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Bella Lu Yifei ... (+7)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Ken Lee
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, September 12, 2025

Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China has launched a three-month MIIT-led campaign to curb online misconduct in the auto industry, using selfinspections and penalties to reduce misinformation and promote competition on product quality. China’s PV insurance registrations fell 30% wow due to seasonality and consumers’ wait-and-see sentiment. Lithium carbonate prices correct on the production resumption of CATL’s Jianxiawo lithium mine. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT on China’s auto sector; top...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: The price war took its toll in 2Q25, and it i...

The price war took its toll on Chinese auto companies in 2Q25, causing a margin squeeze along the supply chain. Price wars are inevitable, despite the state’s antiinvolution campaign. Large OEMs like Geely, BYD and GWM will survive the industry consolidation. For young companies, we expect XPeng, Leapmotor and Aito to thrive. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto.

Julie Boote
  • Julie Boote

PSA Autos / New Mobility: Isuzu (7202 JT) Facing Challenges in FY25 an...

After a solid post-Covid profit rebound, Isuzu is once again navigating through troubled water: Its pick-up truck sales in Thailand have collapsed, the US sales situation is uncertain, and commercial vehicle sales in Asia are stagnating. Isuzu expects sales volumes will recover, and earnings will continue to benefit from further price hikes. Analyst Julie Boote is examining the truck maker’s prospects in light of increasing competition and rising geopolitical and macro-economic uncertainties.

Felix Fischer ... (+6)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Iliad, Selecta, Loxam, Rexel, Pasubio, e& PPF Telecom, Tata Motors, Odigeo, Canpack

Leonard Law ... (+2)
  • Leonard Law
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Melco Resorts, Tata Motors, Fosun International

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 2Q25 – Autos: Semi recovery underway; tangible risks of pull-for...

Today, we are publishing the Autos section of our 28th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Hyperscale & Cloud, Telecom Equipment, PCs, Enterprise IT, Foundry and Semicap Equipment. The auto semiconductor recovery is underway, with revenues up 4% QoQ ...

Felix Fischer
  • Felix Fischer

Asia Monthly – August 2025 In Review - Lucror Analytics

In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in August 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on de...

DZJ COUNTRY GARDEN HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
M04 MGM CHINA HOLDINGS LIMITED
MAS MELCO RESORTS & ENTERTAINMENT LIMITED SPONSORED ADR
JSWSTEEL JSW STEEL LIMITED
00813 SHIMAO GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
XGH CHINA WATER AFFAIRS GROUP LIMITED
00817 ENN ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED
CHINA JINMAO HOLDINGS GROUP LIMITED
01238 CENTRAL CHINA REAL ESTATE LIMITED
00992 POWERLONG REAL ESTATE HOLDINGS LTD.
VED LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
02777 VEDANTA RESOURCES PLC
03383 GUANGZHOU R&F PROPERTIES CO. LTD. CLASS H
TATASTEEL AGILE GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
4755 TATA STEEL LIMITED
MEDC RAKUTEN INC.
ICT PT MEDCO ENERGI INTERNASIONAL TBK
01098 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINER TERMINAL SERVICES INC.
00603 ROAD KING INFRASTRUCTURE LIMITED
OL5 CHINA OIL & GAS GROUP LTD.
Z25 SHUI ON LAND LTD.
SXC YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED
03377 SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00880 SINO-OCEAN GROUP HOLDING LTD.
INDY SJM HOLDINGS LIMITED
8WY PT INDIKA ENERGY TBK
WFG1 WYNN MACAU LTD.
01030 WEST CHINA CEMENT LTD.
00884 SEAZEN GROUP LTD.
JPFA CIFI HOLDINGS (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00142 JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
600803 FIRST PACIFIC CO. LTD.
JFC ENN ECOLOGICAL HOLDINGS (A)
7201 JOLLIBEE FOODS CORP.
KIJA NISSAN MOTOR CO. LTD.
BIOCON PT KAWASAN INDUSTRI JABABEKA TBK CLASS A
9984 BIOCON LIMITED
SM SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
00405 SM INVESTMENTS CORPORATION
KOU YUEXIU REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
VLL KWG GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
00656 VISTA LAND & LIFESCAPES INC.
ADANIPORTS FOSUN INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
PWON ADANI PORTS & SPECIAL ECONOMIC ZONE LTD.
ICBP PT PAKUWON JATI TBK
TBIG PT INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR TBK
599A PT TOWER BERSAMA INFRASTRUCTURE TBK
TATAMOTORS SANDS CHINA LTD.
ADANITRANS TATA MOTORS LIMITED
POWR ADANI TRANSMISSION LTD.
AZRE PT CIKARANG LISTRINDO TBK
01112 AZURE POWER GLOBAL LTD.
VHM HEALTH AND HAPPINESS (H&H) INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
MSC VINHOMES
ADANIGREEN STUDIO CITY INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS ADS
00017 ADANI GREEN ENERGY LIMITED
RNW NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
PGEO RENEW ENERGY GLOBAL PLC
PT. PERTAMINA GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

BYD Company (1211 HK): 2Q25: Earnings down over 30% yoy/qoq, missing e...

