we expect consumption behaviour to switch to service and experience, which will continue to benefit OTA players. We believe other China internet names will outperform with overseas expansion and SFV players will continue to gain market shares with potential for take rate increases. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Tencent Holdings Limited: 1 director

A director at Tencent Holdings Limited sold after exercising options/sold 14,000 shares at 292.619HKD and the significance rating of the trade was 51/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's d...

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

Tencent 4Q23 Results: Domestic Games Could be Challenging in 1Q

What’s new: Tencent’s reported 4Q23 revs were below consensus and our expectations partly due to drag in gaming segment. Domestic games could remain challenging in 1Q partly due to tougher comps. Margins could further improve amid shift to high-quality revenue growth model, and continued cost controls. We maintain our PT at HKD450. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Tencent Holdings (700 HK): 4Q23: In-line results; lifting shareholder ...

Tencent’s 4Q23 results came in slightly below our expectation. Revenue grew 7.1% yoy to Rmb155.2b, in line with consensus estimate. Gross margin expanded 3ppt yoy to 50%, better than consensus forecast. Non-GAAP operating margin recovered to Rmb52b, while non-GAAP operating margin rose to 34.2%, beating our estimate. Non- IFRS net profit increased 43.7% yoy, 3% above consensus estimate on a positive revenue mix shift. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$382.00.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+13)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Ceilica Su Rui
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Thursday, March 21, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK/BUY/HK$17.20/Target: HK$21.00) 2023: In line; all set to expand market share. CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK/BUY/HK$6.41/Target: HK$7.80) 2023: Results in line; expects double-digit revenue and earnings growth in 2024. Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$8.83/Target: HK$11.00) 2023: Results beat on margins again; upgrade to BUY. Raise target price from HK$6.50 to HK$11.00. Innovent Biologics (1801 HK/BUY/HK$39.35/Target: HK$60.00) 2023: Results ...

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

Tencent: Key Metrics from Weixin Open Class Pro 2024

What’s New: Tencent held a closed-door Weixin Open Class Pro event this year. We highlight some of the key metrics shared from segments including video accounts and mini games. We also updated our online game revenue estimates for 4Q23. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

Tencent: Updates on Online Game Measures and Other Business Segments

What’s New: We maintain our 4Q23 estimates as overall business could remain largely intact. In this note, we discuss key updates including near-term outlook for segments including games, ads, and business services. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Softening tone from regulatory authority on online gam...

On 25 Dec 23, NPPA issued the 11th batch of domestic Banhao with 105 approvals, higher than previous monthly batches’ average of 85. We see a softening tone from NPPA’s draft on online game policy restrictions on 23 Dec 23. However, the execution and impact of the new regulations are yet to be tracked. We are cautiously optimistic on the online game sector’s growth in 2024 with the changes in the regulatory environment. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Strong pipeline in 2024; ample monetisation opportunit...

We expect resilient online games sector growth going into 2024, in view of a strong game grossing performance in 3Q23, solid game pipeline with multiple popular genres in 2024 as well as continuously favourable regulatory environment. We foresee ample monetisation opportunities from mini games and AIGC application. NetEase is our top pick given its strong position in the party games genre and margin improvement due to payment channel migration. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Heidi Mo Jinghui ... (+9)
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Jun Sian Tan
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Ming San Soong
  • Paula Ruth
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Notes - Thursday, December 07, 2023

GREATER CHINA Sector Internet: Strong pipeline in 2024; ample monetisation opportunities from party games. Shipping And Ports: Near-term outlook still subdued; trade volume likely to see a moderate pick-up in 2024. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top pick: CSP (1199 HK/BUY/Target: HK$6.42). INDONESIA Update XL Axiata (EXCL IJ/BUY/Rp2,140/Target: Rp2,500): Fixed broadband subscriber numbers might surge 385% from the migration of LINK’s customers. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Results Gamuda (GAM MK/BUY/RM4.41...

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