reports
Fourlis Holdings SA: 1 director
A director at Fourlis Holdings SA bought 6,000 shares at 4.150EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cle...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: only Romania and Turkey in the bla...
EME Equity Market – September 2023 Market performance – positive developments in Romania and Turkey, declines everywhere else. The MSCI EM Europe Index lost 3.7% mom in EUR terms and 6.0% mom in USD in September. Romania took the spotlight, with the BET Index advancing 7.4% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Turkish ISE30 (+4.6% mom). The Polish WIG20 declined the most (-8.7% mom), followed by the Greek ASE, the Hungarian BUX and, finally, the Czech PX (-7.9%, -1.9% and -0.6% mom, respectively).
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
FOYRK FOURLIS HOLDINGS S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
AUG1L AGROWILL GROUP AB
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNP PETROM S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
FP. FONDUL PROPRIETATEA S.A. GDR (REG S)
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
NLBR NLB GROUP
SF3 STS GROUP AG
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
WINE PURCARI WINERIES PCL
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
KLKIM KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
AROBS AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
SHO SHOPER SA
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ASELS TI; HUG PW; INPST NA; FOYRK GA; AUG1L LH; PL Utiliti...
HEADLINES: • Aselsan: back on a USD growth path (upgraded to BUY) • Huuuge Games: solid cash distribution potential (stays BUY) • InPost: 2Q23 beat on strong volumes; growth maintained in 3Q23 to date; FY23E guidance upgrade POSITIVE • Fourlis: 2Q23 review - decent quarter, supported by recovery at IKEA POSITIVE • AUGA Group: 2Q23 gross profit weaker, but 2H23E seems promising • Polish utilities: politician sees the NABE law being delayed until after the elections NEUTRAL • Romanian banks: wi...
- VRS RESEARCH TEAM
FOURLIS GROUP Flash Note
Fourlis Group, is one of the largest trading groups of consumer goods in Greece, Cyprus, Bulgaria, Romania, and Turkey. Fourlis business activity fields are the retail trading of home furniture and household goods through the IKEA stores in Greece, Cyprus, Bulgaria, and retail trading of sporting goods through the INTERSPORT stores in Greece, Cyprus, Bulgaria, Romania and Turkey and the Athlete’s Foot stores in Greece and Turkey.
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
FOURLIS | Re-rating catalyst approaching
OpCo offered almost for free – Fourlis shares are still some c30% lower than pre-COVID levels, which looks overly punitive in view of 2023e operating profits set to shape just c11% lower than the 2019 mark and to bounce strongly thereafter (2-digit growth) as the pendulum of operating leverage swings back to positive. With the REIC (€211m NAV) just a few months away from getting listed (H2’23), a key re-rating catalyst is finally approaching. Although near-term uncertainty regarding the OpCo bot...
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
FOURLIS | Re-rating catalyst approaching
OpCo offered almost for free – Fourlis shares are still some c30% lower than pre-COVID levels, which looks overly punitive in view of 2023e operating profits set to shape just c11% lower than the 2019 mark and to bounce strongly thereafter (2-digit growth) as the pendulum of operating leverage swings back to positive. With the REIC (€211m NAV) just a few months away from getting listed (H2’23), a key re-rating catalyst is finally approaching. Although near-term uncertainty regarding the OpCo bot...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all geographies down in March
EME Equity Market – March 2023 Market performance – all geographies down in March. The MSCI EM Europe Index lost 7.6% mom in EUR terms and 5.7% mom in USD in March. Among a sea of red, Romania’s BET saw the smallest decline (-2.6% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Czech PX Index (-5.5% mom in EUR terms). The Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX indices saw similar declines (-7.4% and -7.5% mom ,respectively, in EUR terms), while the worst performer for the month was the Turkish ISE30, down 10.5% mo...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
KRKG KRKA D.D.
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
DOAS DOGUS OTOMOTIV SERVIS VE TICARET A.S.
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
FOYRK FOURLIS HOLDINGS S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
ULKER ULKER BISKUVI SANAYI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
HB HELLENIC BANK LTD.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
FP. FONDUL PROPRIETATEA S.A. GDR (REG S)
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
ALPHA ALPHA BANK
PTKHY PETKIM PETROKIMYA HOLDING AS
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
IIA IMMOFINANZ AG
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
SF3 STS GROUP AG
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ADKO ADDIKO BANK
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG ALRO SLATINA
KCEL 4IG NYRT
CTPNV KCELL JSC
ONE CTP NV
KLKIM ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
ADNOCDRILL KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
2381 ADNOC DRILLING CO
9526 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
SHO JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
SHOPER SA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: FOYRK GA; PGE PW; JAHEZ AB; PEO PW; SNP RO; TGN RO; CCC PW...
