A director at Indosat Tbk Pt bought 300,000 shares at 1,520.000IDR and the significance rating of the trade was 51/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cl...
Indian FWA net adds continue to accelerate and reached roughly c. 2.1m in the December quarter. India is probably therefore now accounting for around 50% of global shipments. We continue to think this is a critical development, and likely to drive an S-curve of adoption in Global EM.
GREATER CHINA Update Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK$12.16/Target: HK$14.30) 3QFY25 results preview: Expect solid beat on better-than-expected shipment. INDONESIA Results Indosat (ISAT IJ/BUY/Rp1,625/Target: Rp2,100) 4Q24: EBITDA down 2% yoy, and core NPAT drops 19% yoy. MALAYSIA Sector Plantation Jan 25: End stock remains low due to production...
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Growth potential and AI development trends following emergence of DeepSeek. Property Policy implementation and development remain the key focus and catalyst. INDONESIA Strategy Catching A Falling Knife Or Opportunity To Buy? We Say Buy Our picks are BBCA, BBTN, CMRY, ICBP, KLBF, CTRA, AMRT, PGEO, TL...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls Add CATL, JD Logistics, Miniso and Plover Bay to our BUY list, and Weimob to our SELL list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Our Selections Outperform In 2024 Our picks are ISAT, KLBF, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI, CMRY and ASII. MALAYSIA Update VS Industry (VSI MK/BUY/RM1.16/Target: RM1.50) Despite a 17% recovery in its share price since its low in m...
XL Axiata and Smartfren have announced their merger to form “XLSmart”, with a combined Enterprise Value of over IDR 104tn (US$ 6.5bn), implying a 4.6x LTM EV/EBITDA. The news is welcoming as it marks the final move in Indonesia’s mobile consolidation from a peak of eight players down to three.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Add Desay, Meituan, Mengniu, Tencent, and Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit from CATL. Update CR Mixc Lifestyle (1209 HK/BUY/HK$29.20/Target: HK$32.15) Takeaways from reverse roadshow in Shenzhen. China Resources Land (1109 HK/BUY/HK$23.25/Target:HK$32.40) Takeaways from reverse roadshow in Shenzhen. Small/Mid Cap Highlights Regina Miracle (2199 HK/Not Rated/HK$2....
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales up wow; NDRC indicates support for ICE-cars. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao Glass and Desay SV. IT Hardware Blackwell production ramp accelerating; brace for another year of robust growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/HOLD/HK$83.85/Target: HK$90.00) ...
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI: Broad-based improvement in PMI. Results Budweiser APAC (1876 HK/BUY/HK$8.11/Target: HK$14.60): 3Q24: Premiumisation slows down in China; in-home channel to be a focus. BYD Electronic (285 HK/BUY/HK$33.50/Target: HK$40.90): 3Q24: Solid set of results; 4Q24/2025 growth may accelerate further. Maintain BUY. China Longyuan Power (916 HK/HOLD/HK$6.91/Target: HK$6.50): 3Q24: In line; 3Q24 wind power generation up 6.2% yoy. COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK/HOLD/HK$11.54/Tar...
We maintain BUY on ISAT with a target price of Rp3,100 on the back of the following: a) the GPUaaS market could grow 29% CAGR in 2024-29, b) Lintasarta’s (ISAT’s subsidiary) capability to offer GPUaaS (in collaboration with NVIDIA), c) revenue contribution of the non-mobile segment may increase to 25% in 2028, d) the number of ISAT’s home broadband (HiFi) subscribers could grow by 20% yoy in 2025, and e) core earnings growth of 33% yoy in 2024 as well as better seasonality in 4Q24.
GREATER CHINA Update JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$160.40/Target: HK$197.00): 3Q24 results preview: Promising outlook; benefitting from trade-in programme. INDONESIA Update Indosat (ISAT IJ/BUY/Rp2,490/Target: Rp3,100): Core earnings could jump 33% yoy in 2024; launches GPU Service for AI Computing. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Update Deleum (DLUM MK/HOLD/RM1.55/Target: RM1.70): Most of the share price outperformance is linked to P&M’s re-rating; we still see minor trading upside for upcoming MCM contracts...
We maintain OVERWEIGHT on the telecommunications sector in view of several factors: a) telcos’ 2024/25 mobile data revenue could grow 8%/7% yoy, b) digital channels (penetration ranging from 29% to 55%) could help improve ARPU, c) telcos’ EBITDA growth could reach 8% yoy in 2024 and 4% yoy in 2025, and d) attractive valuation with many telcos trading at -1SD EV/EBITDA. Our top pick is EXCL (BUY/Target: Rp2,900).
Indonesian telcos returned to a more sustainable pace of revenue growth, with EBITDA ahead of topline for XL and Indosat again. As a result, Indosat recorded its highest ever EBITDA margin whilst XL’s margin remained well ahead of guidance. For Telkomsel, enterprise accelerated with strong Indihome net additions but was marred by continued mobile revenue share dilution (although easing) as peers grabbed shares in ex-Java.
The combined EBITDA of TLKM, ISAT and EXCL grew 5% yoy in 2Q24. ARPU of ISAT and EXCL rose 5% yoy and 6% yoy respectively, while the ARPU of TLKM’s subsidiary for the cellular business (Telkomsel) declined 10% yoy. During 2Q24, ISAT gained a little market share (based on EBITDA) among the top three telcos, partly because it managed to expand its EBITDA margin slightly (2Q24: 49% vs 1Q24: 47%). Maintain OVERWEIGHT with EXCL as our top pick.
ISAT booked 1H24 EBITDA of Rp13.4t (+18% yoy), in line with our and consensus fullyear estimates. Meanwhile, 1H24 NPAT jumped 43% yoy to Rp2.7t, above our estimate, but in line with consensus’. 2Q24 ARPU was up 1% qoq to Rp38,000, back to positive trajectory from the previous decline of 3% yoy in 1Q24. For the non-mobile business, the company plans to launch GPU-As-A-Service in Aug 24. Maintain BUY with a slightly higher target price of Rp12,400.
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