reports
- Nicholas Cortellucci
- CFA
DRX: Q3 Financials Beat Expectations; Diversified Away from Tariffs
What you need to know: • ADF reported Q3 financials that beat our expectations, driven by stronger project execution, margin recovery, and early contributions from LAR. • Revenue came in at $71.4M vs. our estimate of $68.4M while EBITDA of $18.4M meaningfully outperformed our $10.2M estimate. • Backlog increased to $497.1M (+6% QoQ), supported by a stronger mix of Canadian projects (now 57% of the backlog), while integration progress at LAR is setting up ADF for a strong Q4 and FY27. This mo...
- Nicholas Cortellucci
- CFA
DRX: Increasing Estimates on Groupe LAR Acquisition
What you need to know: • ADF provided an update and hosted a conference call to discuss the acquisition of Groupe LAR. • ADF plans to double LAR’s backlog by January 2027, benefitting from hydroelectric dam renovation and construction projects across Canada. • Management will invest $35M over the next 24 months to increase LAR’s capacity and modernize its equipment. • The acquisition largely diversifies ADF from a geographic, client concentration, and sector perspective, providing more consiste...
- Ben Pirie
- Nicholas Cortellucci
- CFA
Q3/25 Recap: All Our Research in One Place!
Q3/25 marked a particularly strong quarter for Atrium, as precious metal prices continued to rise rapidly, driving notable outperformance across our coverage. Our covered stocks increased 46% on average in Q3/25 and are up 227% over the past year, outperforming the TSX, which gained 12% during the quarter and 37% YoY, and TSXV, which gained 29% and 67%, respectively. This builds on the 27% increase from our coverage universe in Q2/25. Top performers from our coverage this quarter include Andean ...
DRX ADF GROUP INC.
ARG. AMERIGO RESOURCES LTD.
CUU COPPER FOX METALS INC.
MINEROS MINEROS
EDG. ENDURANCE GOLD
SCZ. SANTACRUZ SILVER MINING
SPA.. SPANISH MOUNTAIN GOLD LTD
KNR. KONTROL ENERGY CORP
RTP. RIO TINTO PLC CEDEAR
GIGA GIGA METALS
APM ANDEAN PRECIOUS METALS CORP
PNTZF TRIGON METALS INC.
OMG OMAI GOLD MINES CORP
BQE BQE WATER INC.
DNG DYNACOR GROUP INC.
MOO MOON RIVER MOLY LTD
AUAU ALLEGIANT GOLD
FISH SAILFISH ROYALTY CORP.
CAPT CAPITAN SILVER CORP
SBIO SABIO HOLDINGS
KRI INC. (SBIO)
TSXV:NIM KOBO RESOURCES INC.
TSXV:RIO NICOLA MINING INC.
CEAD RIO2 LIMITED
FRG CEA INDUSTRIES INC
NAMM FORGE RESOURCES CORP.
GEC NAMIB MINERALS
NFLD GLOBAL EDUCATION COMMUNITIES CORP
EXPLOITS DISCOVERY CORP.
Adf Group Inc: 1 director
A director at Adf Group Inc maiden bought 10,000 shares at 8.079CAD and the significance rating of the trade was 55/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years c...
- Nicholas Cortellucci
- CFA
DRX: Soft Q2 Financials; Excellent Backlog Growth
What you need to know: • ADF reported Q2 financials that missed our expectations on the back of uncertainty from U.S. tariffs, similar to Q1. • Revenue came in at $53.0M (-29% YoY) vs. our estimate of $58.2M and EBITDA came in at $3.7M vs. our estimate of $10.0M. • ADF remains well-positioned for H2 given that its backlog was $468.0M, (+60% since Q4), all of its employees have returned on a full-time basis, and its acquisition of LAR Group will provide further growth. This morning, ADF Group (...
