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Commvault Systems Inc: 1 director

A director at Commvault Systems Inc sold 6,000 shares at 103.230USD and the significance rating of the trade was 82/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years c...

Laboratory Corp Of America Holdings: 2 directors

A director at Laboratory Corp Of America Holdings sold 500 shares at 202.117USD and the significance rating of the trade was 39/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last...

Moody's assigns Baa3 rating to AECOM's amended credit facilities

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) assigned a Baa3 rating to AECOM's amended and extended credit facilities, including a new $1.5 billion senior secured revolving credit facility, a $750 million senior secured term loan A, and a $700 million senior secured term loan B. The ratings on the existing credit faci...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke
ACM AECOM
EME EMCOR GROUP ... (+25)

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Downgrading Real Estate to Underweight Our bullish outlook we initiated on November 7, 2023 remains intact; this intermediate-to-long-term outlook is likely to stay in place as long as 4800 support holds on the S&P 500 (implying 7-10% downside) and market dynamics remain healthy. To be clear, we are not calling for a pullback to 4800; we view it as a worst-case scenario for the S&P 500, and we simply want to be prepared for anything. Shorter-term, we remain bullish on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke
ACM AECOM
EME EMCOR GROUP ... (+24)

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Yesterday's hotter-than-expected CPI report continues to suggest a more restrictive Fed policy than the market has been expecting. This raises the possibility of further consolidation for small- and mid-caps. Meanwhile, large-cap indexes (S&P 500, Nasdaq 100) remain bullish, finding support at their respective 20-day MAs since November 2023; the only question is whether that will continue to be the case, as our main concern remains rising Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar (DXY), which have bro...

Aecom : 1 director

A director at Aecom sold 2,255 shares at 85.540USD and the significance rating of the trade was 50/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showing C...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Breakouts Proliferate; Bullish Outlook Intact The S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and DJI are breaking out to new all-time highs following 3-week consolidations, while the small-cap Russell 2000 (IWM), mid-cap S&P 400 (IJH), Vanguard Extended Market ETF (VXF), and countless other Sectors/industries are breaking out from 3-week bullish falling wedge/flag patterns. This is classic bull market behavior. Considering market dynamics remain healthy, this is all evidence that supports our ongoing bullish outlook...

AECOM: Update following upgrade to Ba1

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its consistent free cash flow generation, against its capital allocation policy.

Moody's upgrades AECOM's CFR to Ba1; outlook stable

Moody's Investors Service (Moody's) upgraded AECOM's corporate family rating (CFR) to Ba1 from Ba2, its probability of default rating (PDR) to Ba1-PD from Ba2-PD, and the rating on the senior unsecured notes to Ba2 from Ba3. The ratings on the senior secured bank credit facilities – including the se...

AECOM - September 2023 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

AECOM - June 2023 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings: Update to credit analysis

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its good customer and geographic diversification and its stable cash flow, against its pricing pressures in core testing business.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

DXY Break Below $101 Suggests Breakouts Likely Coming for Equal-Weight SPX, Dow, and Russell 2000 Ever since our 5/30/23 ETF Pathfinder, our view has been that we cannot be bearish unless a key support level breaks (at the time, that was 4050 on the S&P 500). The S&P 500 is now above 4300-4325 -- a level that, in January this year, we had anticipated would cap upside for 2023. It is increasingly likely that 4300-4325 will act as major support moving forward, and we are bullish as long as the S&...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Russell 2000 (IWM) Testing $180 Support We discussed last week (6/21/23 Compass) how consolidation was likely, and so far that is what we have seen with the S&P 500 back to test the 4300-4325 area which we anticipated would cap upside for 2023. We continue to watch short-term support at 4300, and we cannot be bearish if the S&P 500 is above 4300. However, a break below 4300 could bring selling pressure, and potential support levels to watch would be 4165-4200 followed by 4050. Structurally high...

AECOM - March 2023 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.

AECOM - December 2022 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

AECOM: Update to credit considerations

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its consistent free cash flow generation, against its relatively low funds from operations as a percent of outstanding debt.

AECOM - September 2022 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke
ACM AECOM
EME EMCOR GROUP ... (+19)

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

U.S. Dollar, 10-Year Treasury Yield, Commodities. Over the past two weeks we have discussed the multitude of signals that either suggest (1) the bear market is over, or (2) this rally is likely to continue. Nothing has changed in terms of these expectations. Chief among the reasons we expect the rally to continue are the breakdowns in the U.S. dollar (DXY) and 10-year Treasury yield, which we view as possible early topping signals. Commodities and WTI crude oil have continued to consolidate, tho...

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