reports
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
Indonesian Telcos Merger of XL Axiata and Smartfren
XL Axiata and Smartfren have announced their merger to form “XLSmart”, with a combined Enterprise Value of over IDR 104tn (US$ 6.5bn), implying a 4.6x LTM EV/EBITDA. The news is welcoming as it marks the final move in Indonesia’s mobile consolidation from a peak of eight players down to three.
- Arsit Pamaranont
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Damon Shen
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Gigi Cheuk
- Greater China Research Team
- Jieqi Liu
- Johnny Yum
- Jonathan Koh
- Kate Luang
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Krit Tanarattananon
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Malaysia Research Team
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Thailand Research Team
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, December 03, 2024
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Add Desay, Meituan, Mengniu, Tencent, and Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit from CATL. Update CR Mixc Lifestyle (1209 HK/BUY/HK$29.20/Target: HK$32.15) Takeaways from reverse roadshow in Shenzhen. China Resources Land (1109 HK/BUY/HK$23.25/Target:HK$32.40) Takeaways from reverse roadshow in Shenzhen. Small/Mid Cap Highlights Regina Miracle (2199 HK/Not Rated/HK$2....
MAJOR MAJOR CINEPLEX GROUP PCL
CK CH. KARNCHANG PCL
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
PTT PTT PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
CTRA CIPUTRA DEVELOPMENT
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
IRPC IRPC PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
ESSO ESSO (THAILAND)
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
IVL INDORAMA VENTURES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
PTTEP PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PLC
601668 CHINA STATE CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING CORP. LTD. CLASS A
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
CPN CENTRAL PATTANA PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ASII PT ASTRA INTERNATIONAL TBK
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
TRUE TRUE CORP. PUBLIC CO. LTD.
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
GAM GAMUDA BHD
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
MTC MUANGTHAI CAPITAL PCL
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
SPOST SINGAPORE POST LTD
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
PMAH PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDIN
CPALL TB CP ALL
HLBK HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD
SASSR SASSEUR REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
2199 REGINA MIRACLE INTERNATIONAL
RGB RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
ELITE ELITE COMMERCIAL REIT
UHU UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
WHA TB WHA CORP PCL
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
OXMU PRIME US REIT
HMN ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
TIDLOR NGERN TID LOR PCL
CLCT CAPITALAND CHINA TRUST
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
01209 CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES (RED CHIP)
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
EXCL XL AXIATA (EXCELCOMINDO)
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
BCOW 1895 BANCORP OF WISCONSIN INC
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
AL2SI 2CRSI SA
DCRU DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
2232 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP LTD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
IOIPG IOI PROPERTIES GROUP BHD
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
BRMI BOAT ROCKER MEDIA INC.
- Chris Hoare
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Colin Lee
- Gigi Cheuk
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Jo Yee Ng
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Kate Luang
- Ken Lee
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Krit Tanarattananon
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Ming San Soong
- Nurul Nazira Binti Abdullah
- Paula Ruth
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, November 22, 2024
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales up wow; NDRC indicates support for ICE-cars. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao Glass and Desay SV. IT Hardware Blackwell production ramp accelerating; brace for another year of robust growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/HOLD/HK$83.85/Target: HK$90.00) ...
ORI ORIGIN PROPERTY
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
00992 LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
MAG. MAG SILVER CORP.
ASM PACIFIC TECHNOLOGY LIMITED
AMATA AMATA CORP
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
EGH EUREKA GROUP HOLDINGS
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
Y92 THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
SPRC STAR PETROLEUM REFINING
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
TRUE TRUE CORP. PUBLIC CO. LTD.
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
MTC MUANGTHAI CAPITAL PCL
SCGB SUNWAY CONSTRUCTION GROUP BH
CPALL TB CP ALL
UEMS UEM SUNRISE BHD
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
WHA TB WHA CORP PCL
601138 FOXCONN INDUSTRIAL INTERNET CO. LTD. CLASS A
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
09888 BAIDU INC
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
EXCL XL AXIATA (EXCELCOMINDO)
02423 XL AXIATA TBK PT
2232 KE HOLDINGS INC.
Z29 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP LTD
02015 029 GROUP SE
600699 LI AUTO INC
JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
Indosat Tbk Pt: 1 director
A director at Indosat Tbk Pt bought 921,900 shares at 2,165.599IDR and the significance rating of the trade was 56/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cl...
- Colin Lee
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jo Yee Ng
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Jonathan Koh
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Krit Tanarattananon
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Paula Ruth
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Singapore Research Team
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Stevanus Juanda
- Thailand Research Team
- Tham Mun Hon
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Regional Morning Notes - Friday, November 01, 2024
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI: Broad-based improvement in PMI. Results Budweiser APAC (1876 HK/BUY/HK$8.11/Target: HK$14.60): 3Q24: Premiumisation slows down in China; in-home channel to be a focus. BYD Electronic (285 HK/BUY/HK$33.50/Target: HK$40.90): 3Q24: Solid set of results; 4Q24/2025 growth may accelerate further. Maintain BUY. China Longyuan Power (916 HK/HOLD/HK$6.91/Target: HK$6.50): 3Q24: In line; 3Q24 wind power generation up 6.2% yoy. COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK/HOLD/HK$11.54/Tar...