HEADLINES: • Fourlis: strong FY22 results, on the back of a normalised retail environment • PGE: 4Q22 results review - weak, but broadly in line with prelims NEUTRAL • Jahez: 2022 financial results review - miss on revenue and EBITDA NEGATIVE • Bank Pekao: issues PLN 750m of senior non-preferred bonds POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: amendments to solidarity tax legislation proposed by Social Democrats • Transgaz: proposes 28% lower-than-expected DPS, looks for legal assistance to recover Gazprom debt ...
- Andreas Souvleros
- CFA
- Natalia Svyriadi
- Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
Greek Equity Strategy – 2023 outlook | Clear and rewarding destination...
2022: The comeback – Greek equities staged an impressive comeback in 2022, outpacing most international markets with a 7% total return vs a 2-digit drop suffered by other European indices (and the S&P in EUR terms). Underpinning the ASE was certainly the better macroeconomic backdrop, with the Greek economy expanding by >5% in 2022 compared with c3% for the EU. Light positioning, healthy corporate profitability and more attractive yield gaps than in other regions were additional supporting facto...
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
ELPE HELLENIC PETROLEUM SA
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
FOYRK FOURLIS HOLDINGS S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
MOH MOTOR OIL (HELLAS) CORINTH REFINERIES S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
TENERGY TERNA ENERGY S.A.
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
ETE NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A.
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
CCH COCA-COLA HBC AG
BELA JUMBO S.A.
TPEIR PIRAEUS FINANCIAL HOLDINGS S.A.
ADMIE IPTO HOLDING S.A.
QUEST QUESTBACK GROUP AS
- Andreas Souvleros
- CFA
- Natalia Svyriadi
- Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
Greek Equity Strategy – 2023 outlook | Clear and rewarding destination...
2022: The comeback – Greek equities staged an impressive comeback in 2022, outpacing most international markets with a 7% total return vs a 2-digit drop suffered by other European indices (and the S&P in EUR terms). Underpinning the ASE was certainly the better macroeconomic backdrop, with the Greek economy expanding by >5% in 2022 compared with c3% for the EU. Light positioning, healthy corporate profitability and more attractive yield gaps than in other regions were additional supporting facto...
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
ELPE HELLENIC PETROLEUM SA
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
FOYRK FOURLIS HOLDINGS S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
MOH MOTOR OIL (HELLAS) CORINTH REFINERIES S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
TENERGY TERNA ENERGY S.A.
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
ETE NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A.
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
CCH COCA-COLA HBC AG
BELA JUMBO S.A.
TPEIR PIRAEUS FINANCIAL HOLDINGS S.A.
ADMIE IPTO HOLDING S.A.
QUEST QUESTBACK GROUP AS
- Alex Boulougouris
- CFA
- Fani Tzioukalia
- Raffaella Tenconi
Greece: investment grade in the making
Greece posted a solid 2022, with another year of strong GDP recovery (+5%), stable politics and a positive performance for the benchmark ASE Index (+4%), despite the negative global backdrop. Looking into 2023E, the key tailwinds are a stronger local macro outlook, a potential upgrade to investment grade status, the possible return of dividends from the banking sector, and continued earnings upgrades from corporates. The key headwinds are the volatility that could be created during a prolonged e...
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
FOYRK FOURLIS HOLDINGS S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
TENERGY TERNA ENERGY S.A.
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
CCH COCA-COLA HBC AG
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
BELA JUMBO S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
ALPHA ALPHA BANK
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Turkey still on top (resend)
EME Equity Market – November 2022 Market performance – Turkey does it again, breezing past everyone else, once more, in November. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 11.6% mom in EUR terms and 16.7% mom in USD. The ISE30 index, again, boasted the best performance among our coverage, adding 18.6% mom in EUR terms and 23.9% mom in local currency (lcl) terms. Positive performances were also recorded in the WIG (+14.0% EU /13.0% lcl mom), the BUX (+12.6% EUR/12.0% lcl mom), the BET (+8.4% EUR/8.6% lcl...
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
TCELL TURKCELL ILETISIM HIZMETLERI A.S.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
PETG PETROL D.D.
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
KRKG KRKA D.D.
