reports
- Pelham Smithers
DIS WALT DISNEY COMPANY
9697 CAPCOM CO. LTD.
4816 TOEI ANIMATION
9468 KADOKAWA CORPORATION
9766 KONAMI HOLDINGS CORP
7974 NINTENDO CO. LTD.
6758 SONY CORPORATION
9602 TOHO CO. LTD.
3765 GUNGHO ONLINE ENTERTAINMENT INC.
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
6460 JP SEGA SAMMY
78320 BANDAI NAMCO
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Strategy: Japan Stock Market Quarterly 2024 Q4
When the BoJ raised rates in March, it had been 17 years since it had last done so, though the world was very different then. While the July rate hike was unlikely to move the economic needle, the question now is what else might follow the subsequent financial market maelstrom. Pelham Smithers discusses the outlook for Japan’s macro environment, what new fiscal policies the new PM might introduce, how the BoJ might react and the all-important trend in corporate earnings. This then leads us to...
6754 ANRITSU CORPORATION
7751 CANON INC.
4519 CHUGAI PHARMACEUTICAL CO. LTD.
4751 CYBERAGENT INC.
4755 RAKUTEN INC.
3107 DAIWABO HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
8473 SBI HOLDINGS INC.
6954 FANUC CORPORATION
4324 DENTSU GROUP INC.
6861 KEYENCE CORPORATION
4902 KONICA MINOLTA INC.
6988 NITTO DENKO CORP.
7752 RICOH COMPANY LTD.
6869 SYSMEX CORPORATION
3064 MONOTARO CO. LTD.
5801 FURUKAWA ELECTRIC CO. LTD.
5715 FURUKAWA CO. LTD.
7205 HINO MOTORS LTD.
6501 HITACHI LTD.
6305 HITACHI CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY CO. LTD.
7267 HONDA MOTOR CO. LTD.
7012 KAWASAKI HEAVY INDUSTRIES LTD.
9107 KAWASAKI KISEN KAISHA LTD.
6971 KYOCERA CORPORATION
8316 SUMITOMO MITSUI FINANCIAL GROUP INC.
6503 MITSUBISHI ELECTRIC CORP.
5632 MITSUBISHI STEEL MANUFACTURING CO. LTD.
5706 MITSUI MINING AND SMELTING COMPANY LIMITED
6966 MITSUI HIGH-TEC INC.
6902 DENSO CORPORATION
6701 NEC CORP.
6594 NIDEC CORPORATION
7201 NISSAN MOTOR CO. LTD.
4666 PARK24 CO. LTD.
6268 NABTESCO CORPORATION
2371 KAKAKU.COM INC.
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
8136 SANRIO COMPANY LTD.
6758 SONY CORPORATION
5802 SUMITOMO ELECTRIC INDUSTRIES LTD.
6762 TDK CORPORATION
6976 TAIYO YUDEN CO. LTD.
6315 TOWA CORPORATION
7203 TOYOTA MOTOR CORP.
4208 UBE INDUSTRIES LTD.
8698 MONEX GROUP INC.
3774 INTERNET INITIATIVE JAPAN
3765 GUNGHO ONLINE ENTERTAINMENT INC.
2160 GNI GROUP LTD.
3659 NEXON CO. LTD.
3445 RS TECHNOLOGIES CO. LTD.
6269 MODEC INC
3769 GMO PAYMENT
68900 FERROTEC CORPORATION
9519 RENOVA
4385 MERCARI INC.
3993 PKSHA TECHNOLOGY INC.
3626 JT TIS INC
9434 SOFTBANK CORP.
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
7071 AMVIS HOLDINGS
78320 BANDAI NAMCO
45870 PEPTIDREAM INC
4443 JT SANSAN (4443 JT)
3491 JT GA TECHNOLOGIES
3394 JT MONEY FOWARD
4480 MEDLEY
RRRP3 3R PETROLEUM OLEO E GAS
6532 JT BAYCURRENT CONSULTING (6532 JT)
3697 JT SHIFT INCORPORATED (3697 JT)
4483 JMDC
4180 JP APPIER GROUP
TSE: 2980 SRE HOLDINGS CORP
4194 VISIONAL INC
9552 M&A RESEARCH INSTITUTE
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
9616 JT KYORITSU MAINTENANCE (9616 JT)
9552 JT M&A RESEARCH INSTITUTE (9552 JT)
6544 JT JAPAN ELEVATOR SERVICES HOLDINGS (6544 JT)
6200 JT INSOURCE (6200 JT)
2154 JT OPEN UP GROUP (2154 JT)
- Pelham Smithers
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
