BHP's bid for Anglo American has confirmed interest from miners in copper in the context of increasingly challenged production and difficulties in fully completing projects. Anglo’s (Neutral) prospects in copper are now better valued and this is also the case for BHP (Neutral vs Underperform) although not so for Rio Tinto (Outperform vs Neutral). Downstream, Nexans and Montana Aerospace are our Top Picks (Outperform) vs Aurubis, Rexel and Prysmian (Neutral). - ...
L’offre de BHP sur Anglo American a confirmé l’intérêt des minières pour le cuivre dans un contexte de tensions croissantes sur la production et de difficultés à faire aboutir les projets. Les perspectives d’Anglo (Neutre) dans le cuivre sont désormais mieux valorisées, c’est aussi le cas de BHP (Neutre vs Sous-performance) mais pas encore assez, selon nous, sur Rio Tinto (Surperformance vs Neutre). En aval, Nexans et Montana Aerospace sont nos valeurs préférées (Surperformance) vs Au...
S&P revises six Spanish banks' outlook to positive due to increased profitability. CaixaBank: strong profitability and an AT1 call, MREL remains the tightest requirement. Unicaja earnings benefit from the substantial increase in NII, we expect new PS issuance for MREL buffering. The ESMA agrees with Irish and Luxemburgish investment restrictions on Liability-Driven Investments
S&P revises six Spanish banks' outlook to positive due to increased profitability. CaixaBank: strong profitability and an AT1 call, MREL remains the tightest requirement. Unicaja earnings benefit from the substantial increase in NII, we expect new PS issuance for MREL buffering. The ESMA agrees with Irish and Luxemburgish investment restrictions on Liability-Driven Investments
>Neutral rating maintained – target price raised to € 1.25 (vs € 1.20) - We maintain our Neutral rating, with a higher target price of € 1.25 (vs € 1.20). The Q1 2024 figures broadly confirm the bank’s favourable underlying operating trends (top line, costs, CoR) and solid balance sheet. We have upgraded our net income expectations (+4% on average for 2024-26e) to factor in a lastingly more favourable NII trajectory and a slightly less conservative CoR scenario. Follo...
>Opinion Neutre réitérée – OC porté à 1.25 € (vs 1.20 €) - Nous réitérons notre recommandation Neutre avec un objectif de cours porté à 1.25 € (vs 1.20 €). Les chiffres T1 2024 confirment globalement l’orientation favorable de l’opérationnel underlying (top line, coûts CdR) et la solidité bilancielle du groupe. Nous révisions à la hausse nos anticipations de RN (+4% en moyenne sur 2024-26e) afin d’intégrer la trajectoire in fine plus durablement favorable des NII et u...
1Q'24 vs. 1Q'23: NII: € 390 M (+32.2% vs. +29.5% BS(e) and +29.1% consensus); Total Revenues: € 462 M (+23.9% vs. +18.9% BS(e) and +19.1% consensus); Operating Income: € 237 M (+47.7% vs. +37.4% BS(e) and +37.1% consensus); Net Profit: € 111 M (vs. € -34 M in 1Q’23 vs. € 84 M BS(e) and € 87 M consensus). 1Q'24 vs. 4Q'23: NII: € 390 M (+2.6% vs. +0.5% BS(e) and +0.2% consensus); Total Revenues: € 462 M (+4.5% vs. +0.3% BS(e) and +0.4% consensus); Operating Income: € 237 M (+5.4% vs. -2.0% BS(e) a...
Rdos. 1T'24 vs 1T'23: M. Intereses: 390 M euros (+32,2% vs +29,5% BS(e) y +29,1% consenso); M. Bruto: 462 M euros (+23,9% vs +18,9% BS(e) y +19,1% consenso); M. Neto: 237 M euros (+47,7% vs +37,4% BS(e) y +37,1% consenso); BDI: 111 M euros (vs -34 M euros a 1T’23 vs 84 M euros BS(e) y 87 M euros consenso). Rdos. 1T'24 vs 4T'23: M. Intereses: 390 M euros (+2,6% vs +0,5% BS(e) y +0,2% consenso); M. Bruto: 462 M euros (+4,5% vs +0,3% BS(e) y +0,4% consenso); M. Neto: 237 M euros (+5,4% vs -2,0% BS(...
NEWS SUMMARY: BBVA, CAF, IAG, NATURGY, TELEFÓNICA, UNICAJA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. The Ibex hits new annual highs Friday’s gains, driven by the good earnings season on both sides of the Atlantic and some widening in sovereign yields led stock exchanges to end in positive territory, particul...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: BBVA, CAF, IAG, NATURGY, TELEFÓNICA, UNICAJA. EUROPA: PHILIPS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El Ibex logra nuevos máximos de 2024 Los avances del viernes, impulsados por la buena campaña de resultados a ambos lados del Atlánti...
NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAF, CELLNEX, FERROVIAL, IBERDROLA, ROVI. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Results and macro data drag down stock markets After three straight days of gains, the business results and the macro data in the US led to stock market losses on both sides of the Atlanti...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAF, CELLNEX, IBERDROLA, FERROVIAL, ROVI. EUROPA: AIRBUS, DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, SAFRAN, VINCI. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Los resultados y la macro lastran las bolsas Tras tres días de ganancias, los r...
Having flirted with the 495-point mark on Friday, which could have triggered an extension of the correction, the market has rebounded well since then. Our technical analysis highlights a configuration in which we are only at the start of a powerful rally. Target of 622 points for Stoxx 600 index (+11%) by the end of the year confirmed. Prefer banks to insurance companies in the short term. - ...
Après avoir frôlé vendredi la barre des 495 points qui aurait pu déclencher la poursuite de la correction, le marché a ensuite bien rebondi. Notre analyse technique met en lumière une configuration où nous ne serions qu’au début d’un rallye puissant. Objectif 622 points (+11%) d’ici à la fin de l’année confirmé sur le Stoxx 600. Préférer les banques aux assurances à court terme. - ...
>Outperform rating and target price of € 14.4 maintained - Q1 2024 results came in a shade above our forecasts but were broadly in line with the consensus. As expected, the group's resilience strategy enabled it to benefit over the quarter from an increase in regulated activities thanks to the growth of the asset base, and largely offset the generation activity that benefits from a good level of hydrometry on the Iberian Peninsula and new offshore wind capacity but is...
>Opinion Surperformance et OC 14.4 € maintenus - Les résultats du T1 24 sont ressortis un peu au-dessus de nos attentes mais globalement en ligne avec le consensus. Comme attendu, la stratégie de résilience du groupe lui permet de bénéficier, sur ce trimestre, de la progression des activités régulées grâce à la croissance de la base d’actifs. Cela a permis de largement compenser une activité de génération bénéficiant certes d’un bon niveau d’hydrométrie sur la péninsu...
NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, AEDAS HOMES, CELLNEX, EBRO FOODS, IBERDROLA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Stock markets deflate European stock markets started the session off well but began to deflate, eventually closing with losses after US stock markets opened in the red and following a new rise in sovereign de...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, AEDAS, CELLNEX, EBRO FOODS, IBERDROLA. EUROPA: BASF, BNP, PERNOD RICARD, SANOFI, SCHNEIDER. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Jornada de más a menos Las bolsas europeas comenzaron bien la jornada, pero fueron perdiendo fuelle...
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