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Bella Lu Yifei ... (+9)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, June 14

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: EV sales pull back last week. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Tuopu and Joyson Electronics. Top SELLs: XPeng. Internet Strategic revamp to foster re-accelerating growth and shareholders’ return. INDONESIA Update Bank Tabungan Negara (BBTN IJ/BUY/Rp1,240/Target: Rp1,700) ...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Japanese Telcos From “rising tide” to “winner takes all” – Should you...

For several years, our thesis had been that a lack of meaningful impact by Rakuten would lift all 3 incumbents. However, the launch of integrated financial services products shifted this, and this has been confirmed we think by Q4 figures; Japan is now a “winner takes all” market, with SoftBank the winner.

Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Consumer: Dragon Boat Festival: Consumer services, experiential ...

During the Dragon Boat Festival holiday, consumer services, experiential spending (eg tourism) and lower-tier cities continued to lead the growth. For China’s consumer sector, we keep Anta, CTGDF, Haidilao, Haier and Shenzhou as our most preferred stocks. At the same time, we add Miniso but remove CR Beer and Midea from the stock picks. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China’s consumer sector.

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+11)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Ceilica Su Rui
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Leow Huey Chuen
  • Paula Ruth
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Tham Mun Hon

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, June 11, 2024

GREATER CHINA Economics Trade May exports grew 7.6%; imports moderated. Sector Property Property prices further drop after 17 May 24 policy combo; effective implementation of policies crucial for market stabilisation. INDONESIA Sector Telecommunications Pos...

Chong Lee Len ... (+13)
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Damon Shen
  • Jacquelyn Yow Hui Li
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Leow Huey Chuen
  • Paula Ruth
  • Thailand Research Team

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, June 4, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Property - Hong Kong Limited Downside Risks To Property Price in Near Term; Watch For Policy Support For Hong Kong Tourism. INDONESIA Update XL Axiata (EXCL IJ/BUY/Rp2,320/Target: Rp2,900) 2024 net profit could grow 45% yoy, partly driven by network improvement. MALAYSIA Sector Oil & Gas Petrona...

MAJOR MAJOR CINEPLEX GROUP PCL
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
1023 CIMB GROUP HOLDINGS BHD
CPIN PT CHAROEN POKPHAND INDONESIA TBK
5681 PETRONAS DAGANGAN BHD.
5218 SAPURA ENERGY BHD
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
00014 HYSAN DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
5347 TENAGA NASIONAL BHD
AW9U FIRST REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
O5RU AIMS APAC REIT
SK6U SPH REIT
5243 VELESTO ENERGY
01997 WHARF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CO. LTD.
UZMA UZMA BHD
MISC MISC BHD
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
YNS YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
BTS BTS GROUP HOLDINGS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
FEHT FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
BAB BUMI ARMADA BERHAD
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
FHT FRASERS HOSPITALITY TRUST
DLG DIALOG GROUP BHD
MMHE MALAYSIA MARINE AND HEAVY EN
CPALL TB CP ALL
SDPL SIME DARBY PLANTATION BHD
DLUM DELEUM BERHAD
SASSR SASSEUR REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
MUST MANULIFE US REAL ESTATE INV
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
UHU UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
SCGP SCG PACKAGING PCL
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
TIDLOR NGERN TID LOR PCL
FLT FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
DHLT DAIWA HOUSE LOGISTICS TRUST
DCREIT DIGITAL CORE REIT
EXCL XL AXIATA TBK PT
MPACT MAPLETREE PAN ASIA COMMERCIAL TRUST
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
BCOW 1895 BANCORP OF WISCONSIN INC
CLAS CAPITALAND ASCOTT TRUST
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
PRIME PRIME ROAD POWER PUBLIC CO LTD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
1737144D TB BETAGRO GROUP
Bella Lu Yifei ... (+12)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Ken Lee
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Ming San Soong
  • Nurul Nazira Binti Abdullah

Regional Morning Notes: Thursday, May 23, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PEV sales drop wow due to high comparison base. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL and Tuopu. Top SELLs: Li Auto and XPeng. Results Kuaishou (1024 HK/BUY/HK$58.15/Target: HK$85.00) 1Q24: Solid earnings beat; softer 2Q24; HK$16b share repurchase plan. Pinduoduo (PDD US/BUY/US$145.45/Target: US$200.00) 1Q24: Robust earnings beat; stro...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Rakuten (Reduce, TP: ¥400, -51%) Q1 24 Quick Take: Mobile still lacki...

