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Javier Esteban
  • Javier Esteban

INTESA SANPAOLO: RDOS. 1T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 1T'24 vs 1T'23: M. Intereses: 3.932 M euros (+20,8% vs +19,9% BS(e) y +20,5% consenso); M. Bruto: 6.732 M euros (+11,1% vs +8,4% BS(e) y +9,2% consenso); M. Neto: 4.162 M euros (+18,2% vs +9,8% BS(e) y +11,8% consenso); BDI: 2.301 M euros (+17,6% vs +13,4% BS(e) y n/a consenso). Rdos. 1T'24 vs 4T'23: M. Intereses: 3.932 M euros (-1,6% vs -2,4% BS(e) y -1,9% consenso); M. Bruto: 6.732 M euros (+5,6% vs +3,0% BS(e) y +3,8% consenso); M. Neto: 4.162 M euros (+43,3% vs +33,1% BS(e) y +35,6% co...

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Deutsche Telekom : Premiers (petits) pas de T-Mobile dans la fibre

>Résultats T1 2024 : T-Mobile maintient sa surperformance - T-Mobile continue de surperformer avec l’ajout de 532 000 contrats mobile (vs AT&T 349 000 et Verizon -68,000), 4% de croissance de CA de service au T1 2024 (vs concurrents 3.3%), 8% de croissance EBITDA et 39% de croissance FCF. T-Mobile relève de 2-4% ses objectifs d’abonnés pour 2024, d’EBITDA et de FCF de ~100 M€ soit ~0.3%.T-Mobile, détenu à 51% par Deutsche Telekom et qui représente plus de 95% de ...

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Deutsche Telekom : Initial (baby) steps by T-Mobile in fibre

>Q1 2024 results: T-Mobile continuing to outperform - T-Mobile continues to outperform, with 532,000 mobile contract adds (vs AT&T 349,000 and Verizon 68,000), 4% service revenue growth in Q1 2024 (vs competitors at 3.3%), 8% EBITDA growth and 39% FCF growth: T-Mobile upgraded its subscriber targets by 2-4% for 2024, for EBITDA and for FCF with ~€ 100m or ~0.3%.T-Mobile, which is 51%-owned by Deutsche Telekom and accounts for over 95% of FCF growth, reported its...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 26 ABRIL + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. IDEAS DESTACADA...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAF, CELLNEX, IBERDROLA, FERROVIAL, ROVI. EUROPA: AIRBUS, DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, SAFRAN, VINCI. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Los resultados y la macro lastran las bolsas Tras tres días de ganancias, los r...

Luis de Toledo Heras
  • Luis de Toledo Heras

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/23/2024

In the run-up to the 2024 Summer Olympic Games and Euro 2024 football tournament, we have identified six stocks to favour: JCDecaux, Accor, Sodexo, adidas, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield and easyJet. While these two major sporting events are not expected to have a significant impact on the host economies in the medium term, the microeconomic and sectoral impacts should be more marked. The tourism, transport, beverages and consumer goods sectors are expected to be the main winners. Some med...

Luis de Toledo Heras
  • Luis de Toledo Heras

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 23/04/2024

En amont des Jeux Olympiques d’été et de l’Euro de football 2024, nous identifions 6 valeurs à privilégier  : JCDecaux, Accor, Sodexo, adidas, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield et easyJet. Alors que ces deux évènements sportifs majeurs ne devraient pas avoir d’impact significatif sur les économies hôtes à moyen terme, les impacts microéconomiques et sectoriels devraient être plus marqués. Les secteurs du tourisme, des transports, des boissons et des biens de consommation devraient être les pr...

Benoit Valleaux ... (+2)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Steven Gould

ODDO : ABI statistics (March 2024): no unpleasant surprises

>Update on the macroeconomic and banking situation in Italy - The latest statistics from the Italian Banking Association (ABI), covering March 2024, confirm the recent trend, with the overall situation remaining fragile albeit more resilient than initially expected in view of the recent indicators (GDP, industrial production, business confidence, etc.) and given the uncertainties in the short to medium term. Lending stayed on a negative trend in March 2024 after ...