- Nicholas Cortellucci
- CFA
DRX: Deploying Cash on Acquisition of Groupe LAR
What you need to know: • ADF entered into an agreement to acquire Groupe LAR Inc. for $19M. LAR operates in the machining, welding, and industrial mechanics sectors, primarily focusing on the large-scale hydroelectricity market. • LAR posted $80.9M in revenue in 2024 (ending December 31st) and had a backlog of $104.5M as of July 31st. • We view the acquisition as a strong positive, diversifying DRX’s revenue growth and cyclical exposure. This morning, ADF Group (DRX:TSX) announced that it ha...
- Nicholas Cortellucci
- CFA
DRX: Signs Five-Year Contract for $35-40M Annually
What you need to know: • ADF secured a five-year Québec energy contract for $35M-$40M annually, with a five-year extension option, totalling nearly $400M. • The deal diversifies revenue outside the U.S. and adds long-term, recurring income, reducing exposure to market cyclicality. • Q2 financials will be released in September, we are expecting revenue of $58.2M, 22% gross margin, and EBITDA of $10.0M. • We recently published a management interview, watch it here. This morning, ADF Group (DRX...
- Ben Pirie
- Nicholas Cortellucci
- CFA
Q2/25 Recap: All Our Research in One Place!
Quarterly Coverage Update Q2/25 was another strong quarter for Atrium, with continued outperformance from the precious metals space, once again led by silver equities. Our coverage universe climbed 27% on average during the quarter and is up 80% over the last year, compared to the TSX which rose 7% and 23%, respectively. This builds on the 13% gain from our coverage in Q1/25. Top performers include Santacruz Silver (+102%), Allegiant Gold (+79%) and Capitan Silver (+77%). Atrium Research was a...
DRX ADF GROUP INC.
ARG. AMERIGO RESOURCES LTD.
CUU COPPER FOX METALS INC.
MINEROS MINEROS
EDG. ENDURANCE GOLD
SCZ. SANTACRUZ SILVER MINING
KNR. KONTROL ENERGY CORP
RTP. RIO TINTO PLC CEDEAR
GIGA GIGA METALS
APM ANDEAN PRECIOUS METALS CORP
PNTZF TRIGON METALS INC.
OMG OMAI GOLD MINES CORP
BQE BQE WATER INC.
DNG DYNACOR GROUP INC.
MOO MOON RIVER MOLY LTD
AUAU ALLEGIANT GOLD
FISH SAILFISH ROYALTY CORP.
CAPT CAPITAN SILVER CORP
SBIO SABIO HOLDINGS
KRI INC. (SBIO)
TSXV:NIM KOBO RESOURCES INC.
TSXV:RIO NICOLA MINING INC.
CEAD RIO2 LIMITED
CEA INDUSTRIES INC
- Nicholas Cortellucci
- CFA
DRX: In Line Q1 Financials; Tariff Impact Less than Expected
What you need to know: • ADF reported Q1 financials that were in line with our expectations, reflecting a large decline due to the disruption caused by the tariffs. • Revenue came in at $55.5M (-48% YoY) vs. our estimate of $58.5M and EBITDA came in at $10.4M (19% margin) vs. our estimate of $8.9M. • Management highlighted that its products are exempt from tariffs as its steel is purchased from U.S. mills, and as such, financials will improve in H2. • ADF ended the quarter with $75.3M in cash an...
- Nicholas Cortellucci
- CFA
DRX: Record FY Financials; Lowering Estimates on Tariff Impacts
What you need to know: • ADF reported Q4 & FY25 financials that were a slight miss to our estimates. • For Q4, revenue came in at $77.4M (-12% YoY) vs. our estimate of $80.0M and EBITDA came in at $19.2M (+24% YoY) vs. our estimate of $19.7M. • FY25 marked another stellar year for ADF, however, the tariff situation is impacting management’s ability to sign new contracts, who are now expecting a decline in revenue and margins in FY26. • ADF ended the quarter with $60.0M in cash and $189.6M in cur...
- Ben Pirie
- Nicholas Cortellucci
- CFA
Q1/25 Recap: All Our Research in One Place!
