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Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Deutsche Telekom : Premiers (petits) pas de T-Mobile dans la fibre

>Résultats T1 2024 : T-Mobile maintient sa surperformance - T-Mobile continue de surperformer avec l’ajout de 532 000 contrats mobile (vs AT&T 349 000 et Verizon -68,000), 4% de croissance de CA de service au T1 2024 (vs concurrents 3.3%), 8% de croissance EBITDA et 39% de croissance FCF. T-Mobile relève de 2-4% ses objectifs d’abonnés pour 2024, d’EBITDA et de FCF de ~100 M€ soit ~0.3%.T-Mobile, détenu à 51% par Deutsche Telekom et qui représente plus de 95% de ...

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Deutsche Telekom : Initial (baby) steps by T-Mobile in fibre

>Q1 2024 results: T-Mobile continuing to outperform - T-Mobile continues to outperform, with 532,000 mobile contract adds (vs AT&T 349,000 and Verizon 68,000), 4% service revenue growth in Q1 2024 (vs competitors at 3.3%), 8% EBITDA growth and 39% FCF growth: T-Mobile upgraded its subscriber targets by 2-4% for 2024, for EBITDA and for FCF with ~€ 100m or ~0.3%.T-Mobile, which is 51%-owned by Deutsche Telekom and accounts for over 95% of FCF growth, reported its...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 26 ABRIL + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. IDEAS DESTACADA...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAF, CELLNEX, IBERDROLA, FERROVIAL, ROVI. EUROPA: AIRBUS, DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, SAFRAN, VINCI. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Los resultados y la macro lastran las bolsas Tras tres días de ganancias, los r...

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

German FTTH/ altnet deep-dive update Dynamics still supportive for th...

We update our forecasts for the German FTTH/ broadband market. Although we now forecast slower broadband market growth in Germany than previously, we believe the dynamic remains attractive for the larger players: DT & Vodafone

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

FWA: Should wireline operators be worried?

The Vodafone-Three UK proposed merger is now moving to a Phase 2 enquiry and one of their major arguments for the merger focuses on offering increased FWA services.

Bruno Cavalier ... (+3)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Emira Sagaama
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 09/04/2024 Date Performance dep...

Nous réitérons notre recommandation Surperformance (conviction Midcap Europe) avec un objectif de cours et des prévisions de résultats relevés. L’optimisme est de rigueur sur les perspectives d’activité, les marges offrent encore un potentiel d’amélioration, le bilan est sous-leveragé, les multiples de valorisation restent attractifs et le fondateur achète des actions. - ...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+3)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Emira Sagaama
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 04/09/2024 Date Performance sin...

We reiterate our Outperform recommendation on the stock (European midcap top pick). We have revised up our target price and earnings forecasts. Bright prospects ahead for revenues, still room for margin improvement, the balance sheet is underleveraged, valuation multiples remain attractive and the founder is buying shares. - ...

Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO : Altice: after debt restructuring, a commercial tour de force?

>Our scenario for the restructuring of Altice France - Faced with a debt wall in 2027-2029 (€ 22bn) and already negative FCF, Altice France has opted to force the hand of its creditors by attempting to impose the restructuring of its debt. We see three scenarios: 1/ A general agreement: assuming the reinitialisation of leverage in 2024 at 3.7x and the use of the ~€ 5.4bn proceeds from divestments (Altice Media, La Poste Mobile, XP Fibre, data centres), we calcul...

Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO : Altice : après le tour de force obligataire, un tour de force c...

>Notre scenario de restructuration d’Altice France - Face à son mur de dette sur 2027-2029 (22 Md€) et ses FCF déjà négatifs, Altice France a choisi de forcer la main de ses créanciers en tentant d’imposer une restructuration de sa dette. Notre équipe crédit, dans une note publiée ce matin, perçoit trois scenarios : 1/ Un accord général : en supposant une réinitialisation du levier 2024 à 3,7x et l’utilisation de ~5,4 Md€ de produits de cession (Altice Medi...

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

FTTF Conference Summary: Top Ten Takeaways

Our Global Fiber-to-the-Future conference has just wrapped up with over 50 companies worldwide presenting their views on the state-of-play of the fiber market.

Jonathan Chaplin
  • Jonathan Chaplin

Fiber to the Future – Broadband Trends; Infrastructure Wars; New ILEC ...

We just wrapped up the second day of the BCG and NSR Fiber to the Future Conference. The second day featured discussions with over 30 companies including Altice USA, AT&T, BT Group, Charter, Dycom, Deutsche Telekom, Frontier, Goldman Sachs, Liberty Global, Lumen, Recon Analytics, Shentel, TDS Telecom, Tillman Global, Tucows, and Verizon.

Deutsche Telekom AG: 1 director

A director at Deutsche Telekom AG sold 116,400 shares at 21.706EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years c...

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Vodafone (Buy, 140p, +100%) Our take on the new look Vodafone

Vodafone has confirmed its pre-announced €8bn deal with Swisscom, so the real new news today is the revised outlook for cash return and changes in the management structure. We summarise our thoughts here.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Swisscom (Neutral, TP: CHF620, +20%) Swisscom and Vodafone agree bind...

Swisscom and Vodafone have announced a binding agreement for Vodafone Italy: an €8bn EV for 100% of the company, on a debt-free basis. We update our thoughts on the deal in this piece from a Swisscom perspective, and will be following up with a piece looking at the deal from a Vodafone perspective later today.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Vodafone (Buy, 140p, +100%) M&A Watch: How Iliad could still buy Voda...

Vodafone’s recent announcement that they are selling their Italian assets to Fastweb will likely have frustrated Xavier Niel, who we know has been keen to do a deal with Vodafone Italy for a number of years. Is this the end of the story? We think it might not be, and if Vodafone won’t sell the asset to him, then maybe he should acquire the whole of Vodafone.

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