Benoit Valleaux ... (+2)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Steven Gould

ODDO : Statistiques ABI (Mars 2024) : évolution sans mauvaise surprise

>Point sur la situation macroéconomique et bancaire en Italie - Les dernières données de l’Association Bancaire Italienne (ABI), couvrant mars 2024, confirment la tendance récente, avec une situation globale demeurant fragile bien que plus résiliente qu’initialement attendu au regard des indicateurs récents (PIB, production industrielle, climat de confiance…) et compte tenu des incertitudes à CMT. L’activité de crédit reste négativement orientée en mars 2024 aprè...

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

German FTTH/ altnet deep-dive update Dynamics still supportive for th...

We update our forecasts for the German FTTH/ broadband market. Although we now forecast slower broadband market growth in Germany than previously, we believe the dynamic remains attractive for the larger players: DT & Vodafone

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/UBS capital need, Rabobank and Intesa capital, EPBD finali...

Swiss finance minister supports substantially higher capital requirements for UBS. Rabobank tender for participation notes to result in a limited dent in its MDA headroom, Intesa Sanpaolo calls AT1. The Council of the EU adopts the Energy Performance of Buildings Directive recast. Equitable Bank is in the market with an inaugural social covered bond. Monte dei Paschi di Siena returns in CPT covered bond format

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/UBS capital need, Rabobank and Intesa capital, EPBD finali...

Swiss finance minister supports substantially higher capital requirements for UBS. Rabobank tender for participation notes to result in a limited dent in its MDA headroom, Intesa Sanpaolo calls AT1. The Council of the EU adopts the Energy Performance of Buildings Directive recast. Equitable Bank is in the market with an inaugural social covered bond. Monte dei Paschi di Siena returns in CPT covered bond format

Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
  • Christophe-Raphaël Ganet

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/10/2024

Brunello Cucinelli’s stock offers investors a rare opportunity to benefit from sustainable and steady growth in high-end luxury thanks to its exclusive positioning, distinctive style and significant potential in Asia. We are initiating coverage with an Outperform rating and a target price of € 110, as the stock is one of the few in the sector with residual upside. - ...

Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
  • Christophe-Raphaël Ganet

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 10/04/2024

Le titre Brunello Cucinelli offre aux investisseurs une des rares opportunités de bénéficier de la croissance soutenue et régulière du luxe haut de gamme de par son positionnement exclusif, son empreinte stylistique distinctive et son potentiel de développement important en Asie. Nous initions avec une opinion Surperformance sur la base d’un OC à 110 €, le titre étant parmi les rares du secteur sur lequel nous pouvons encore tabler sur une revalorisation. - ...

Luis de Toledo Heras
  • Luis de Toledo Heras

Fluidra : Stable sales to contain margin progression in Q1

>Seasonal factors contain revenues and margin progression - Fluidra will release Q1 2024 results early next month. Q1 2024 are expected to be marginally lower than last year’s levels due to calendar effects (fewer working days due to Easter), sluggish demand in Europe (consumer confidence, macroeconomic and geopolitical factors) and bad weather in the US. The destocking process completed in 2023 prevented a larger decline in sales which we estimate to be rather limit...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+3)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Emira Sagaama
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 09/04/2024 Date Performance dep...

Nous réitérons notre recommandation Surperformance (conviction Midcap Europe) avec un objectif de cours et des prévisions de résultats relevés. L’optimisme est de rigueur sur les perspectives d’activité, les marges offrent encore un potentiel d’amélioration, le bilan est sous-leveragé, les multiples de valorisation restent attractifs et le fondateur achète des actions. - ...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+3)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Emira Sagaama
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 04/09/2024 Date Performance sin...

We reiterate our Outperform recommendation on the stock (European midcap top pick). We have revised up our target price and earnings forecasts. Bright prospects ahead for revenues, still room for margin improvement, the balance sheet is underleveraged, valuation multiples remain attractive and the founder is buying shares. - ...

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