Quarterly Coverage Update Q1/25 represented another excellent quarter for our firm, with strong performance from our coverage universe. This mainly came from our exposure to precious metals, notably silver. Our coverage universe was up 13% during the quarter and 40% over the last year, compared to the TSX, which was up 0.1% and 12%, respectively. The performance in Q1 was led by Santacruz Silver (+80%), Omai Gold Mines (+80%), and Tocvan Ventures (+67%). We also proudly hosted another Investor ...
DRX ADF GROUP INC.
ARG. AMERIGO RESOURCES LTD.
EDG. ENDURANCE GOLD
SCZ. SANTACRUZ SILVER MINING
NIM NICOLA MINING INC
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
KNR. KONTROL ENERGY CORP
GIGA GIGA METALS
TOC TOCVAN VENTURES
APM ANDEAN PRECIOUS METALS CORP
PNTZF TRIGON METALS INC.
OMG OMAI GOLD MINES CORP
BQE BQE WATER INC.
DNG DYNACOR GROUP INC.
MOO MOON RIVER MOLY LTD
AUAU ALLEGIANT GOLD
FISH SAILFISH ROYALTY CORP.
CAPT CAPITAN SILVER CORP
SBIO SABIO HOLDINGS
INC. (SBIO)
- Nicholas Cortellucci
- CFA
DRX: Back at It Again; $120M in New Contracts Signed
What you need to know: • ADF Group announced that it has signed $120M in new contracts across Quebec and the U.S., resulting in the pro-forma backlog reaching $450M. • Despite the concerns about tariffs, management was able to execute on its plan to sign new contracts, setting up the Company for a strong 2025. • Since announcing its NCIB, ADF has repurchased 721K shares, representing 2.4% of its shares outstanding. • ADF continues to trade at only 2.6x/3.0x FY25E/FY26E EBITDA. This morning, ADF...
- Nicholas Cortellucci
- CFA
Finding the Next Takeout in Canadian Small-Caps - Part Four
What you need to know: • Since our last note in September, there have been 11 new takeouts in Canadian small-caps. This has accelerated in recent weeks with the acquisitions of Softchoice, Quisitive, and Carebook. • Our potential takeouts portfolio is up 61% since inception (November 2023) and 13% since our last note, compared to the TSX up 28% and 9% respectively. We review the biggest winners and losers in the portfolio and present a list of new ideas on our radar. How Have Things Progressed?...
GCL COLABOR GROUP INC
COV. COVALON TECHNOLOGIES LTD.
CTX CRESCITA THERAPEUTICS
E ENTERPRISE GROUP
FTG FIRAN TECHNOLOGY GROUP CORP.
IFX IMAFLEX INC. CL A
MAL MAGELLAN AEROSPACE CORP.
SYZ SYLOGIST LTD.
VLN VELAN INC.
KUT REDISHRED CAPITAL CORP.
GSI. GATEKEEPER SYSTEMS INC
OSS ONE STOP SYSTEMS
QIS CN QUORUM INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES INC
NPTH NEUPATH HEALTH
XYBN XYBION DIGITAL INC
GRID TANTALUS SYSTEMS HLDG INC
HAI HAIVISION SYSTEMS INC
CNG KRAKEN ROBOTICS INC
BQE BQE WATER INC.
- Ben Pirie
- Nicholas Cortellucci
- CFA
Q4/24 Recap: All Our Research in One Place!
Quarterly Coverage Update As we close out the year, we are pleased to release our Q4/24 recap report, showcasing all the research content we have published over the past three months. This quarter, we introduced short-form company overviews, sharing them across our new TikTok page as well as LinkedIn, YouTube, and X (Twitter) to provide a brief introduction to some of our covered companies. We also proudly hosted Atrium Research’s inaugural Mining Investor Event, which brought together clients,...
