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Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Deutsche Telekom : Premiers (petits) pas de T-Mobile dans la fibre

>Résultats T1 2024 : T-Mobile maintient sa surperformance - T-Mobile continue de surperformer avec l’ajout de 532 000 contrats mobile (vs AT&T 349 000 et Verizon -68,000), 4% de croissance de CA de service au T1 2024 (vs concurrents 3.3%), 8% de croissance EBITDA et 39% de croissance FCF. T-Mobile relève de 2-4% ses objectifs d’abonnés pour 2024, d’EBITDA et de FCF de ~100 M€ soit ~0.3%.T-Mobile, détenu à 51% par Deutsche Telekom et qui représente plus de 95% de ...

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Deutsche Telekom : Initial (baby) steps by T-Mobile in fibre

>Q1 2024 results: T-Mobile continuing to outperform - T-Mobile continues to outperform, with 532,000 mobile contract adds (vs AT&T 349,000 and Verizon 68,000), 4% service revenue growth in Q1 2024 (vs competitors at 3.3%), 8% EBITDA growth and 39% FCF growth: T-Mobile upgraded its subscriber targets by 2-4% for 2024, for EBITDA and for FCF with ~€ 100m or ~0.3%.T-Mobile, which is 51%-owned by Deutsche Telekom and accounts for over 95% of FCF growth, reported its...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 26 ABRIL + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. IDEAS DESTACADA...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAF, CELLNEX, IBERDROLA, FERROVIAL, ROVI. EUROPA: AIRBUS, DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, SAFRAN, VINCI. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Los resultados y la macro lastran las bolsas Tras tres días de ganancias, los r...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

VEON (Buy, TP: $40, +69%) Feedback from small group lunch

We hosted a small group lunch with VEON management including CEO, Kaan Terzioglu, and CFO, Joop Brakenhoff, on Friday in London. Financing risk is clearly improving, and operationally the company continues to perform well in our view. Our takeaway from the meeting was positive, though of course lots depends on the situation in Ukraine.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

German FTTH/ altnet deep-dive update Dynamics still supportive for th...

We update our forecasts for the German FTTH/ broadband market. Although we now forecast slower broadband market growth in Germany than previously, we believe the dynamic remains attractive for the larger players: DT & Vodafone

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Indian Mobile VIL Capital Increase – should you participate and what ...

Sometimes the markets behave in ways that appear irrational. VIL having sufficient market cap to launch an INR 200bn ($2.4bn) capital increase despite (in our view) being a failing business is one example. But what does it mean for Bharti, Jio and Indus?

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Indian Spectrum Auctions – what do we expect? Modest spending anticip...

The Indian DoT has announced terms for its next spectrum auction, starting on 20th May. With $11.65bn of spectrum for sale at reserve prices, how does the auction compare to previous auctions and what is likely?

Bruno Cavalier ... (+3)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Emira Sagaama
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 09/04/2024 Date Performance dep...

Nous réitérons notre recommandation Surperformance (conviction Midcap Europe) avec un objectif de cours et des prévisions de résultats relevés. L’optimisme est de rigueur sur les perspectives d’activité, les marges offrent encore un potentiel d’amélioration, le bilan est sous-leveragé, les multiples de valorisation restent attractifs et le fondateur achète des actions. - ...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+3)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Emira Sagaama
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 04/09/2024 Date Performance sin...

We reiterate our Outperform recommendation on the stock (European midcap top pick). We have revised up our target price and earnings forecasts. Bright prospects ahead for revenues, still room for margin improvement, the balance sheet is underleveraged, valuation multiples remain attractive and the founder is buying shares. - ...

Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO : Altice: after debt restructuring, a commercial tour de force?

>Our scenario for the restructuring of Altice France - Faced with a debt wall in 2027-2029 (€ 22bn) and already negative FCF, Altice France has opted to force the hand of its creditors by attempting to impose the restructuring of its debt. We see three scenarios: 1/ A general agreement: assuming the reinitialisation of leverage in 2024 at 3.7x and the use of the ~€ 5.4bn proceeds from divestments (Altice Media, La Poste Mobile, XP Fibre, data centres), we calcul...

Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO : Altice : après le tour de force obligataire, un tour de force c...

>Notre scenario de restructuration d’Altice France - Face à son mur de dette sur 2027-2029 (22 Md€) et ses FCF déjà négatifs, Altice France a choisi de forcer la main de ses créanciers en tentant d’imposer une restructuration de sa dette. Notre équipe crédit, dans une note publiée ce matin, perçoit trois scenarios : 1/ Un accord général : en supposant une réinitialisation du levier 2024 à 3,7x et l’utilisation de ~5,4 Md€ de produits de cession (Altice Medi...

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

FTTF Conference Summary: Top Ten Takeaways

Our Global Fiber-to-the-Future conference has just wrapped up with over 50 companies worldwide presenting their views on the state-of-play of the fiber market.

Jonathan Chaplin
  • Jonathan Chaplin

Fiber to the Future – Broadband Trends; Infrastructure Wars; New ILEC ...

We just wrapped up the second day of the BCG and NSR Fiber to the Future Conference. The second day featured discussions with over 30 companies including Altice USA, AT&T, BT Group, Charter, Dycom, Deutsche Telekom, Frontier, Goldman Sachs, Liberty Global, Lumen, Recon Analytics, Shentel, TDS Telecom, Tillman Global, Tucows, and Verizon.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

VEON (Buy, TP: US$40/ADR, +68%) Q4 23 Quick Take: Good set of results...

VEON delivered another good set of results today and gave FY24 guidance that is ahead of our forecasts at Revenue and EBITDA. The stock is down today, but we think that reflects profit taking after a very strong start to the year (+25% ytd) rather than being a reflection of these results.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Vodafone IDEA actively looking to raise equity – our thoughts and impl...

We understand Vodafone IDEA is actively engaged in meetings with equity investors to raise the equity tranche (INR 200bn) of its planned INR 450bn equity and debt raise.

Deutsche Telekom AG: 1 director

A director at Deutsche Telekom AG sold 116,400 shares at 21.706EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years c...

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