reports
- Felix Fischer
- Haidje Rustau
- Jayanth Kandalam
- Si Yong Ng
- Tanvi Arora
- Trung Nguyen
Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe
In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Boparan, Pfleiderer, Alain Afflelou, Novelis, Bombardier, Altice France (SFR), Vedanta Resources, Softbank Group, Tereos, Air Baltic, Benteler International, Tullow Oil
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 06/06/2025
Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; Target price of C$0.35 per share: On track for first gas in 1Q26 – 1Q25 production of 988 boe/d had been previously reported. Criterium held ~C$1.6 mm in cash at the end of 1Q25. The company has reduced its accounts payable by ~C$3.5 mm while inventory + amounts receivable were flat vs. YE24. Operations are expected to commence at North MGH in June. Four wells were shut-in in 2014 due to high GOR. Criterium is looking to re-open some of the wells in the area. No resou...
- Felix Fischer
- Jayanth Kandalam
- Si Yong Ng
- Colin Smith
Tullow Oil | Ghana licences extended to 2040
Tullow has announced the signature of a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) for the extension of the licences covering its Jubilee and TEN fields in Ghana to 2040 on unchanged fiscal terms. These licence extensions unlock the potential for up to an additional 20 wells in the Jubilee field resulting in a potentially material increase in proven and probable reserves and an increase in gas sales on more secure terms. After allowing for the required additional investment, of up to US$2bn, we raise our...
- Felix Fischer
Europe HY Trade Book - May 2025 - Lucror Analytics
The Europe HY Trade Book for May 2025 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry. We also discuss the US tariff situation and key related impacts.
SCHP SECHE ENVIRONNEMENT
PFD PREMIER FOODS PLC
AMS AMS AG
CO CASINO GUICHARD-PERRACHON SA
VK VALLOUREC SA
TLW TULLOW OIL PLC
EO FAURECIA SA
105I SAPPI LIMITED
TEVA.N TEVA PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRIES LIMITED SPONSORED ADR
LBTYA LIBERTY GLOBAL PLC CLASS A
CSTM CONSTELLIUM SE CLASS A
CCK CROWN HOLDINGS INC.
RXL REXEL SA
DBG DERICHEBOURG SA
725180 STADA ARZNEIMITTEL AG
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
TNET TELENET GROUP HOLDING NV
TUI1 TUI AG
NEX NEXANS SA
VED VEDANTA RESOURCES PLC
VCP VICTORIA PLC
AF AIR FRANCE-KLM SA
BBD.B BOMBARDIER INC. CLASS B
SYNT SYNTHOMER PLC
INTRUM INTRUM AB
888 888 HOLDINGS PLC
IPF INTERNATIONAL PERSONAL FINANCE PLC
ENQ ENQUEST PLC
EDR EDREAMS ODIGEO SA
TC1 TELE COLUMBUS AG
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
103M SASOL LIMITED
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
REC RECORDATI INDUSTRIA CHIMICA E FARMACEUTICA S.P.A.
TGS TGS-NOPEC GEOPHYSICAL COMPANY ASA
TALK TALKTALK TELECOM GROUP PLC
TATAMOTORS TATA MOTORS LIMITED
PL8 PLAYTECH PLC
ARW ARROW GLOBAL GROUP PLC
NEMAKA NEMAK S.A.B. DE C.V.
SPIE SPIE SA
CEXA CEMEX SAB DE CV (ADR)
ARD ARDAGH GROUP S.A. CLASS A
PFL PFLEIDERER GROUP SA
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
CDR CODERE S.A.
GAME GAMENET GROUP SPA
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS PLC
AXA AXACTOR SE
BORR SECURITAS DIRECT AB CL B
BORR DRILLING LTD
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 23/05/2025
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Adding four low risk drill-ready shallow gas prospects to start drilling by YE25 – ADX has now matured 13 shallow gas prospects across the ADX-AT-I and ADX-AT-II licence areas in Austria. The play is proven, supported by historical discoveries within the basin. Nearby historical discoveries in the area have produced 220 bcf to date. The prospects benefit from AVO anomalies, enhanc...
TLW TULLOW OIL PLC
EGY VAALCO ENERGY INC.
CNE CAIRN ENERGY PLC
PANR PANTHEON RESOURCES
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
SAVE SAVANNAH ENERGY
SQZ SERICA ENERGY
FEC FRONTERA ENERGY CORP
ENOG ENERGEAN PLC
ANGS ANGUS ENERGY
JSE JADESTONE ENERGY
PNOR PETRONOR E&P LTD
ITH ITHACA ENERGY PLC
NOG NOSTRUM OIL & GAS PLC
ADX ADX ENERGY LTD
AST ASCENT RESOURCES PLC
HEX HELIX EXPLORATION PLC
- Felix Fischer
- Haidje Rustau
- Jayanth Kandalam
- Peter Low
- Si Yong Ng
- Tanvi Arora
Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe
In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Versuni (formerly Philips Domestic Appliances), PureGym, Eircom, Modulaire, Arrow Global, Iliad, Engineering Group, Advanz Pharma, Kem One, Borr Drilling, Travelodge, Trivium, Teva, Premier Foods, Tullow Oil
- Colin Smith
Tullow Oil | AGM update – strengthening the balance sheet
Tullow has released an AGM update which confirms the strong progress the company has made in strengthening the balance sheet with completion of the US$300m Gabon disposal expected imminently and a potential acceleration of receipts from Kenya with US$80m now expected this year. Previous production guidance was reiterated and the first well in the Jubilee programme has just spudded. The revolving credit facility (RCF) has been extended from the end of June to the end of October when it is expecte...
