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Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 31/01/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Corcel (CRCL LN)C; Target price of 1.00p per share: Restarting intervention activities at Tobias field -Intervention activities will soon restart at the Tobias-13 and Tobias-14 wells on Block KON-11, aiming to re-establish production at the Tobias field. Discovered in 1961, the Tobias field initially had an estimated 94 mmbbl of oil in place. Twelve wells were drilled, with eight producers reaching peak production of 17.5 mbbl/d. The T...

ABGSC Energy Research ... (+7)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • John Olaisen
  • Oliver Dunvold

Q4 in-line, FY'25 guidance below ABGSCe

EBITDA of USD 142m vs. ABGSCe of USD 148m. FY'25 guidance: Production below expectations, but so are costs. Q4 as expected, but weaker guidance.

 PRESS RELEASE

BW Energy: Fourth Quarter Results 2024

BW Energy: Fourth Quarter Results 2024 BW ENERGY FOURTH QUARTER RESULTS 2024 HIGHLIGHTS•          Record Q4 EBITDA of USD 141.6 million, net profit of USD 56.8 million•          Full-year revenue of USD 0.8 billion (+57%), EBITDA of USD 457.4 million (+90%) and net profit of USD 165.9 million (+105%)•          Operational cash-flow of USD 117.7 million in the quarter•          Q4 gross production of 4.0 mmbbls with 3.1 mmbbls net to BW Energy •          Highest quarterly production since inception from the Dussafu licence •          ESP replacement program completed as planned with 8 pro...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector.

ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Stian Wibstad
Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Weekly news, topics & discussion

This week, OKEA published a solid Q4 trading update, with net production of 37.8kboed well above our 32.4kboed estimate, leaving full-year production at 39.1kboed, at the top end of its 37–39kboed guidance. In other news, BW Energy announced it is targeting an FID for Maromba in Q1, with capex expected around USD1.2bn (~USD1.0bn previously). Also, the Norwegian Offshore Directorate’s (NOD) preliminary production figures for December show production was down ~5% YOY.

 PRESS RELEASE

BW Energy: Invitation to Q4 2024 results presentation 31 January  

BW Energy: Invitation to Q4 2024 results presentation 31 January   Invitation to Q4 2024 results presentation 31 January   BW Energy will release its fourth quarter and preliminary full-year 2024 results on Friday, 31 January at 07:30 CET.   A conference call followed by Q&A will be hosted by CEO Carl K. Arnet, CFO Brice Morlot and COO Lin G. Espey the same day at 15:00 CET.  You can follow the presentation via webcast with supporting slides, available on:  Viewer Registration Q4 2024     Call-in information  Participants dial in numbers:  DK:   SE:  NO:  UK: 9 US:  Singapore...

 PRESS RELEASE

BW Energy: Pareto company presentation

BW Energy: Pareto company presentation BW Energy is presenting at the Pareto Securities' E&P Independents Conference in London today. Please see the attached presentation.  For further information, please contact:  Brice Morlot, CFO BW Energy, +33.7.81.11.41.16  ABOUT BW ENERGY:  BW Energy is a growth E&P company with a differentiated strategy targeting proven offshore oil and gas reservoirs through low risk phased developments. The Company has access to existing production facilities to reduce time to first oil and cashflow with lower investments than traditional offshore developmen...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Soft NCS production in December

The Norwegian Offshore Directorate’s (NOD) preliminary NCS figures for December showed soft liquids production of 2,018kboed (2% below forecast) and solid gas production of 361mcm/d (2% above forecast). Overall production was 4.29mmboed, up 1.2% MOM (in line with its forecast), but down 5.3% YOY. On a company level, Equinor, Vår Energi and DNO saw higher production MOM in November, while Aker BP (which has already reported Q4 production) and OKEA saw lower production MOM.

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector.

ABGSC Energy Research ... (+8)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Weekly news, topics and discussion

This week, we released a sector update for our E&P coverage. We made minor changes to our oil and gas prices assumptions, but struggled to find an appealing risk/reward among our large caps, especially gas-heavy names. We favour Aker BP and Panoro Energy as our top picks, while Equinor remains a funding candidate. In other news, Equinor and Aker BP released Q4 trading statements. We view Equinor’s figures as neutral, and Aker BP’s as strong, due to solid production and realised oil and gas price...

ABGSC Energy Research ... (+8)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 17/01/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Corcel (CRCL LN)C; Target price of 1.00p per share: Initiating Coverage - Corcel is a ~£6 mm market cap AIM-listed E&P company focused on Portuguese-speaking Angola and Brazil. It offers a unique exposure to the prolific Kwanza onshore basin in Angola which reopened to international companies in 2021. Corcel is also building a portfolio of mature onshore producing assets in Brazil. The key asset in Angola is the KON-16 licence, which C...

 PRESS RELEASE

BW Energy: Q4 2024 operational update

BW Energy: Q4 2024 operational update Q4 2024 operational update  BW Energy will publish financial figures for Q4 2024 on Friday, 31 January 2025. The full audited annual report will be published on 26 February 2025.   Net production to BW Energy was 3.1 million barrels of oil (bbls) in Q4 2024, equal to 33,600 bbls per day, from the Dussafu licence in Gabon (73.5% working interest) and the Golfinho field (100% working interest) in Brazil. For the full year, net production to BW Energy amounted to 10.0 mmbbls, in line with guidance.     Volume (mmbbls)Q4 2024Q3 2024Net production3.12.4Du...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Limited prospects for re-rating

While our coverage universe has seen a strong start to the year, we have made minor alterations to our oil and gas price assumptions, as sanction-related upside potential appears to be priced in the Brent oil and share prices. Thus, we struggle to find an appealing risk/reward among the large caps, especially gas-heavy names, prompting us to downgrade Vår Energi and BlueNord to HOLD (BUY). We favour Aker BP and Panoro Energy as our top picks, while Equinor remains a funding candidate.

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector.

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Weekly news, topics & discussion

This week, Equinor reported a preliminary internal gas price of USD12.05/mmbtu for Q4, slightly below Bloomberg consensus and 10% below the TTF day-ahead for the quarter. It also announced that the ongoing outage at its Hammerfest LNG facility was being extended by 10 days to 19 January. In other news, BlueNord reported preliminary net production of 28.9kboed for December, and 26.0kboed for Q4, slightly below our estimate of 29.0kboed.

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