Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
Downgrading Energy to Market Weight Over the past two weeks, we have been steadfast in our belief that this current rally/short squeeze is likely to fizzle in the 4100-4165 area on the S&P 500. This has generally held true as last week's high was 4195 before moving back below 4165 the following day. Still, there has yet to be any meaningful deterioration and we cannot rule out the S&P 500 reaching higher, potentially for 4300-4325 (August 2022 highs), in an attempt to shake out remaining shorts...
Liberty Oilfield Services (LBRT) is a well-positioned vertically integrated, pure play U.S. shale E&S company. Uniform Accounting highlights the company's profitability potential during a strong shale cycle that the market is missing, indicating equity upside is warranted. Liberty spent the last several years consolidating the U.S. shale completions market, positioning itself to benefit from a surge shale production. With Russian oil coming off the market and oil demand recovering from the...
Bath & Body Works (BBWI) currently trades below corporate and historical averages relative to Uniform earnings, with a 12.8x Uniform P/E (Fwd. V/E'). At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to compress to 12%, accompanied by 3% Uniform asset growth. However, analysts expect Uniform ROA to improve to 22% by 2023, accompanied by 19% Uniform asset shrinkage. If sustained going forward, these levels would imply a stock price closer to $22, representing significant pot...
BATH AND BODY WORKS (US), a company active in the Apparel Retailers industry, now shows a lower overall rating. The independent financial analyst theScreener confirms the fundamental rating of 2 out of 4 stars. However, the market behaviour deterioration triggered a risk requalification, which can be thus described as moderately risky. theScreener believes that increased risk justifies the general evaluation downgrade to Neutral. As of the analysis date January 7, 2022, the closing price was USD...
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