Rakuten Mobile continues to lack traction, driving an overall disappointing set of figures. The company continues to guide towards breakeven in Mobile by year end, but has introduced a new way of looking at Mobile profitability, by focusing on losses excluding acquisition costs and including the impact on EC which we think paves the way for dropping this guidance later in the year.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Softbank Corp (Buy, TP: ¥2,500, +33%) Q4 23 Quick Take: Bottom-line b...

Softbank delivered a strong beat on EBITDA and net profit this quarter, with mobile accelerating as the benefits of financial integration into mobile plans continued to flow through. Guidance was mixed however, impacted by the ¥150bn investments going into generative AI. As a result, compared to a scenario without these investments, the guided EBIT was lower by ¥30bn/year for FY24 and FY25, but in line with previous figures.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Softbank Corp (Buy, TP: ¥2,500, +33%) SoftBank Corp looking to take a...

Bloomberg reports that SoftBank Corp is looking to take a majority stake in LY Corp. Our (very brief) thoughts below.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

LY Corp (Buy, TP: ¥585, +43%) Q4 FY23 Quick Take: Better than expecte...

LY delivered yet another strong EBITDA beat, ahead of consensus by 16%. Against consensus expectations, FY24 guidance was in line for revenue while ahead on EBITDA. Encouragingly, the company has also laid out a bullish EPS target of more than ¥20 for FY25 (vs. ¥18.7 previously) which reflects the company’s focus on efficiency and profitability, and would be positive if the company can achieve it.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+17)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jacquelyn Yow Hui Li
  • Johnny Yum
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Leow Huey Chuen
  • Limartha Adhiputra
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, May 03, 2024

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on Crystal International. Sector Automobile Weekly: EV sales pick up; take...

TFG THAIFOODS GROUP
600690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS A
02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
LH LAND & HOUSES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ORI ORIGIN PROPERTY
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
00992 LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
002142 BANK OF NINGBO CO. LTD. CLASS A
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
AKRA PT AKR CORPORINDO TBK
AALI ASTRA AGRO LESTARI
6963 V.S. INDUSTRY
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
600660 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
QH QUALITY HOUSES
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
GFPT GFPT
SPALI SUPALAI PCL
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
AP4 RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS
BSDE PT BUMI SERPONG DAMAI TBK
300124 SHENZHEN INOVANCE TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD CLASS A
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
ACES PT ACE HARDWARE INDONESIA TBK
AP AP THAILAND
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
FEHT FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
SIDO INDUSTRI JAMU DAN FARMASI SI
SCGB SUNWAY CONSTRUCTION GROUP BH
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
WPRTS WESTPORTS HOLDINGS BHD
MSGB MAH SING GROUP BHD
PMAH PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDIN
333 MIDEA GROUP
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
PSH PRUKSA HOLDING PCL
RGB RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
338 WEICHAI POWER
709 GIORDANO INTERNATIONAL LTD
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
869 PLAYMATES TOYS LIMITED
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
MPACT MAPLETREE PAN ASIA COMMERCIAL TRUST
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
2232 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP LTD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
02015 LI AUTO INC
09868 XPENG INC
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
GENTMK GENTING BERHAD
Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: April Edition

What you need to know: • Following a big breakout in March, gold pressed on hitting new all-time highs, however, lost steam and fell towards the end of the month up just 2% in April. Silver outperformed gold, being up 5% on the month. • Copper held its big gains from early in the month, up 13% to $4.6/lb. However, copper equities lagged, being up only 8%. • We continue to see substantial M&A activity in the sector and have consolidated some transactions as of late in Figure 1. We view M&A as a...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Rakuten (Reduce, TP: ¥400, -47%) Not on track to hit breakeven targets