- Felix Fischer
- Haidje Rustau
- Jayanth Kandalam
- Peter Low
- Si Yong Ng
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 18/04/2025
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; Target price of NOK47 per share: High production in Gabon – BW Energy reported gross production in Gabon of 39.3 mbbl/d. This equates to 6.9 mbbl/d net to Panoro’s 17.5% WI. IN OTHER NEWS ________________________________________ AMERICAS Galp Energia (GALP LI): 1Q25 update – 1Q25 production in Brazil was 104 mboe/d. Pantheon Resources (PNR LN): Disappointing well test results in Alaska – The Megrez-1 well fl...
- Colin Smith
Tullow Oil | Kenya disposal on attractive terms
Tullow has announced the disposal of its Kenyan assets for US$120m plus potential future royalties and retains a zero-cost back-in right for 30%. The disposal should cut leverage by around 10%, further improving the chances of completing a successful refinancing while removing the drain on management time and cost involved in endeavouring to achieve a commercial development. We were carrying a de-minimis US$9m risked NAV10 worth 1p per share in our valuation for Kenya so the disposal is at a lar...
- Felix Fischer
- Haidje Rustau
- Jayanth Kandalam
- Si Yong Ng
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 28/03/2025
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.60 per share: Production rises again. Maiden reserves report. First LNG sales in Kazakhstan on track for 1H26 – YE24 2P reserves in Uzbekistan were estimated at 18.5 mmboe. 4Q24 production was 10,511 boe/d increasing to 12,019 boe/d in March to date and 12,288 boe/d over the past five days. In March, Condor signed a non-binding letter of intent outlining the basic terms and conditions for ...
RKH ROCKHOPPER EXPLORATION
CNE CAIRN ENERGY PLC
REP REPSOL SA
VLE VALEURA ENERGY INC.
DNO DNO ASA CLASS A
PHAR PHAROS ENERGY
XOM EXXON MOBIL CORPORATION
BLOE BLOCK ENERGY
SENX SERINUS ENERGY
OKEA OKEA
RDSA ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC
WDS WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LTD
SOUC SOUTHERN ENERGY CORP
ITH ITHACA ENERGY PLC
CDR CONDOR ENERGIES INC
PLSR PULSAR HELIUM INC.
- Egor Fedorov
- James Wilson
EM Credit Spark/EM credit weekly and trade ideas update
The buildup to more tariff news next week is likely to keep investors on edge, while spreads generally remain fairly tight. We see technicals as the main supportive factor for EM credit, with a decent amount of sovereign issuance out of the way.
- Colin Smith
Tullow Oil | Initiation: Deleveraging targets well within sight
Tullow operates the Jubilee and TEN oil fields offshore Ghana and has just announced the sale of its Gabonese assets for US$300m. Current production and reserves are a substantial c55kboed and 165mmboe, including Gabon. Following a disciplined re-focusing of the business and the sale of its Gabonese assets, the company's de-leveraging targets of net debt under US$1bn and leverage under 1x are well within sight with further options to accelerate the process. Tullow has now returned to sustained p...
- Jayanth Kandalam
Tullow Oil - Earnings Flash - FY 2024 Results - Lucror Analytics
Tullow Oil has released decent FY 2024 results, with EBITDAX remaining flat y-o-y despite lower production, thanks to stringent opex management. Cash-flow development was robust, with the business generating reasonable FCF. The operational outlook is weak. A significant decline in production is expected, while the refinancing overhang remains. Investors will likely be focusing on the timing of a refinancing and completion of non-core asset sales, as well as the company's discussions with banks a...
- Felix Fischer
- Haidje Rustau
- Jayanth Kandalam
- Peter Low
- Si Yong Ng
- Tanvi Arora
Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe
In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Atalian, PeopleCert, Playtech, Kantar, Ithaca Energy, CABB, CBR Fashion, Travelodge, Nexans, Salt, Ontex, EnQuest Plc, Tullow Oil, PPF Telecom, Forvia (formerly Faurecia), Iliad, TUI
- Haidje Rustau
- Ian Wong
- Jayanth Kandalam
- Peter Low
- Tanvi Arora
- Haidje Rustau
- Ian Wong
- Jayanth Kandalam
- Peter Low
- Si Yong Ng
- Felix Fischer
- Ian Wong
- Jayanth Kandalam
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