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
COG COGNOR HOLDING SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
DOAS DOGUS OTOMOTIV SERVIS VE TICARET A.S.
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
FOYRK FOURLIS HOLDINGS S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
SFA SOPHARMA AD
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
SPI S IMMO AG
AEFES ANADOLU EFES BIRACILIK VE MALT SANAYII A.S.
EREGL EREGLI DEMIR YE CELIK FABRIKALARI T.A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
TENERGY TERNA ENERGY S.A.
TTKOM TURK TELEKOMUNIKASYON A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BIZIM BIZIM TOPTAN SATIS MAGAZALARI AS
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
POLY POLYMETAL INTERNATIONAL PLC
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
AYGAZ AYGAZ A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
ULKER ULKER BISKUVI SANAYI A.S.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
POSR POZAVAROVALNICA SAVA
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALRS ALROSA PJSC
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
BANK OF CYPRUS PCL
HB HELLENIC BANK LTD.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SKK SIRMA GROUP HOLDING JSC
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
BNET BITTNET SYSTEMS
SNP PETROM S.A.
HMX1R HANSAMATRIX AS
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
COTE CONPET SA
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
TEL C.N.T.E.E. TRANSELECTRICA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
FP. FONDUL PROPRIETATEA S.A. GDR (REG S)
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
A4L ALLTERCO AD
RICHT RICHTER
ALPHA ALPHA BANK
M MED LIFE
PTKHY PETKIM PETROKIMYA HOLDING AS
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
IIA IMMOFINANZ AG
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
ENJSA ENERJISA ENERJI
SF3 STS GROUP AG
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ADKO ADDIKO BANK
PEN PHOTON ENERGY NV
KOFOL KOFOLA CESKOSLOVENSKO A.S.
ILRA-R-A ILIRIJA D.D.
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
WINE ALRO SLATINA
4IG PURCARI WINERIES PCL
IGN1L 4IG NYRT
SHO IGNITIS GRUPE
KCEL SHOPER
GPP KCELL JSC
TNB GRUPA PRACUJ DA
7202 NLB TUTUNSKA BANKA AD SKOPJE
9526 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
HELLENIQ ENERGY
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ADNOCDIS DH; BOCH CY; OPAP GA; PPC GA; FOYRK GA; HUG PW; G...
HEADLINES: • ADNOC Distribution: pumped for growth (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Bank of Cyprus: strong ROTE uplift on the cards already (stays BUY) • OPAP: 3Q22 review - solid set of results, driven by strong online presence • Public Power Corporation: 3Q keeps company on track to meet FY22E guidance NEUTRAL • Fourlis: 3Q22 review - decent quarter and gross margin recovery • Huuuge Games: adjusted 3Q22 EBITDA in line with the preliminary figure, supportive FY guidance NEUTRAL • Warsaw St...
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
FOYRK FOURLIS HOLDINGS S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
SPI S IMMO AG
EREGL EREGLI DEMIR YE CELIK FABRIKALARI T.A.S.
TENERGY TERNA ENERGY S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
DAT DATAWALK SA
BANK OF CYPRUS PCL
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
FP. FONDUL PROPRIETATEA S.A. GDR (REG S)
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
KOFOL KOFOLA CESKOSLOVENSKO A.S.
HUGE HUUUGE
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
- Natalia Svyriadi
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
Greek consumer (G.RE.CO.) | Climbing a wall of worries
Industry bumps in 2022 – Greek consumer stocks are down c9% on average since the start of the war in Ukraine, weighed down by de-risking and rising uncertainty regarding the near-term outlook. Stocks more severely affected have been small caps/less liquid names, with OPAP and Jumbo standing out as outperformers thanks to solid operating momentum, more visibility around near-term earnings and – in OPAP’s case – a very compelling 2-digit dividend yield putting a cap on the downside risk. … with ...
- Natalia Svyriadi
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
Greek consumer (G.RE.CO.) | Climbing a wall of worries
Industry bumps in 2022 – Greek consumer stocks are down c9% on average since the start of the war in Ukraine, weighed down by de-risking and rising uncertainty regarding the near-term outlook. Stocks more severely affected have been small caps/less liquid names, with OPAP and Jumbo standing out as outperformers thanks to solid operating momentum, more visibility around near-term earnings and – in OPAP’s case – a very compelling 2-digit dividend yield putting a cap on the downside risk. … with ...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all indices up, Turkey outperforms...