Rakuten has seen stronger customer growth recently. In this note, we analyse whether Rakuten is on track to hit its target 8-10m customers and ¥2,500-3,000 ARPU by year end, and what this means for Rakuten’s target EBITDA breakeven by Dec 2024.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+4)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Singapore Research Team

Singapore Daily: Monday, April 15, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy The Impact Of Escalating Middle East Tensions A fluid situation with oil prices the key worry. Small/Mid Cap Highlights BRC Asia (BRC SP/BUY/S$1.94/Target: S$2.42) 1QFY24: Strong results as construction demand recovers. TRADERS’ CORNER Aztech Global (AZTECH SP): Trading BUY Isdn Holdings (ISDN SP): Trading BUY

FR FIRST INDUSTRIAL REALTY TRUST INC.
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
CC3 STARHUB LTD
S63 SINGAPORE TECHNOLOGIES ENGINEERING LTD
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
C09 CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED
S68 SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LTD.
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
F34 WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
1820 ABDULMOHSEN AL HOKAIR GROUP FOR TOURISM AND DEVELOPMENT CO CJSC
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
Y92 THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
SE SEA ADS
SATS SP SATS LTD.
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
FEHT FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
NETLINK NETLINK NBN TRUST
SIE SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD
BAL BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
SPOST SINGAPORE POST LTD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
RFMD RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD
SASSR SASSEUR REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
MUST MANULIFE US REAL ESTATE INV
BRC BRC ASIA LTD
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
FEH FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
UHU UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
FLT FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
DCREIT DIGITAL CORE REIT
ADSE ADS TEC ENERGY PLC
CLI CAPITALAND INVESTMENT LTD
MPACT MAPLETREE PAN ASIA COMMERCIAL TRUST
BCOW 1895 BANCORP OF WISCONSIN INC
CLAS CAPITALAND ASCOTT TRUST
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
PRIME PRIME ROAD POWER PUBLIC CO LTD
STM SEATRIUM LTD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
ACG ACG ACQUISITION COMPANY LIMITED
Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Rakuten (Reduce, TP: ¥400, -54%) Our thoughts on the Reorganization of...

Rakuten announced today that discussions are underway to integrate its FinTech businesses under one group.

Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong

Banking - Risk To Reward Remains Well Balanced

Loans growth edged upwards to 5.8% in Feb 24 (Jan 24: 5.7%) on the recovery in both the HH and business segments and household loans. We anticipate a 5.5-6.0% system loans growth for 2024, implying a 1.18x loans to GDP growth multiple which is in line with its 10-year mean. We find the sector’s risk to reward well-balanced (mean valuation) in the absence of strong catalysts. The sector’s 2024 earnings growth is expected to lag the broader equity market. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT with CIMB being our...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 28/03/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Logging results at Welchau further derisk the discovery – The logging program has confirmed open fracture networks and vuggy porosity (matrix porosity) essential for well productivity coincident with hydrocarbon shows between 1346 m and 1702 m measured depth. This represents 356 m of gross interval across three interpreted lithological sequences. This compares with only 115 m of l...

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 27 Mar 24

27th March 2024 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment object...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Asia Telco Tour Feedback, Improving growth, ROCE and shareholder remun...

We ran our Asia Telco tour last week. This time we met 12 companies in 3 countries (Korea, Japan, Thailand). Telco share prices in all 3 of these countries have been pretty strong recently as telcos continue to benefit from generally positive themes: growth, return on capital and shareholder remuneration are all typically improving.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Japanese Telcos Takeaways from Meetings with the Japanese Telcos + Ra...

We met with all 3 of the incumbent Japanese Telcos & Rakuten in Tokyo this week. Every time we visit we are reminded of how much better the telco industry is in Japan vs other DMs and we continue to be of the view that Japanese incumbents are in a “Golden Age”; ARPU inflection is being held back a little we think by voice weakness post-Covid but is likely to come through over time. The integration of financial services though is a game changer and means SB is the likely medium term “winner” in t...

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