Corcel (CRCL LN) - Warrant exercise provides funding boost - Corporate

Corcel has announced initial exercise of part of its accelerated warrants, providing very helpful additional funding for the company’s upcoming Angola 2D seismic programme.

Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Initial investment through US$100 mm pa...

• The first investment under the US$100 mm Zephyr Hawk partnership has been approved, comprising a US$2.5 mm commitment fully funded by Zephyr’s partner. The investment secures a share in a work programme targeting up to 13 wells. • Zephyr estimates life-of-well undiscounted cashflows of ~US$1.8 mm, net to its interest. • This marks the first in a series of similar transactions. Even assuming a conservative NPV10 of 30–50% of the undiscounted cashflow, the US$2.5 mm investment by the funding par...

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 10/10/2025

Please click here to access the financial metrics for Auctus' coverage universe AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Serica Energy (SQZ LN)C; Target price of £3.05 per share: Another operational setback at Triton; value and distribution profile intact – Operational issues with the flare system at the Triton FPSO have resulted in a temporary suspension of production. Production is likely to restart shortly at very low rates until the root cause is identified and resolved...

Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): ~35 mmboe net 2P reserves in the Parado...

• Zephyr is estimated to hold 35.2 mmboe net 2P reserves (net of royalty) and 74.2 mmboe 3P plus contingent resources in the Paradox. The 2P case assumes 12 drilling locations, including 3 existing wells. These volumes are materially higher than in the 2022 CPR (25x for 2P) and align with the May management estimates (25.6–89.5 mmboe vs. 35.2–74.2 mmboe in the new CPR’s 2P–3P+2C range). The 3P+2C case includes 11 additional locations (further from the existing wells) vs. the 2P case. • The CPR a...

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 03/10/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.40 per share: Dry hole at Mateguafa Oeste but three more prospects to drill – The Mateguafa Oeste was water wet. Our ReNAV for the well was £0.09 per share. We did not carry any production from this prospect in our cash flow forecast. The rig will now move to Mateguafa Attic where the Mateguafa 5 vertical well will be drilled in November. This is a low risk well that is a step out to M...

Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 01/10/2025

1st October 2025 @HybridanLLP * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP. ** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) or similar announcement has been made. ***Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement. ****Alphabetically arranged and priced on Share Price and Market Capitalisation during the time of writing on the day of Publication. Dish of the day Admissions: None Delistings: None What’s baking in the oven? Potential** Initial...

Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL): Dry hole at Mateguafa Oeste but th...

• The Mateguafa Oeste was water wet. Our ReNAV for the well was £0.09 per share. We did not carry any production from this prospect in our cash flow forecast. • The rig will now move to Mateguafa Attic where the Mateguafa 5 vertical well will be drilled in November. This is a low risk well that is a step out to Mateguafa 1 and Mateguafa 3, which together historically produced 0.6 mmbbl of oil out of the Carbonera zone, C7. This target is geologically independent from the Mateguafa Oeste prospect...

Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): All eyes on upcoming CPR for the Parado...

• 2Q25 sales (excluding NGLs) averaged 632 boe/d, reflecting continued operator-imposed constraints on the six Slawson wells due to prevailing low commodity prices. Aggregate production from these wells in 1H25 was 141 boe/d, below management’s forecast of 214 boe/d. Importantly, there are no reservoir integrity concerns. With the recent completion of a production acquisition which has added approximately 380 moe/d from June, and the potential for the Slawson wells to come back online, we believ...

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 26/09/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Favourable court ruling allows Welchau testing operations to resume – The Upper Austrian State Administrative Court has rejected objections from environmental activist groups regarding drilling and testing at Welchau. The court confirmed that Environmental Clearances were issued in full compliance with applicable regulations. ADX is now authorized to resume operations at the Welch...

Corcel plc (AIM: CRCL): Insiders and large shareholders exercise warra...

• Charlestown Energy Partners, certain of the company's directors, and other private investors have exercised 50 million warrants at an exercise price of 0.50 pence per share, representing a ~40% premium to the share price prior to the announcement. • These warrants formed part of a 125 million warrant transfer from SNPC (Shandong New Powder COSMO) to the participating shareholders. SNPC has retained 41.5 million warrants. • In exchange, the expiry date of the unexercised 116.5 million warrants...

Energy Morning - 24 September 2025

Crude Quarterly Q3'25: oil price could be troughing

Estimate changes from Crude Quarterly

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 12/09/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Deep dive into Italy – ADX has released further details on its C.R 150.AU permit; located in shallow waters offshore western Sicily, ~50 km from a potential onshore tie-in to the TransMed pipeline, which transports Algerian gas to Europe. While initial efforts centred on the Nilde oil field, ADX has shifted its strategic focus toward gas, reflecting the evidence of high quality ga...

Corcel (CRCL LN) - Initiation: Massive drilling upside potential - Cor...

Corcel is an E&P with assets onshore Angola and Brazil. The company’s largest opportunity is its KON-16 block in the Kwanza basin in Angola, where Corcel is working up multi-hundred mmbbl pre-salt prospects, for potential exploration drilling in Q4 2026. This gives the potential for large drilling upside in an attractive, under-explored onshore basin. We have a positive outlook for the shares and value them at 1.22p.

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 05/09/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Firming-up the exploration portfolio in Austria – ADX has matured its Austrian exploration portfolio following: (1) recent drilling results, (2) licence area modifications, and (3) updated technical evaluations. Excluding the Welchau-1 well drilled in 2024—where resource classification remains pending due to suspended flow testing (following an environmental objection)—ADX has del...

Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL): Potential reserves addition in the...

• Current production exceeds 4,800 boe/d, marking an increase of approximately 600 boe/d since the last reported figure on 28 August. • This uplift reflects the contribution of two new wells brought online. CN HZ13 is producing ~1,000 bbl/d gross (~500 bbl/d net) from the Ubaque reservoir, with a water cut of 32%. AB-3, a vertical well, has been recompleted in the C7 formation and is currently producing 840 bbl/d gross (420 bbl/d net) with a water cut of 73%. The well is still in clean-up phase....

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 29/08/2025

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.50 per share: High impact exploration drilling in 2H25 – 2Q25 production averaged 3,768 boe/d, impacted by water handling constraints and steeper-than-anticipated early declines at newly drilled wells. Current WI production stands at ~4,200 boe/d, down from the July peak of 4,600–4,800 boe/d, which reflected initial flush output from AB-HZ5 and AB-HZ4. While first-month decline rates are steep, Arrow has observed that post-month-one declines are...

Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL): High impact exploration drilling i...

• 2Q25 production averaged 3,768 boe/d, impacted by water handling constraints and steeper-than-anticipated early declines at newly drilled wells. • Current WI production stands at ~4,200 boe/d, down from the July peak of 4,600–4,800 boe/d, which reflected initial flush output from AB-HZ5 and AB-HZ4. While first-month decline rates are steep, Arrow has observed that post-month-one declines are minimal. For example, recent horizontal wells have delivered initial rates exceeding 1,000 bbl/d, decli...

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) - H1 2025 results - BUY

Arrow has released its H1 2025 results, reporting a further period of production cash flows helping support the company’s busy ongoing drilling and investment programme on its Tapir block in Colombia.