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Trung Nguyen
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Softbank Group

Felix Fischer
  • Felix Fischer

Asia Monthly – September 2025 In Review - Lucror Analytics

In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in September 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on...

DZJ COUNTRY GARDEN HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
M04 MGM CHINA HOLDINGS LIMITED
MAS MELCO RESORTS & ENTERTAINMENT LIMITED SPONSORED ADR
JSWSTEEL JSW STEEL LIMITED
00813 SHIMAO GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
XGH CHINA WATER AFFAIRS GROUP LIMITED
00817 ENN ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED
CHINA JINMAO HOLDINGS GROUP LIMITED
01238 CENTRAL CHINA REAL ESTATE LIMITED
00992 POWERLONG REAL ESTATE HOLDINGS LTD.
VED LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
02777 VEDANTA RESOURCES PLC
03383 GUANGZHOU R&F PROPERTIES CO. LTD. CLASS H
TATASTEEL AGILE GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
4755 TATA STEEL LIMITED
MEDC RAKUTEN INC.
ICT PT MEDCO ENERGI INTERNASIONAL TBK
01098 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINER TERMINAL SERVICES INC.
00603 ROAD KING INFRASTRUCTURE LIMITED
OL5 CHINA OIL & GAS GROUP LTD.
Z25 SHUI ON LAND LTD.
SXC YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED
03377 SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00880 SINO-OCEAN GROUP HOLDING LTD.
INDY SJM HOLDINGS LIMITED
8WY PT INDIKA ENERGY TBK
WFG1 WYNN MACAU LTD.
01030 WEST CHINA CEMENT LTD.
00884 SEAZEN GROUP LTD.
JPFA CIFI HOLDINGS (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00142 JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
600803 FIRST PACIFIC CO. LTD.
JFC ENN ECOLOGICAL HOLDINGS (A)
7201 JOLLIBEE FOODS CORP.
KIJA NISSAN MOTOR CO. LTD.
BIOCON PT KAWASAN INDUSTRI JABABEKA TBK CLASS A
9984 BIOCON LIMITED
SM SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
00405 SM INVESTMENTS CORPORATION
KOU YUEXIU REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
VLL KWG GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
00656 VISTA LAND & LIFESCAPES INC.
ADANIPORTS FOSUN INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
PWON ADANI PORTS & SPECIAL ECONOMIC ZONE LTD.
ICBP PT PAKUWON JATI TBK
TBIG PT INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR TBK
599A PT TOWER BERSAMA INFRASTRUCTURE TBK
TATAMOTORS SANDS CHINA LTD.
ADANITRANS TATA MOTORS LIMITED
POWR ADANI TRANSMISSION LTD.
AZRE PT CIKARANG LISTRINDO TBK
01112 AZURE POWER GLOBAL LTD.
VHM HEALTH AND HAPPINESS (H&H) INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
MSC VINHOMES
ADANIGREEN STUDIO CITY INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS ADS
00017 ADANI GREEN ENERGY LIMITED
RNW NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
PGEO RENEW ENERGY GLOBAL PLC
PT. PERTAMINA GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
Alden Gabriel Lam ... (+14)
  • Alden Gabriel Lam
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Damon Shen
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Lester Siew
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, September 29, 2025

Greater China Company Results | New World Development (17 HK/SELL/HK$7.84/Target: HK$6.90) In FY25, NWD reported a HK$16.3b loss and halted dividends but made progress in improving cash flow and debt structure. Short-term debt fell to HK$6.6b, or 4.5% of total debt. Debt reduction remains the priority for FY26, supported by the property sales target of HK$27b and lower capex. Management has no immediate plans for placement, rights issues or CB, but is open to considering various financing tools...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Alibaba Group (9988 HK): APSARA Conference 2025 Key Takeaways

We attended the Alibaba Cloud Apsara Conference 2025 (“云栖大会”) on 24-26 Sep 25 and noted various key growth drivers: a) potential upward revision of its Rmb380b three-year AI infrastructure capex plan; b) data centre energy consumption projected to rise 10x by 2032 vs 2022, underscoring computing demand; c) expanded partnerships, including NVIDIA, with PAI platform integration for embodied intelligence and autonomous driving; and d) launch of seven new Qwen models. Maintain BUY with a higher targ...