9697 CAPCOM CO. LTD.
4751 CYBERAGENT INC.
9684 SQUARE ENIX HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
3656 KLAB INC.
9766 KONAMI HOLDINGS CORP
7974 NINTENDO CO. LTD.
6758 SONY CORPORATION
2432 DENA CO. LTD.
3765 GUNGHO ONLINE ENTERTAINMENT INC.
3659 NEXON CO. LTD.
6460 JP SEGA SAMMY
36350 KOEI TECMO
ONEM 1LIFE HEALTHCARE
- Pelham Smithers
9684 SQUARE ENIX HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
3656 KLAB INC.
3932 AKATSUKI INC.
9766 KONAMI HOLDINGS CORP
6758 SONY CORPORATION
2432 DENA CO. LTD.
3765 GUNGHO ONLINE ENTERTAINMENT INC.
3659 NEXON CO. LTD.
6460 JP SEGA SAMMY
GRVY GRAVITY CO. LTD. ADS
21210 MIXI
651 GREE ELECTRIC APPLIANCES
78320 BANDAI NAMCO
36350 KOEI TECMO
1954.T NIPPON KOEI CO LTD
- Pelham Smithers
- Chris Hoare
LY Corp (Buy, TP: ¥585, +25%) Q3 FY23 Quick Take: Strong EBITDA beat;...
LY delivered a strong EBITDA beat today, ahead consensus by 9% and upgraded EBITDA guidance for the full year, from +10% to +17%. We observed strong momentum in Commerce and Strategic. Beginning from this quarter onwards, the company had reallocated its costs, mostly to its Media and Commerce business and a smaller proportion to Strategic., thus retroactive revisions were made.
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Media & Entertainment: Global Video Game Industry Update
The global video games market has improved since the start of the year and 2023 now looks like being an "up" year, after the retrenchment in 2022. However, recent quarterly results suggested Japanese video games companies are struggling to take advantage of this. We look at why conditions are improving, and which Japanese firms are keeping pace and which aren't.
- Chris Hoare
LY Corp (Buy, TP: ¥585, +33%) Q2 FY23 Quick Take: Better trends and a...
LY (previously “Z Holdings”) delivered a strong set of results today. EBITDA outperformed and was 15% ahead of expectations, led by increased efficiency in sales promotion and reduction of commissions. Trends in Media and Commerce improved, while PayPay’s EBITDA stayed positive for the second quarter. The company is also seeing good traction from its Yahoo and Line ID linkage.
- Jo Yee Ng
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
China Home Appliance: Overseas recovery underway; maintain MARKET WEIG...
We believe the capital market focus has shifted to overseas market recovery instead of domestic AC sales after the peak season. In our view, the overseas market recovery is underway with normalised inventories and improved enddemand. We now turn more optimistic on China white goods exports in 4Q23, supported by overseas retailers?re-stocking for the upcoming holiday season. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector and prefer Haier-H to Midea.
- Thao Nguyen
- Chris Hoare
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Consumer Electronics / Entertainment: Video Game Industry Update
With global console game sales rising, analyst Pelham Smithers discusses whether we are in a new video game industry upswing. Moreover, sales of the PS5 are starting to generate clear water between those of the Xbox X/S in the Americas region – Microsoft’s backyard – so, if the gap becomes even more significant, there will certainly be implications for the X/S.