2Q25 net profit came in 40%/49% below our and consensus estimates at Rmb6,356m (- 30% yoy/-31% qoq) on severe margin contraction given price cuts in June. Net profit per vehicle plummeted 39% yoy/41% qoq to Rmb4,950. Going forward, BYD is facing headwinds from stiffening competition and high channel inventories. We slash our 2025-27 net profit forecasts by 29%/38%/46% to Rmb45.35b/Rmb51.13b/Rmb57.66b respectively. Downgrade to SELL. Lower target price from HK$142.00 to HK$90.00.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+21)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Monday, September 1, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI August's manufacturing PMI edged up slightly to 49.4 (+0.1pt mom), while non-manufacturing PMI improved modestly to 50.3 (+0.2pt mom). However, construction PMI fell to 49.1 (-1.5pt mom), below the expansion threshold for the first time since January. With moderating decline in new orders and new export orders, PMI for large-sized enterprise (50.8, +0.5pt mom) and small-sized enterprise (46.6, +0.2pt mom) both improved. Overall, a mixed bag. Results Alibaba Group...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+15)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Ming San Soong
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, September 1, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$115.70/Target: HK$170.00): 1QFY26: Better-than-expected CMR and cloud revenue growth; encouraging quick commerce outlook. BYD Company (1211 HK/SELL/HK$114.40/Target: HK$90.00): 2Q25: Earnings down over 30% yoy/qoq, missing estimates on margins. Downgrade from BUY to SELL. Cut target price from HK$142.00 to HK$90.00. BYD Electronic (285 HK/BUY/HK$41.18/Target: HK$51.80): 1H25: Margin misses due to product mix shift; growth story remains unchange...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: YOY PV sales growth turns positive on price c...

China’s yoy PV and PEV sales growth returned to positive territory (at +6.2%/+13.5%) in the 33rd week of 2025, as OEMs cut prices again. Geely’s insurance registrations spiked 21% wow during the week, beating our expectation, driven by the blockbuster new model Galaxy A7. However, BYD, Tesla China and Li Auto still posted a yoy sales decline during the week, albeit a wow rebound. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu.

Cummins Inc: 1 director

A director at Cummins Inc sold 1,307 shares at 405.326USD and the significance rating of the trade was 63/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly sho...

Julie Boote
  • Julie Boote

PSA Autos / New Mobility: Large US Import Tariff Hit Dismissed by Mark...

As the US is introducing new import tariffs, the auto sector is among the worst hit in corporate Japan. Japanese automakers are set to book major losses related to tariffs, leading to substantial FY25 earnings’ declines. Yet, after an initial negative stock market reaction, share prices have recovered close to or above pre-tariff levels. Analyst Julie Boote investigates.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: Yoy growth of China’s PEV sales turns negativ...

China’s PEV yoy sales growth turned negative (at -0.5%) during the week. BYD and Li Auto posted a yoy sales decline. We expect EV sales to recover from September with the launch of new models and interest subsidies for auto loans. Lithium carbonate prices rebounded to >Rmb80,000/tonne due to better supply discipline. We upgrade Ganfeng Lithium from HOLD to BUY thanks to lithium price recovery. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+17)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Alden Gabriel Lam
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Damon Shen
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jieqi Liu
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Lester Siew
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, August 15, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: Yoy growth of China’s PEV sales turns negative; lithium price recovers. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Results Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$18.95/Target: HK$42.00) 2Q25: Core earnings surge 93% yoy, in line; raise target price to HK$42.00. Maintain BUY. Hysan Development (14 HK/BUY/HK$15.67/Target: HK$17.84) ...

Felix Fischer ... (+5)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Urbaser, Victoria, Ardagh, Solenis, Asmodee, The Very Group, Tata Motors, Ardagh Metal Beverage Packaging

Leonard Law ... (+2)
  • Leonard Law
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Greentown China, Wynn Macau, Rakuten Group, UPL Limited, Tata Motors

Felix Fischer ... (+5)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Filipe Botelho
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Altice France (SFR), Zegona, Urbaser, Telecom Italia, TalkTalk, Nemak, Tata Motors, Tereos, Grupo Antolin, Rexel, Iceland Foods

Leonard Law ... (+2)
  • Leonard Law
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Adani Ports, Tata Motors

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