- Nicholas Cortellucci
- CFA
DRX: Solid Q3 Financials; Margins Remain Strong
What you need to know: • ADF reported Q3 financial results that were in line with our expectations on revenue and beat our expectations on EBITDA. • Revenue came in at $80.0M (-3% YoY) vs. our $80.4M and EBITDA came in at $24.0M (+35% YoY) vs. our $19.0M. • While the impact of the Trump victory and tariffs is still uncertain, management remains positive on its end markets and backlog. This morning, ADF Group (DRX:TSX, ADFJF:OTC) reported Q3 financial results (ending October 31st) that were in...
- Nicholas Cortellucci
- CFA
DRX: Facility Visit & Updates; Staying Bullish
What you need to know: • Our team visited the Terrebonne facility earlier this week, where we toured the plant and met with management. • The Trump victory has mixed implications, with general support for infrastructure spending but potential to defund spending packages and implement tariffs on imported steel. Earlier this week, we had the pleasure of visiting ADF Group’s (DRX:TSX, ADFJF:OTC) Terrebonne facility. We summarize the takeaways from our visit as well as other updates from the sect...
- Ben Pirie
- Nicholas Cortellucci
- CFA
Q3/24 Recap: All Our Research in One Place!
Quarterly Coverage Update As we enter the final quarter of the year, we are excited to release our quarterly recap report to update our readers on all the research content we have published in the last three months. This quarter included substantial momentum across several sectors, with strong performance from the companies we cover. Omai Gold Mines (+55%) led the way, followed by Allegiant Gold (+27%), Moon River Moly (+11%), and BQE Water (+10%). This quarter has been our most active yet, ma...
- Nicholas Cortellucci
- CFA
DRX: $55M in New Contracts Signed
What you need to know: • ADF announced $55M in new contracts across Quebec and the U.S. Midwest, including additional work for its U.S. pharmaceutical client. • Today’s announcement gives us further confidence that ADF can continue to grow the backlog as the infrastructure spending cycle prolongs. • ADF trades at 3.5x EBITDA, the lowest multiple we have seen since covering the stock and a major discount to its peers and precedent transactions. This morning, ADF Group (DRX:TSX, ADFJF:OTC) ann...
- Nicholas Cortellucci
- CFA
DRX: Revenue Misses due to Delays but Margins Smash Expectations
What you need to know: • ADF reported mixed Q2 financials that missed our revenue estimate due project delays but largely beat our profitability estimates. • Revenue came in at $74.9M vs. our $92.6M (due to $35M in delays) while EBITDA came in at $24.9M (33% margin) vs. our estimate of $17.9M. • Management remained bullish on the long-term growth of the sector and ended the quarter in large net cash position. This morning, ADF Group (DRX:TSX, ADFJF:OTC) reported Q2 financial results (ending Ju...
- Nicholas Cortellucci
- CFA
Finding the Next Takeout in Canadian Small-Caps - Part Three
What you need to know: • Since our last note in May, there have been 10 additional takeouts in Canadian small-caps, most of which coming in a significant premiums. • The new acquisitions largely fit within the framework outlined in previous reports. • Our potential takeouts portfolio is up 43% since inception (November 2023) and 17% since our last note, compared to the TSX up 18% and 3% respectively. We review the biggest winners and losers in the portfolio and present a list of new ideas on ou...
GCL COLABOR GROUP INC
COV. COVALON TECHNOLOGIES LTD.
CTX CRESCITA THERAPEUTICS
E ENTERPRISE GROUP
IFX IMAFLEX INC. CL A
MAL MAGELLAN AEROSPACE CORP.
SYZ SYLOGIST LTD.
KUT REDISHRED CAPITAL CORP.
GSI. GATEKEEPER SYSTEMS INC
QIS CN QUORUM INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES INC
XYBN XYBION DIGITAL INC
GRID TANTALUS SYSTEMS HLDG INC
HAI HAIVISION SYSTEMS INC
CNG KRAKEN ROBOTICS INC
BQE BQE WATER INC.
OSS ONESOFT SOLUTIONS INC
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