- Chris Hoare
- David Lopes
Japanese e-Commerce A slower quarter; CY 1Q23 review
Q1 was a slower quarter for the Japanese e-Commerce space. GMV growth slowed, it is still growing double digit though, take rates were mixed and pure B2C e-Commerce revenue slowed as a result. Z Holdings had a weak Q4 (CYQ1) but we think FY23 may be the turning point. Rakuten’s performance in e-Commerce/Fintech was decent again but we remain concerned by the mobile business.
- Thao Nguyen
PSA Internet / eCommerce: Z Holdings (4689 JT) – Feeling a Sense of Ur...
Since Mar 2021, when LINE was integrated, Z Holdings has done little more than scratching the surface in terms of realising group synergies. Analyst Thao Nguyen reviews the FY22 results and FY23 outlook, and reinstates her neutral stance regarding the company’s business prospects.
- Chris Hoare
Z Holdings (Buy, PT: ¥585 from ¥940, +58%) Q4 22: Weak quarter, possi...
Z Holdings reported lower than expected Q4 results, driven by the declining EC GMV trend. Q4 22 revenue was 7% lighter than consensus while adjusted EBITDA was 5% behind. However, we think FY23 may be the turning point for Z Holdings.
- Thao Nguyen
- Chris Hoare
- David Lopes
- Kirk Boodry
- Chris Hoare
Z Holdings (Buy, TP: ¥940, +250%) Q3 22: Weak advertising and GMV, gu...
Z Holdings has reported a disappointing set of Q3 results with improving profitability but deteriorating trends on Media and EC GMV that are being impacted by the weaker macro economy. Revenue guidance has been maintained (though will be challenging we think), but EBITDA guidance for the full year has been cut to the low end of the previous range (¥331.5bn from range ¥331.5 - ¥340bn), despite a decent performance this quarter.
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Market Strategy: Japan Perspective for 2023
At the beginning of every year we publish our PSA Perspective, a report intended as a long shelf-life look at the year ahead. This year Pelham Smithers discusses Japan's economy, the outlook for the stock market, and some stand-out themes and developments for the year. These include the digital yen and the demise of live action entertainment in Japan. We also update our noted PSA Focus List of stocks. Table of Contents Overview 3 Background: 4 Japan’s Economic Outlook 5 Ja...
005930 SAMSUNG ELECTRONICS CO. LTD.
V VISA INC. CLASS A
ATVI ACTIVISION BLIZZARD INC.
LLOY LLOYDS BANKING GROUP PLC
9020 EAST JAPAN RAILWAY COMPANY
9684 SQUARE ENIX HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
9983 FAST RETAILING CO. LTD.
6861 KEYENCE CORPORATION
8411 MIZUHO FINANCIAL GROUP INC.
3349 COSMOS PHARMACEUTICAL CORPORATION
4188 MITSUBISHI CHEMICAL HOLDINGS CORPORATION
9468 KADOKAWA CORPORATION
8306 MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL GROUP INC.
6301 KOMATSU LTD.
8058 MITSUBISHI CORPORATION
7011 MITSUBISHI HEAVY INDUSTRIES LTD.
7211 MITSUBISHI MOTORS CORPORATION
6981 MURATA MANUFACTURING CO. LTD.
6902 DENSO CORPORATION
6594 NIDEC CORPORATION
7201 NISSAN MOTOR CO. LTD.
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
6758 SONY CORPORATION
4005 SUMITOMO CHEMICAL CO. LTD.
8053 SUMITOMO CORPORATION
6762 TDK CORPORATION
4502 TAKEDA PHARMACEUTICAL CO. LTD.
7203 TOYOTA MOTOR CORP.
9021 WEST JAPAN RAILWAY COMPANY
2413 M3 INC.
7270 SUBARU CORP
6506 YASKAWA ELECTRIC CORPORATION
AAPL APPLE INC.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
9434 SOFTBANK CORP.
78320 BANDAI NAMCO
36350 KOEI TECMO
9988 ALIBABA (9988 HK)
3394 JT MONEY FOWARD
4051 JT GMO FINANCIAL GATE (4051 JT)
TSE:4477 BASE INC
4259 JT EXAWIZARDS INC
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