On Wednesday, we published our European Telecoms Year Ahead note for 2026. In that note, we upgraded Cellnex to a Buy, as we think the market’s worst fears on growth are overdone, and we downgraded Telefonica to a Reduce, as we fear the low cashflow growth outlook is not being properly priced in. However, in that sector report, we missed out one important aspect to back up this diverging view of value and we now highlight that here.
Yesterday, we published our sector lookahead for EU telecoms names for 2026. There is a lot of material in the report, but as part of the review, we upgraded Cellnex and Inwit to Buy for the first time since 2017 and 2023 respectively.
NEWS SUMMARY: GRIFOLS, INDRA. Doubts do not disappear they change Calm prevailed at both sides of the Atlantic with a battery of macroeconomic data that did not convince the market. In the STOXX 600, almost all sectors (16/20) ended with drops, led by Energy and Industrials vs. the larger gains of Consumer Goods, Financial Services and Retail Estate. On the macro side, in the euro zone, November’s PMI fell more than expected (the manufacturing PMI was at its lowest level in 8 months) but the co...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRIFOLS, INDRA Las dudas no desaparecen, se transforman Volvió la cautela a ambos lados del Atlántico con una batería de datos macro que no convenció al mercado. En el STOXX 600, casi todos los sectores (16/20) terminaron con caídas, lideradas por Energía e Industriales frente a las mayores ganancias de B. de Consumo, Servicios Financieros e Inmobiliario. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozona los PMI’s de noviembre cayeron más de lo esperado (manufactur...
NEWS SUMMARY: FERROVIAL, GREENING, REPSOL, TALGO. The Fed continues to underpin stock markets The Fed’s dovish message underpinned the weekly gains of stock markets, conveying confidence on lower rates in 2026 and higher liquidity with the Fed’s short-term asset purchase. This led the Ibex to climb above 17,000 points. In the STOXX 600, Banks and Insurance, closely followed by Travel&Leisure, led the gains whereas Autos and Real Estate were the only sectors ending with drops. On the macro side,...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: FERROVIAL, GREENING, REPSOL, TALGO. EUROPA: SANOFI. La Fed sigue apoyando el mercado El mensaje dovish de la Fed apoyó a las bolsas en la semana, transmitiendo confianza a los mercados en que habrá tipos más bajos en 2026 y más liquidez con la compra de activos a corto plazo. No obstante, las dudas en torno a las tecnológicas provocaron tomas de beneficios en la recta final. Así, en el STOXX 600, los mejores sectores fueron Bancos y Seguros seguido ...
NEWS SUMMARY: CELLNEX, FERROVIAL, GRUPO SANJOSE, REPSOL, TELEFÓNICA, VIDRALA. The Ibex near 17,000 points European stock markets climbed near 1% yesterday after the Fed’s rate cut and despite doubts surrounding the technology sector after the poor reception of Oracle’s results. In the STOXX 600, Construction (that rallied after being the worst-performing sector last Wednesday) and Leisure, closely followed by Banks led the gains whereas Utilities and Energy were almost the only sectors ending w...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CELLNEX, FERROVIAL, GRUPO SANJOSE, REPSOL, TELEFÓNICA, VIDRALA. EUROPA: BNP PARIBAS. El Ibex enfila los 17.000 puntos Las bolsas europeas avanzaron ayer cerca de un 1% tras la bajada de tipos por parte de la Fed y pese a las dudas en las tecnológicas tras la mala acogida de los resultados de Oracle. En el STOXX 600, los mejores sectores fueron Construcción (rebotó tras ser el miércoles el peor sector) y Ocio seguido de cerca por los Bancos mientras...
NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA ENERGÍA, ARCELORMITTAL, CAIXABANK, IAG, INDITEX, OHLA, SANTANDER. Stability for now In the absence of references from the US due to Thanksgiving, European stock markets traded within a narrow sideways range. In the STOXX 600, Autos and Financial Services were the best performers whereas Pharma, Technology and Basic Resources were the only sectors that ended with drops. On the macro side, in the euro zone, October’s M3 remained at 2.8% YoY, in line with expectations, wherea...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA ENERGÍA, ARCELORMITTAL, CAIXABANK, IAG, INDITEX, OHLA, SANTANDER. Por el momento, estabilidad En una sesión sin referencias desde EE.UU., por la festividad de Acción de Gracias, las bolsas europeas se movieron en un rango lateral estrecho. En el STOXX 600, las ganancias fueron dirigidas por Autos, S. Financieros e Inmobiliario. En el lado contrario, sólo Farma, Tecnología y R. Básicos terminaron con caídas. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozo...
NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, FERROVIAL, NEINOR, TELEFÓNICA. Stock markets remain confident that the Fed will end up cutting rates European stock markets rose, welcoming higher rate cut expectations in the Fed’s next meeting, especially after the weakness of the US data released yesterday. In the STOXX 600, Construction and Retail were the best performers whereas cyclicals sectors such as Technology and Energy posted the biggest drop. On the macro side, in the US September’s retail sa...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, FERROVIAL, NEINOR HOMES, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: ENI, UNICREDIT. Confianza en que la Fed terminará bajando tipos Avances en las bolsas europeas, que siguen celebrando las mayores expectativas de bajadas de tipos para la próxima reunión de la Fed, especialmente después de la debilidad de los datos estadounidenses de hoy. En el STOXX 600, los mejores sectores fueron Construcción y Retail mientras que cíclicos como Tecnología y En...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAF, TELEFÓNICA, UNICAJA. EUROPA: PROSUS. Nvidia, un impulso a las bolsas que se desinfla Los resultados publicados por la tecnológica disipan de momento las dudas en torno a la IA y provocó rebotes en los índices europeos superiores al 1% pero que se fueron moderando hacia el cierre del mercado con un Ibex que se quedó al borde de los 16.000 puntos. En el STOXX 600, Energía e Industriales fueron los que mayores ganancias presentaron frente a Autos...
NEWS SUMMARY: CAF, TELEFÓNICA, UNICAJA. Nvidia fuelled stock markets to later ease The results released by the technology group dispelled doubts surrounding AI for the time being, leading to the rally of European markets >1% that eased at the closing bell, with the Ibex near 16,000 points. In the STOXX 600, Energy and Industrial led gains vs. Autos and Media that posted the biggest drops. On the macro side, in the euro zone, December’s consumer confidence was disappointing after remaining at th...
NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, ACS, AENA, COLONIAL, ELECTRICITY SECTOR, MERLIN, REPSOL, SANTANDER, TALGO. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’25 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Markets see profit taking European stock markets ended up with profit taking in a session that ended worse than it began in a technical movement to digest th...
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