Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls Chinese equities consolidated further in March amid outbreak of hostilities in the Middle East, with the HSI and MSCI China Index declining 6.9% mom and 7.5% mom respectively. We expect markets to stay volatile in April, though oversold rebounds are possible. We continue to focus on names with stronger fundamentals and remain buyers of tech names, adding Li Ning and Zijin Mining to our BUY list while taking profits on Ganfeng Lithium a...
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the impact of the Middle East conflict on our Asian Coverage Universe. In addition, we review the performance of major Asian credit indices and UST curve movements in March 2026. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of ...
Stronger quarter, with revenue & margins recovering. NDRs we hosted with both KT and SKT were also positive. SKT as the stake in Anthropic has the potential to transform its valuation. KT as we see further upside from value-up. KT remains one of our top picks in Global EM.
Greater China Economics | Trade China’s exports grew 21.8% yoy in Jan-Feb 26, way above Bloomberg consensus of 7.2% yoy. Imports were equally strong, up 19.8% yoy compared with an expected 7.0% yoy. Exports to the US fell 11.0% yoy, but were made up by strong exports growth to Hong Kong, ASEAN and the EU. While the manufacturing PMI new export orders sub-index improved in 4Q25, the strong data is a pleasant surprise, reflecting China’s success in trade diversification. Company Results | Foxco...
Company Update | Telkom Indonesia (TLKM IJ/BUY/Rp2,960/Target: Rp4,200) We maintain BUY on TLKM with an unchanged target price of Rp4,200, reemphasising the improving industry ARPU discipline, ongoing asset monetisation, and potential upside from the TIF stake sale. TelkomMetra's divestment of AdMedika to Fullerton Health marks the first concrete step in TLKM's broader asset unlocking programme, with TIF, data centres, property, and GOTO still in the pipeline. A structurally rising DPR and poten...
Company Update | Telkom Indonesia (TLKM IJ/BUY/Rp2,960/Target: Rp4,200) We maintain BUY on TLKM with an unchanged target price of Rp4,200, reemphasising the improving industry ARPU discipline, ongoing asset monetisation, and potential upside from the TIF stake sale. TelkomMetra's divestment of AdMedika to Fullerton Health marks the first concrete step in TLKM's broader asset unlocking programme, with TIF, data centres, property, and GOTO still in the pipeline. A structurally rising DPR and poten...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: March Conviction Calls Chinese equities consolidated further in February, with the HSI and MSCI China Index declining 2.8% mom and 5.6% mom, respectively. March is expected to be volatile, as there are signs that the Middle East conflict could last for a while. We focus on names which have greater domestic exposure, adding Anta, China Duty Free, FII, Futu, Kuaishou and Tencent to our BUY list. Indonesia Strategy | Alpha Picks: Rotating To Commodities Amid M...
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in February 2026. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on...
2025 was such a strong year for EM Telcos with the result that while remaining bullish we thought it was not plausible that 2026 would be as strong. Yet if anything the year has started better than 2025, with our picks up 18% ytd already, and up 113% since the start of 2025.
The resumption of pricing power is one of the key drivers of the rally in EM Telcos and perhaps the area where consensus is most sceptical. In this note we analyse which markets have the greatest potential for sustained pricing power, looking at key issues: affordability and regulatory and competitive structure.
One word I never expected to write in connection with Korean telco share prices is explosive. However, after a tough 2025, 2026 has started in spectacular fashion with all three up between 20 and 50% ytd, as the market wakes up to their combination of cheap valuation, improving returns and exposure to AI. This note runs through how the sector is delivering against “value up” strategies and likely progression going forward.
Greater China Sector Update | Hong Kong Property Residential prices rebounded more strongly than expected in 4Q25 and ytd, supported by positive rental yield spread over mortgage rates and stabilising population trends in Hong Kong. However, the yield spread has narrowed and supply remains relatively high despite easing sequentially. We raise our 2026 price growth forecast to 7% and primary transaction estimate to 25,000 units. We downgrade SHKP to HOLD, keep Kerry Properties at BUY, and maintai...
Company Update | Telkom Indonesia (TLKM IJ/BUY/Rp3,550/Target: Rp4,200) We maintain BUY on TLKM with an unchanged target price of Rp4,200, supported by improving industry ARPU discipline, ongoing asset monetisation, and potential upside from the TIF stake sale. While near-term headline risks may arise from fibre depreciation reviews and legacy regulatory matters, both are largely non-cash and manageable. A structurally higher DPR and continued margin recovery should underpin earnings resilience ...
Company Update | Telkom Indonesia (TLKM IJ/BUY/Rp3,550/Target: Rp4,200) We maintain BUY on TLKM with an unchanged target price of Rp4,200, supported by improving industry ARPU discipline, ongoing asset monetisation, and potential upside from the TIF stake sale. While near-term headline risks may arise from fibre depreciation reviews and legacy regulatory matters, both are largely non-cash and manageable. A structurally higher DPR and continued margin recovery should underpin earnings resilience ...
Rakuten reported mixed numbers as revenue and EBITDA were led by a stronger FinTech. Mobile is still not seeing any significant improvement and although data usage has risen rapidly, this was again not reflected in ARPU. Management outlined plans to invest ¥200bn in capex for Mobile in FY26. We maintain our Reduce call with a ¥510 price target.
KT printed decent results; Total service revenue accelerated and management announced a 20% increase in dividend per share. As previously announced the company is also proceeding with a KRW 250bn share buyback and cancellation this year.
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