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Ignacio Romero
  • Ignacio Romero

MERLIN PROPERTIES: 9M’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

3Q'24 vs. 3Q'23 Results Rental Revenues: € 125.34 M (+5.2% vs. +4.7% BS(e)); EBITDA: € 97.97 M (+8.3% vs. +2.0% BS(e)); FFO: € 82.7 M (+19.9% vs. +8.3% BS(e)); 9M'24 vs. 9M'23 Results Rental Revenues: € 373.54 M (+4.8% vs. +4.6% BS(e)); EBITDA: € 279.24 M (+3.3% vs. +1.2% BS(e)); FFO: € 230.5 M (+6.7% vs. +3.0% BS(e));

Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Ahmed Ben Salem

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/15/2024

Swiss-based Accelleron was formed from the spin-off of ABB’s highly profitable turbocharger division in 2022. We view the share as a promising investment on 1/ market leadership in an attractive niche, 2/ about ~40% ROCE, 3/ conversion of ~80% of EBITDA into cash, leading to fast deleveraging, and a solid base for shareholder remuneration (75% pay out), and 4/ strong long-term visibility linked to a ~75% service share, the bulk of which is recurring. Despite an already strong stock pe...

Andres Bolumburu
  • Andres Bolumburu

CAF: 9M’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

3Q'24 vs. 3Q'23 Results Sales: € 838.0 M (-2.3% vs. +9.7% BS(e) and +11.3% consensus); EBIT: € 35.0 M (-18.6% vs. +16.7% BS(e) and +16.3% consensus); Net Profit: € 9.0 M (-52.6% vs. +47.4% BS(e) and +36.8% consensus); 9M'24 vs. 9M'23 Results Sales: € 2.918 Bn (+6.7% vs. +10.5% BS(e) and +11.0% consensus); EBIT: € 137.0 M (+7.0% vs. +18.9% BS(e) and +18.8% consensus); Net Profit: € 61.0 M (+15.1% vs. +50.9% BS(e) and +47.2% consensus);

Ignacio Romero
  • Ignacio Romero

COLONIAL: 9M’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

3Q'24 vs. 3Q'23 Results Sales: € 101.8 M (+6.5% vs. +4.6% BS(e)); EBITDA: € 86.9 M (+7.3% vs. +1.2% BS(e)); Net Profit: € 0.09 M (+15.6% vs. +3.9% BS(e)); 9M'24 vs. 9M'23 Results Sales: € 292.8 M (+4.9% vs. +4.3% BS(e)); EBITDA: € 239.9 M (+2.8% vs. +0.7% BS(e)); Net Profit: € 0.26 M (+8.8% vs. +5.0% BS(e));

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Acciona Energia : Trading statement is in line and EBITDA guidance con...

>9M 2024 in line, driven by hydro and wind in Spain, but penalised by prices - Acciona Energia has released its trading statement for 9M 2024. Installed capacity was 14.3 GW vs 12.9 GW a year earlier. Consolidated capacity increased to 12.7 GW vs 11.6 GW, up 10.4%. Capacity under construction was 1.3 GW (vs 1.6 GW at 9M 2023), i.e. a slight decline, via projects largely located in Australia (430 MW), India (413 MW), Canada (171 MW) and the Philippines (101 MW). Consol...

Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert

Merlin Properties : 9M 2024: FFO for 2024 should be better than expect...

>FFO per share for 9M 2024 at € 0.41 (-11.1% y-o-y), above our forecasts (€ 0.39 est.) - Merlin Properties yesterday evening reported a performance for 9M 2024 above our forecasts with FFO per share of € 0.41 € (-11.1% y-o-y) vs € 0.39 est. which includes overall growth at constant scope (l-f-l) of +2.7% in gross rental income, an occupancy rate of 95.6% (+16bp q-o-q) and broadly positive reversion: Offices (54% of gross rents in 9M 2024; l-f-l +2.5%): this trend...

Andres Bolumburu
  • Andres Bolumburu

ACCIONA/ACCIONA ENERGÍA: TRADING STATEMENT 9MESES’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO S...

Del trading statement 9meses’24, destacamos los siguientes aspectos:  Energía (69% EV):

Ignacio Romero
  • Ignacio Romero

MERLIN PROPERTIES: RDOS. 9MESES’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 3T'24 vs 3T'23: Ingresos por rentas: 125,3 M euros (+5,2% vs +4,7% BS(e)); EBITDA contable: 98,8 M euros (+8,3% vs +2,0% BS(e)); FFO: 82,7 M euros (+19,9% vs +8,3% BS(e)). Rdos. 9meses'24 vs 9meses'23: Ingresos por rentas: 373,5 M euros (+4,8% vs +4,6% BS(e)); EBITDA contable: 279,2 M euros (+3,3% vs +1,2% BS(e)); FFO: 230,5 M euros (+6,7% vs +3,0% BS(e)). en la

Ana Arjona-Martinez
  • Ana Arjona-Martinez

Acciona : Q3 trends in line with previous quarters; Guidance reiterate...

