reports
- Alvaro del Pozo
- Russell Waller
Orange (Buy, TP: €16.2, +15%) Q3 25: Solid numbers, Group EBITDAaL gui...
Orange has reported a solid set of results, with Telco revenue and EBITDA in-line with consensus expectations; Bank losses are lower than expected and Group EBITDAaL guidance has been lifted as a result (despite a small downgrade to OBS guidance).
- Russell Waller
Orange (Buy, TP: €16.4, +21%) Bouygues (Buy, TP: €54, +39%) Altice Fra...
After months of speculation, there is finally an offer for SFR in France. The deal structure is a lot more complicated than we thought it would be, but we think the offer is a fair one. We think the offer implies a synergy payment of €4.2bn, and values the SFR equity at €15/share, if XpFibre, UltraEdge, ATS, Intelcia, and FOT are indeed worth €4bn, as the release suggests.
- Russell Waller
Deutsche Telekom AG: 1 director
A director at Deutsche Telekom AG sold 1,796 shares at 29.310EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 54/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clea...
- Russell Waller
Altice France equity (Neutral, TP: €10.3, -14%) Altice France bonds (E...
The price war at the low end of the French mobile market, which began at the beginning of summer 2024, and which we have written about extensively (HERE, HERE, HERE and HERE), appears to be coming to an end, thanks to some tariff changes that should lead to higher APRUs. We show some new work on tariffs in France in this short report, that should be good for all the MNOs.
- Russell Waller
Altice France equity (Neutral, TP: €10.3, -14%) Altice France bonds (E...
New Altice France debt and equity is now trading. Given the material change in bond terms, and the creation of a new separately traded equity piece, we reassess our rating, and think that at these levels the bonds look pretty fairly valued, and so take the bond rating to Equal weight from Overweight (the old bonds ended up +20% from the lows), and initiate on the equity with a Neutral, as we think that the equity is already implying a high probability of a deal happening, and see minimal underli...
- Nicolas David
- Stefano Toffano
- Thomas Zlowodzki
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
ORA ORANGE SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
GIVN GIVAUDAN SA
SZG SALZGITTER AG
ITRK INTERTEK GROUP PLC
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
ERA ERAMET SA
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
FAE FAES FARMA S.A.
NDA AURUBIS AG
ANA ACCIONA SA
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
FDR FLUIDRA S.A.
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
ACS ACTIVIDADES DE CONSTRUCCION Y SERVICIOS SA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
COLO B COLOPLAST A/S CLASS B
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
SLR SOLARIA ENERGIA Y MEDIO AMBIENTE S.A.
IDR INDRA SISTEMAS S.A. CLASS A
PSG PROSEGUR COMPANIA DE SEGURIDAD SA
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
UNI UNICAJA BANCO S.A.
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
CASH PROSEGUR CASH SA
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
GEST GESTAMP AUTOMOCION S.A.
GRE GRENERGY RENOVABLES
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
VUL VULCAN ENERGY RESOURCES
SGSN SGS SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
AENA AENA S.M.E. SA
- Nicolas David
- Stefano Toffano
- Thomas Zlowodzki
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
ORA ORANGE SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
GIVN GIVAUDAN SA
SZG SALZGITTER AG
ITRK INTERTEK GROUP PLC
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
ERA ERAMET SA
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
FAE FAES FARMA S.A.
NDA AURUBIS AG
ANA ACCIONA SA
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
FDR FLUIDRA S.A.
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
ACS ACTIVIDADES DE CONSTRUCCION Y SERVICIOS SA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
COLO B COLOPLAST A/S CLASS B
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
SLR SOLARIA ENERGIA Y MEDIO AMBIENTE S.A.
IDR INDRA SISTEMAS S.A. CLASS A
PSG PROSEGUR COMPANIA DE SEGURIDAD SA
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
UNI UNICAJA BANCO S.A.
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
CASH PROSEGUR CASH SA
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
GEST GESTAMP AUTOMOCION S.A.
GRE GRENERGY RENOVABLES
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
VUL VULCAN ENERGY RESOURCES
SGSN SGS SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
AENA AENA S.M.E. SA
- Stephane Beyazian
- Stephane Beyazian
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
- Jeroen van den Broek
- Jesse Norcross
- Nadège Tillier
- Timothy Rahill
- Russell Waller
Altice France (Overweight) Bouygues (Buy, TP: €52, +39%) Iliad (Equal ...
There have been a few recent reports that the sale process for XpFibre has heated up. It has been suggested that a sale might eventually be pulled and the stake used as a sweetener in any eventual deal; but actually, a sale could also be the first domino in the whole M&A process, as an XpFibre sale would help to ease leverage concerns that Bouygues might have from acquiring SFR. We still think a SFR-Bouygues deal is more likely than not by year end, and that Bouygues is the best way to play this...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Stephane Beyazian
- Stephane Beyazian
- Robert Jan Vos
- Usama Tariq
- Robert Jan Vos
- Usama Tariq
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