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Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Thomas Couvreur
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ageas: AG Real Estate looking to reduce exposure to Interparking, lower capital charges. Air France-KLM: 3Q25 a bit light? ASML: Preview 3Q25, riding the AI wave. Barco: Preview 3Q25, self-help offsets macro headwind. D'Ieteren: Belron starts to roll out static mobile recalibration. Euronext: September's seasonal recovery. Tessenderlo More focus on capital allocation and returns. TomTom: Preview 3Q25, Cost cutting offsets slow markets. Umicore: Gold inventory sale-and-lease-back

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Tessenderlo Feedback Analyst & Asset Manager Day

Tessenderlo reiterated FY25 guidance at the occasion of its Investor event yesterday. We note that Luc Tack expressed his desire to become more strict in allocating capex, whilst in terms of activity portfolio there are no sacred cows and management asks themselves whether they are still the best owner of their businesses. The deal with Darling Ingredients on gelatin & collagen is progressing with deal closing probable in 2H26. We continue to appreciate Tessenderlo for its healthy FCF generation...

Kristof Samoy ... (+2)
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Wim Hoste
Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+6)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Guy Sips ... (+7)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi
Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Lewi
Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Lewi
Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : BREB BB, OPTI BB, EXM BB, SOLB BB, WDP BB, DEME BB, JD...

: BREB BB, OPTI BB, EXM BB, SOLB BB, WDP BB, DEME BB, JDEP NA, ENRGY BB

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
Guy Sips ... (+3)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Tessenderlo Feedback 1H results conference call

Below are the highlights from the conference call. Tessenderlo's 1H results positively surprised, with adj EBITDA up 8% y/y to 163.4m, which was 19% better than our forecast and 12% above consensus. The company reiterated its broad FY25 guidance range, with consensus currently at the midpoint of the range whilst KBCS estimates are at the low end of the guidance range (and will be upped somewhat). The company is using its solid balance sheet and FCF to buy back own shares. We consider valuation t...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: Addition of €200m to existing SBB, considering US domicile, results mixed. Alfen: 19% EBITDA cut, mid-point new 2026 guidance. Flow Traders: Positive volumes, negative volatility. Kinepolis: Strong profit beat on better operating leverage, higher ticket and ITS per visitor. Recticel: Peer Rockwool 2Q25 results. Tessenderlo: Solid 1H25 beat, guidance maintained. VGP: Strong results, more news on JVs to come

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Tessenderlo FIRST LOOK: 1H adj EBITDA +8%, FY guidance maintained

Tessenderlo's 1H results positively surprised, with adj EBITDA up 8% y/y to 163.4m, which was 19% better than our forecast and 12% above consensus. The company reiterated its broad FY25 guidance range, with consensus currently at the midpoint of the range whilst KBCS estimates are at the low end of the guidance range (and will be upped somewhat). The company is using its solid balance sheet and FCF to buy back own shares. We consider valuation to be attractive enough from maintaining our Accumul...

Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

Jensen-Group Further enhancing its market position after an exceptiona...

We updated our model (New € 62 Target Price, Accumulate rating) after Jensen-Group's exceptional 1H25. Jensen-Group highlighted in its outlook statement it is aiming for 2H25, without giving exact numbers, to hold firm to its strategic course : driving customer centricity and sustainable innovation while further enhancing the optimization and digitalization of business processes and applications. We incorporated in our updated model Jensen-Group's targeted investments in expanding production c...

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi
Stijn Demeester
  • Stijn Demeester

Tessenderlo/Model update ahead of 1H25/BUY

We update our model to reflect recent macro and FX trends as well as Tessenderlo's 2025F guidance. We lower our target price to €30 per share from €32 previously, mainly as a result of our lower estimates. We stick to our BUY on valuation grounds.

Guy Sips ... (+3)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
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