>No surprises at the stub - We see limited potential impact at the stub from Acciona’s Q3 2024 trading update, as limited information was provided for the business excluding Acciona Energía and Nordex. Still, in our view, the overall operating message for the stub was positive, specially at the infrastructure division, where solid trends from previous quarters have been maintained. Key highlights from the release concerning the stub are: 1/ the construction divis...

Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert

Merlin Properties : 9M24 : l’atterrissage du FFO 2024 devrait être mei...

>FFO /action sur 9M24 à 0.41 € (-11.1 % yoy) au-dessus de nos attentes (0.39€e) - Merlin Properties a publié hier soir, une performance sur 9M 2024 au-dessus de nos attentes avec un FFO /action à 0.41 € (-11.1 % yoy) vs 0.39 €e qui inclut une croissance globale à périmètre constant (lfl) de +2.7% de ses revenus locatifs bruts, un taux d’occupation à 95.6% (+16 pb qoq) et une réversion globalement positive : Bureaux (54% des loyers bruts 9M24 ; lfl +2.5%) : cette ...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Acciona Energia : Un trading statement en ligne et la guidance d’EBITD...

>9M 24 en ligne, porté par l’hydro et le vent espagnol, mais pénalisé par les prix - Acciona Energia a publié son « trading statement » du 9M 24. La capacité installée s'élève à 14,3 GW contre 12,9 GW un an plus tôt. La capacité consolidée est passée à 12,7 GW contre 11.6 GW, en hausse de 10.4%. La capacité en construction s'élève à 1.3 GW (vs 1.6 GW au 9M 23), soit un léger recul, à travers des projets situés essentiellement en Australie (430 MW), en Inde (413 MW), a...

Ignacio Romero
  • Ignacio Romero

COLONIAL: RDOS. 9MESES’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 3T'24 vs 3T'23: Ingresos por rentas: 101,8 M euros (+6,5% vs +4,6% BS(e)); EBITDA: 86,9 M euros (+7,3% vs +1,2% BS(e)); BPA recurrente: 0,09 euros (+15,6% vs +3,9% BS(e)). Rdos. 9meses'24 vs 9meses'23: Ingresos por rentas: 292,8 M euros (+4,9% vs +4,3% BS(e)); EBITDA: 239,9 M euros (+2,8% vs +0,7% BS(e)); BPA recurrente: 0,26 euros (+8,8% vs +5,0% BS(e)). Los Rdos. son buenos y también están por encima de los que esperábamos, tanto por algo mayores ingresos como por menores gastos operativ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 15 NOVEMBER + 3Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SA...

NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAF, CAIXABANK, COLONIAL, MERLIN. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. ECB’s target nearly met The Euro STOXX 50 had its best day since late September, while the ECB’s meeting minutes suggested the 2% inflation target will be met earlier than expected, thus cementing t...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 15 NOVIEMBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA 3T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS B...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAF, CAIXABANK, COLONIAL, MERLIN. EUROPA: ASML, SANOFI. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El BCE con el objetivo casi cumplido El Euro STOXX 50 tuvo su mejor día desde finales de septiembre mientras las ...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+3)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/13/2024

We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully reflec...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+3)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 13/11/2024

Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété dans ...

Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+3)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : Spain: the PSOE and SUMAR looking to abolish the SOCIMI regime

>PSOE and Sumar spring a surprise in seeking to suddenly abolish the SOCIMI regime - On Monday 11 November, the PSOE reached a tax agreement with its Spanish government ally, “Sumar”, whereby the two parties want to abolish the SOCIMI REIT regime or at least part of its tax advantages. This sudden stance, which surprised Spanish property professionals, is thus different from the position that was presented just last week, namely to “encourage the construction of affor...

Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+3)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : Espagne : le PSOE et SUMAR souhaiteraient abolir le régime SOCI...

>PSOE et Sumar créent la surprise en voulant supprimer soudainement le régime SOCIMI - Ce lundi 11 novembre, le PSOE sont parvenus à un accord fiscal avec son allié au gouvernement espagnol, « Sumar », par lequel les deux partis veulent supprimer le régime SOCIMI ou au moins une partie de ses avantages fiscaux. Cette prise de position soudaine qui a crée la surprise auprès des professionnels de l’immobilier espagnol, diffère ainsi de la position qui était encore mise ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 13 NOVIEMBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 3T'24. IDEAS DESTA...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, AENA, CAF, GREENING, NEINOR HOMES, SACYR, SECTOR INMOBILIARIO - SOCIMI. EUROPA: ALLIANZ, PROSUS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Alemania celebrará elecciones en febrero El contagio desde Asia junto con el incremento en...

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