ISAT INDOSAT
F34 WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
6WX CHINA LONGYUAN POWER GROUP CORP. LTD. CLASS H
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
MAPI MITRA ADIPERKASA
COSCO SHIPPING HOLDINGS CO. LTD. CLASS H
ROTH BRITISH AMERICAN TOBACCO BHD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
BURSA BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
CPN-R CENTRAL PATTANA PCL NVDR
2747 ESTUN AUTOMATION
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
HMN ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
BRIS BANK BRISYARIAH TBK
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
- Paula Ruth
Indosat (ISAT IJ) - Core Earnings Could Jump 33% yoy In 2024; Launches...
We maintain BUY on ISAT with a target price of Rp3,100 on the back of the following: a) the GPUaaS market could grow 29% CAGR in 2024-29, b) Lintasarta’s (ISAT’s subsidiary) capability to offer GPUaaS (in collaboration with NVIDIA), c) revenue contribution of the non-mobile segment may increase to 25% in 2028, d) the number of ISAT’s home broadband (HiFi) subscribers could grow by 20% yoy in 2025, and e) core earnings growth of 33% yoy in 2024 as well as better seasonality in 4Q24.
- Maskun Ramli
- Paula Ruth
- Chong Lee Len
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kong Ho Meng
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Ming San Soong
- Paula Ruth
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
Regional Morning Notes - Wednesday, October 16, 2024
GREATER CHINA Update JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$160.40/Target: HK$197.00): 3Q24 results preview: Promising outlook; benefitting from trade-in programme. INDONESIA Update Indosat (ISAT IJ/BUY/Rp2,490/Target: Rp3,100): Core earnings could jump 33% yoy in 2024; launches GPU Service for AI Computing. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Update Deleum (DLUM MK/HOLD/RM1.55/Target: RM1.70): Most of the share price outperformance is linked to P&M’s re-rating; we still see minor trading upside for upcoming MCM contracts...
- Chris Hoare
Reliance Industries (Neutral, TP: INR 3,400, +25%) Q2 FY25 Quick Take...
Reliance Industries posted results yesterday. Jio remained the bright spot as it benefited from the tariff hike effective since July. However, weaker O2C and Retail saw revenue decelerate whilst EBITDA was lower due to the fall in O2C product margins. Notwithstanding this, momentum is building up for Jio AirFiber as FWA additions accelerated and commentary suggests that Retail sales is picking up in October leading up to the festive period.
- Paula Ruth
Telecommunications – Telcos’ Mobile Data Revenue Could Grow 7% yoy
We maintain OVERWEIGHT on the telecommunications sector in view of several factors: a) telcos’ 2024/25 mobile data revenue could grow 8%/7% yoy, b) digital channels (penetration ranging from 29% to 55%) could help improve ARPU, c) telcos’ EBITDA growth could reach 8% yoy in 2024 and 4% yoy in 2025, and d) attractive valuation with many telcos trading at -1SD EV/EBITDA. Our top pick is EXCL (BUY/Target: Rp2,900).
- Maskun Ramli
- Paula Ruth
- Chris Hoare
EM Telcos Jio targeting doubling in size and 1m monthly adds for FWA ...
What's New: At Reliance Industries’ AGM last week, Jio announced 2 key things, and did not announce a 3rd: What was announced: 1. A doubling of Jio’s profitability in 3-4 years 2. Target of 1m FWA adds per month What was not announced: 1. A time line for Jio IPO Our thoughts and implications for the Indian & Global telco markets below
- Chris Hoare
Indonesian Telcos Q2 24 review: Continued margin expansion from XL an...
Indonesian telcos returned to a more sustainable pace of revenue growth, with EBITDA ahead of topline for XL and Indosat again. As a result, Indosat recorded its highest ever EBITDA margin whilst XL’s margin remained well ahead of guidance. For Telkomsel, enterprise accelerated with strong Indihome net additions but was marred by continued mobile revenue share dilution (although easing) as peers grabbed shares in ex-Java.
- Paula Ruth
Telecommunications – 2Q24: 11% yoy Growth In Core Profit
The combined EBITDA of TLKM, ISAT and EXCL grew 5% yoy in 2Q24. ARPU of ISAT and EXCL rose 5% yoy and 6% yoy respectively, while the ARPU of TLKM’s subsidiary for the cellular business (Telkomsel) declined 10% yoy. During 2Q24, ISAT gained a little market share (based on EBITDA) among the top three telcos, partly because it managed to expand its EBITDA margin slightly (2Q24: 49% vs 1Q24: 47%). Maintain OVERWEIGHT with EXCL as our top pick.
- Hendri Effendi
- Paula Ruth
- Paula Ruth
Indosat (ISAT IJ) - 2Q24: Net Profit Up 47% yoy; EBITDA Margin Gradual...
ISAT booked 1H24 EBITDA of Rp13.4t (+18% yoy), in line with our and consensus fullyear estimates. Meanwhile, 1H24 NPAT jumped 43% yoy to Rp2.7t, above our estimate, but in line with consensus’. 2Q24 ARPU was up 1% qoq to Rp38,000, back to positive trajectory from the previous decline of 3% yoy in 1Q24. For the non-mobile business, the company plans to launch GPU-As-A-Service in Aug 24. Maintain BUY with a slightly higher target price of Rp12,400.
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