Damon Shen ... (+5)
  • Damon Shen
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Greater China Daily: Monday, September 29, 2025

Top Stories Company Results | New World Development (17 HK/SELL/HK$7.84/Target: HK$6.90) In FY25, NWD reported a HK$16.3b loss and halted dividends but made progress in improving cash flow and debt structure. Short-term debt fell to HK$6.6b, or 4.5% of total debt. Debt reduction remains the priority for FY26, supported by the property sales target of HK$27b and lower capex. Management has no immediate plans for placement, rights issues or CB, but is open to considering various financing tools. ...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

SoftBank Group: Holding Discount at Decade Low - downgrade to Neutral

SoftBank’s stock has appreciated 70% over the summer, bringing the holding discount to a decade low of 13%. Follow the link below for our updated perspective on the stock.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Re-valuation On Shifting Dynamics Of AI Infrastructure...

Following the release of 2Q25 results, the market has started to re-value AI-related and ad-tech upgrade themes. Garnering the most interest was the AI theme driven by: a) re-accelerated cloud revenue growth, b) the emergence of AI agents, c) broader AI application, and d) self-sufficiency in chip development. Potential beneficiaries of the AI theme poised for continuous re-rating include Alibaba, Tencent and Baidu. Tongcheng could see robust travel demand during Golden Week. Maintain OVERWEIGHT...

Felix Fischer ... (+6)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Salt, Verisure, Intrum, TK Elevator, Morrisons, Softbank Group, Bertrand Franchise

Trung Nguyen
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Softbank Group

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Key Takeaways From Marketing Trip

Key investor focus areas discussed during the marketing trip include: a) key drivers for AI cloud and applications outperformance, b) sustainability of monetisation of AI applications, c) ROI of accelerating capex, d) self-sufficiency in chips development, and e) where the competition in food delivery and quick commerce is ultimately headed. We foresee that AI/AI Cloud, online gaming and OTAs are poised to benefit from further re-rating, supported by their outperformance in growth. Maintain OVER...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+8)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Colin Lee
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, September 08, 2025

Greater China Initiation Coverage | Metasurface Technologies Holdings (8637 HK/BUY/HK1.48/Target: HK2.90) Metasurface is set to benefit from robust investment in the semi supply chain. As chip fabrication grows in complexity, more time is required to fabricate wafers and more wafer fabrication equipment is needed. Aerospace engineering is set to drive long-term growth as airline capacity continues to face shortages, forcing airlines to rely on their existing fleets and bo...

FR FIRST INDUSTRIAL REALTY TRUST INC.
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
CC3 STARHUB LTD
PTT PTT PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
S63 SINGAPORE TECHNOLOGIES ENGINEERING LTD
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
C09 CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED
S68 SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LTD.
U11 UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LTD. (SINGAPORE)
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
F34 WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
3816 MISC BHD
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
Y92 THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
YNS YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
NETLINK NETLINK NBN TRUST
SIE SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD
BAL BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
SPOST SINGAPORE POST LTD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
DLG DIALOG GROUP BHD
RFMD RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
HMN ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
WDH WATERDROP INC
SE US SEA LIMITED
9CI CAPITALAND INVESTMENT LTD
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
STM SEATRIUM LTD
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
8637 HK METASURFACE TECHNOLOGIES HOLDINGS LTD (8637 HK)
Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+2)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Singapore Research Team

Singapore Market Strategy - Yield-ing To Temptation: Yields Over Bonds

Attractive yield differentials. With Singapore government bond yields trending lower, the yield differential between fixed income and equities has narrowed in 2025, thus reinforcing the relative appeal of companies offering high, sustainable dividend payouts. Equity yields in the 4-6% range now offer a compelling pickup versus the 10-year Singapore Government Bond yield (1.8579% as at 4 Sep 25), while also providing potential for capital gains. In our view, this widening yield gap should support...

