Money Forward (3994 JT) and Freee's (4478 JT) market caps have been converging as the latter starts a recovery from all-time lows. Freee's earlier shift to operating profitability has attracted investor attention, as MF guides for a deceleration in sales growth for its FY25. However, over the long-term, MF is looking more attractive.
In this quarterly strategy report, we look to evaluate where we are with regards the bull market conditions, and where those indicators might be headed, factoring in the downside risks, from Trump tariffs and the US economy, BoJ actions, Japanese earnings and valuations.
PSA: Enterprise Software: SMID-Cap IT Services Valuations-Growth Gap Looking for opportunities in SMID-cap IT services and SaaS companies with significant gaps between valuations and growth among those well positioned for growth in a changing world.
Last week, DeepSeek’s highly efficient models called into question the need for further compute infrastructure investments. However, our latest analysis demonstrates that growing compute by orders of magnitude is next on the start-up’s agenda, if they want to stay in the game. Click on the link below for more details – on a single slide
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) assigned Baa2 ratings to Oracle Corporation's (Oracle) proposed senior unsecured note offering. The company's existing ratings including the Baa2 senior unsecured and Prime-2 Commercial Paper ratings and stable outlook remain unchanged. Oracle has indicated that it will us...
Our analysis of Stargate ambitions and the economics OpenAI aims for over time reveal a stark dilemma, which explains a lot the move, and puts into question the ability of the joint venture to sustainably deploy that much datacenter capacity and, more broadly, the ability of the industry to absorb the datacenter capacity deployed for the training of frontier models.
The Stargate announcement – The $500bn datacenter, was the opportunity for us to bring together a number of analyses we have carried out in recent weeks, to understand how the economics of AI Infrastructure will shape up over time. We bring together, in the piece we publish today, an initial perspective, which might be groundbreaking. This work will help us understand how the AI landscape will shape up in the next 2-3 years, expect more from us on that topic in coming weeks and months.
Tags: NTT Corp (9432 JT), Equinix (EQIX US), Iron Mountain (IRM US), Amazon (AMZN US), Microsoft (MSFT US), Google (GOOG US), Digital Realty Trust (DLR US), QTS (owned by Blackstone (BX US)), CyrusOne (owned by KKR (KKR US) and Global Infrastructure Partners (pvt), Cyxtera (owned by Brookfield Infrastructure Partners (BIP US)), Cologix (pvt), Meta (META US), Apple (AAPL US), Oracle (ORCL US), Netflix (NFLX US), Money Forward (3994 JT), Digital Realty Trust (DLR US), DataBridge Group (DBRG US), N...
After 3 good years, 2024 was not great for the Japanese incumbents; with KDDI and SoftBank rising modestly and NTT falling, but all underperforming the Nikkei. In our view, risk is rising in Mobile, although we continue to see the sector as fundamentally undervalued. Rakuten performed well in 2024, but this was really to do with balance sheet risk easing on the back of cost cutting/refinancing rather than better traction in Mobile.
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