Deep dive into Chinese Semicap: How much of a headwind for Western pla...

Chinese WFE spending quadrupled in five years to $41bn, driven by aggressive local deployments, while domestic vendors rapidly gained traction, capturing 13% of local spending already, mostly in deposition, etch, and CMP. In this deep dive, we assess the competitiveness of key Chinese vendors, including Naura, AMEC, and SiCarrier. We estimate first the pace (and the scope) at (and on) which they could close the gap with their western peers. On that basis we estimate the share they can gain ov...

Mobile traffic growth: still no sign of stabilisation

OTE (Neutral, TP: €17, +4%) OTE: Downgrade to Neutral following PPC e...

OTE shares are up 13% YTD vs the sector 10% (inc dividends for both). We have been long-term Buyers, but downgrade to Neutral given new retail offers from PPC (launched yesterday) that are at a c50% to market offers.

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Intrum, Nimlas, TeamSystem, Altice France (SFR), Almaviva, Urbaser, Telecom Italia, Paprec Group, Selecta, Cirsa, Vedanta Resources, Cheplapharm, Kem One

The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 1Q25

We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 237 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides.

Sun still shining in the US

Telefonaktiebolaget L M Ericsson: 1 director

A director at Telefonaktiebolaget L M Ericsson bought 6,000,000 shares at 79.915SEK and the significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the ...

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Loewen Play, TeamSystem, Eircom, United Group, Telecom Italia, Cheplapharm, Virgin Media O2, Tata Motors, Benteler International, Lottomatica (formerly Gamenet), Crown Holdings

VEON (Buy, TP: $65/ADR, +70%) Share Buyback restarted, good buying op...

Following a sell-off which culminated in an 18% decline on Friday and has taken the stock down by 30% in a month, VEON has announced it is starting the 3rd tranche of its $100m share buyback. VEON remains a compelling BUY for us with a US$ 65/ADR price target.

Dollar Weakness The impact on our Benelux Coverage

In general, a weaker USD has a negative impact on Benelux stocks, particularly for companies with significant exports to the US. In this note we selected a list of companies with high US export exposure and we examine the potential impact on FY25 earninings. On top of the weak dollar, rising trade tensions or the introduction of tariffs further harm Benelux exporters. As the dollar depreciates against the euro, European goods become costlier for American consumers. At the same time, revenues ear...

Global EM Telcos M&A Cycle in-bound; buy the targets

With sentiment, leverage and cash flow all improving for EM Telcos we think we are approaching the point of the cycle where M&A is going to become more prevalent, and shift from bearish (in-market consolidation), to bullish (out of footprint). Investors should consider building portfolios based on likely targets. Who are they?