FR FIRST INDUSTRIAL REALTY TRUST INC.
AES AES CORPORATION
OU8 CENTURION
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
CC3 STARHUB LTD
S63 SINGAPORE TECHNOLOGIES ENGINEERING LTD
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
C09 CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED
S68 SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LTD.
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
F34 WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
Y92 THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
AP4 RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
SE SEA ADS
SATS SP SATS LTD.
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
NETLINK NETLINK NBN TRUST
SIE SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD
BAL BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
SPOST SINGAPORE POST LTD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
FHT FRASERS HOSPITALITY TRUST
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
RFMD RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
RSTON RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
HMN ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
SE US SEA LIMITED
CVL CIVMEC
9CI CAPITALAND INVESTMENT LTD
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
BCOW 1895 BANCORP OF WISCONSIN INC
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
DCRU DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
STM SEATRIUM LTD
EPIC 1CM INC
Z29 029 GROUP SE
PAN SP PAN-UNITED CORPORATION (PAN SP)
Greater China Research Team
  • Greater China Research Team

Greater China Alpha Picks: September Conviction Calls

In August, the HSI and MSCI China Index hit their ytd highs, posting gains of 1.2% mom and 4.2% mom respectively, supported by dovish remarks from Fed Chair J. Powell at Jackson Hole. Looking ahead, we expect some consolidation as most of the positives have been priced in and are biased to SELL. We add Anta, BYDE and CSCEC to our BUY list, while initiating SELL calls on Li Auto and OOIL. We take profit on Innovent, JD Logistics, Lenovo, Sino Biopharm, Tencent and TME.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: AI -- Accelerating AI+cloud hyperscaler growth; AI age...

We expect the emergence of AI agents and AI applications to continue fuelling the surge in AI inference demand, driving the acceleration of hyperscaler revenue growth, and we forecast revenue growth reaccelerating in 2H25-2026. The sustained dominance of super-apps in commerce, coupled with the swift rise of cost-efficient AI models, creates a strong catalyst for adoption and future global expansion. We upgrade the internet sector to OVERWEIGHT and are OVERWEIGHT the AI segment.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Jensen’s $3-4tn, Elon's 50m H100s, Marvell's miss, and more. Our weekl...

As always, during earnings season, we wrap-up what happened in the previous week. For our main takes summarized on a single slide, and a few words on each of the 9 names we followed last week, follow the link below.

Felix Fischer
  • Felix Fischer

Asia Monthly – August 2025 In Review - Lucror Analytics

In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in August 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on de...