EME Equity Market – October 2022 Market performance – in a positive month across the board, Turkey outperforms yet again. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 12.7% mom in EUR terms and 14.4% mom in USD. The ISE30 was, once again, the best-performing index in our coverage, adding 23.4% mom in EUR terms and 25.2% in local currency terms. All the other indices recorded positive performances as well, with the WIG (+14.8% EUR / 11.5% lcl), the BUX (+11.4% EUR / 8.5% lcl) and the ASE (+10.3% EUR) del...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
KRKG KRKA D.D.
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
YKBNK YAPI VE KREDI BANKASI A.S.
OMV OMV AG
PGN POLSKIE GORNICTWO NAFTOWE I GAZOWNICTWO SA
COG COGNOR HOLDING SA
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
GWI GLOBALWORTH REAL ESTATE INVESTMENTS LIMITED
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
FOYRK FOURLIS HOLDINGS S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
AKBNK AKBANK TAS
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
EREGL EREGLI DEMIR YE CELIK FABRIKALARI T.A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
VESBE VESTEL BEYAZ ESYA SANAYI VE TICARET
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
TKFEN TEKFEN HOLDING
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALRS ALROSA PJSC
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
TRP TERAPLAST
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
HMX1R HANSAMATRIX AS
COTE CONPET SA
TEL C.N.T.E.E. TRANSELECTRICA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
FP. FONDUL PROPRIETATEA S.A. GDR (REG S)
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
A4L ALLTERCO AD
RICHT RICHTER
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
ZB-R-A ZAGREBACKA BURZA DD
SF3 STS GROUP AG
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
ARNT-R-A ARENATURIST D.D.
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
MINING AND METALLURGICAL COMPANY NORILSK NICKEL (GDR)
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
WINE ALRO SLATINA
4IG PURCARI WINERIES PCL
PCO 4IG NYRT
GPP PEPCO GROUP NV
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: TLV RO; BRD RO; FOYRK GA; SPL PW; CCC PW; TRP RO; ZB CZ; S...
HEADLINES: • Romanian banks: building resilience (Banca Transilvania downgraded to HOLD, BRD-GSG stays HOLD) • Fourlis Group: 2 for the price of 1 (upgraded to BUY) • Santander Bank Polska: strong 3Q22 delivery, largely in line with expectations • CCC: final 2Q22 results below prelims on write-downs of receivables from wholesale partners NEGATIVE • TeraPlast: weak 3Q22 earnings NEGATIVE • Zagreb Stock Exchange: 3Q22 results review - muted performance, despite qoq improvements • Romgaz: 3Q22 ...
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PGN POLSKIE GORNICTWO NAFTOWE I GAZOWNICTWO SA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
FOYRK FOURLIS HOLDINGS S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CCC CCC SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
TRP TERAPLAST
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
ZB-R-A ZAGREBACKA BURZA DD
NLBR NLB GROUP
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
- Fani Tzioukalia
- Lukasz Wachelko
- CFA
Fourlis Group: 2 for the price of 1 (upgraded to BUY)
In this report, we revisit Fourlis Group’s investment case and update our forecasts to account for the gradual recovery in the retail environment post COVID-19, as well as the growth of the ‘Trade Estates’ real estate portfolio. We have upgraded the stock to BUY, with a new 12M price target (PT) of EUR 5.70/share, using a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation due to the differing natures of the retail activities vs. the property business. We view the investment case as purely a valuation call and be...
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
FOURLIS | More ways to win, fewer ways to lose
Operating leverage: blessing and curse – With Fourlis’s retail concepts being discretionary in nature, profitability tends to be prone to cyclical swings. The high degree of operating leverage embedded in the model has proved both a blessing (130% EBITDA growth over 2012-19) and a curse (>70% decline peak to trough, -56% yoy in 2020). At the onset of 2022, market expectations were pointing to substantial growth (2022e EBITDAaL +20% yoy) thanks to the reopening impulse which would more than offse...
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
FOURLIS | More ways to win, fewer ways to lose
Operating leverage: blessing and curse – With Fourlis’s retail concepts being discretionary in nature, profitability tends to be prone to cyclical swings. The high degree of operating leverage embedded in the model has proved both a blessing (130% EBITDA growth over 2012-19) and a curse (>70% decline peak to trough, -56% yoy in 2020). At the onset of 2022, market expectations were pointing to substantial growth (2022e EBITDAaL +20% yoy) thanks to the reopening impulse which would more than offse...
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