DZJ COUNTRY GARDEN HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
M04 MGM CHINA HOLDINGS LIMITED
MAS MELCO RESORTS & ENTERTAINMENT LIMITED SPONSORED ADR
JSWSTEEL JSW STEEL LIMITED
00813 SHIMAO GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
XGH CHINA WATER AFFAIRS GROUP LIMITED
00817 ENN ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED
CHINA JINMAO HOLDINGS GROUP LIMITED
01238 CENTRAL CHINA REAL ESTATE LIMITED
00992 POWERLONG REAL ESTATE HOLDINGS LTD.
VED LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
02777 VEDANTA RESOURCES PLC
03383 GUANGZHOU R&F PROPERTIES CO. LTD. CLASS H
TATASTEEL AGILE GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
4755 TATA STEEL LIMITED
MEDC RAKUTEN INC.
ICT PT MEDCO ENERGI INTERNASIONAL TBK
01098 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINER TERMINAL SERVICES INC.
00603 ROAD KING INFRASTRUCTURE LIMITED
OL5 CHINA OIL & GAS GROUP LTD.
Z25 SHUI ON LAND LTD.
SXC YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED
03377 SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00880 SINO-OCEAN GROUP HOLDING LTD.
INDY SJM HOLDINGS LIMITED
8WY PT INDIKA ENERGY TBK
WFG1 WYNN MACAU LTD.
01030 WEST CHINA CEMENT LTD.
00884 SEAZEN GROUP LTD.
JPFA CIFI HOLDINGS (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00142 JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
600803 FIRST PACIFIC CO. LTD.
JFC ENN ECOLOGICAL HOLDINGS (A)
7201 JOLLIBEE FOODS CORP.
KIJA NISSAN MOTOR CO. LTD.
BIOCON PT KAWASAN INDUSTRI JABABEKA TBK CLASS A
9984 BIOCON LIMITED
SM SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
00405 SM INVESTMENTS CORPORATION
KOU YUEXIU REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
VLL KWG GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
00656 VISTA LAND & LIFESCAPES INC.
ADANIPORTS FOSUN INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
PWON ADANI PORTS & SPECIAL ECONOMIC ZONE LTD.
ICBP PT PAKUWON JATI TBK
TBIG PT INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR TBK
599A PT TOWER BERSAMA INFRASTRUCTURE TBK
TATAMOTORS SANDS CHINA LTD.
ADANITRANS TATA MOTORS LIMITED
POWR ADANI TRANSMISSION LTD.
AZRE PT CIKARANG LISTRINDO TBK
01112 AZURE POWER GLOBAL LTD.
VHM HEALTH AND HAPPINESS (H&H) INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
MSC VINHOMES
ADANIGREEN STUDIO CITY INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS ADS
00017 ADANI GREEN ENERGY LIMITED
RNW NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
PGEO RENEW ENERGY GLOBAL PLC
PT. PERTAMINA GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: AI -- Accelerating AI+cloud hyperscaler growth; AI age...

We expect the emergence of AI agents and AI applications to continue fuelling the surge in AI inference demand, driving the acceleration of hyperscaler revenue growth, and we forecast revenue growth reaccelerating in 2H25-2026. The sustained dominance of super-apps in commerce, coupled with the swift rise of cost-efficient AI models, creates a strong catalyst for adoption and future global expansion. We upgrade the internet sector to OVERWEIGHT and are OVERWEIGHT the AI segment. WHAT’S NEW  Ev...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Strong top-line growth and margins further hurt in 2H2...

China’s internet companies reported intact 2Q25 top-line with mixed earnings results. The key focuses are on the latest quick commerce war and AI cloud and agent development. In 2Q25, we saw meaningful AI monetisation visibility contributing to incremental top-line growth, and expect this momentum to continue into 2H25. On the profitability front, margins will remain under pressure from heightened investments to fend off the intensifying competition in on-demand delivery. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Desmond Chong Chee Wai ... (+3)
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Alibaba Group (9988 HK): 1QFY26: Better-than-expected CMR and cloud re...

Alibaba reported strong 1QFY26 results. Revenue grew 2% yoy to Rmb247.7b, in line with the street’s estimate. Non-GAAP net profit was Rmb33.5b, down 18% yoy, in line with our forecast, with net margin of 14.8%, due to its investment in Taobao Instant Commerce. In the coming quarters, management expects to see: a) solid CMR growth as the company leverages on the Rmb30t addressable market, and b) strong cloud growth fuelled by AIrelated demand. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$170.00 ...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+21)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Monday, September 1, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI August's manufacturing PMI edged up slightly to 49.4 (+0.1pt mom), while non-manufacturing PMI improved modestly to 50.3 (+0.2pt mom). However, construction PMI fell to 49.1 (-1.5pt mom), below the expansion threshold for the first time since January. With moderating decline in new orders and new export orders, PMI for large-sized enterprise (50.8, +0.5pt mom) and small-sized enterprise (46.6, +0.2pt mom) both improved. Overall, a mixed bag. Results Alibaba Group...

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