Nous avons sélectionné 10 graphiques afin d’identifier les principaux drivers du secteur. Les Capex sont attendus en repli de 1.5% en 2026 après un rebond de 70% depuis le point bas de 2020. Cette baisse proviendra essentiellement du marché US (plus forte discipline compte tenu de points morts plus élevés). Nous privilégions SBM Offshore (Surperformance, OC 45 €), Vallourec (Surperformance, OC 22 € vs 20.8 €) et Technip Energies (Surperformance, OC 49 €) et adoptons une opinion plus prudente sur...
For the start of 2026, we have selected ten charts to identify the sector's main drivers. Capex is expected to fall by 1.5% in 2026 after a 70% rebound from the low point of 2020. This reduction will mainly come from the US market (greater discipline due to higher breakeven points). At this point in the year, we prefer SBM Offshore (Outperform, target price € 45), Vallourec (Outperform, target price € 22 vs € 20.8) and Technip Energies (Outperform, target price € 49) and have adopted a more caut...
Neinor Homes accelerates FY26 shareholder distributions with a €92mn (€0.93/sh) supported by strong deliveries outlook Neinor Homes accelerates FY26 shareholder distributions with a €92mn (€0.93/sh) supported by strong deliveries outlook This payment represents the first instalment of FY26 shareholder distribution target of €250mn (DPS €2.53/sh), equivalent to c.13% annual yieldThe last trading day to be entitled to the first annual distribution will be February 9Under its 2023–2027 Strategic Plan, Neinor has already distributed €451mn to shareholders, representing c.€5.0/sh and over 5...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AEDAS HOMES, NATURGY, NEINOR HOMES. EUROPA: ING, NOKIA, SANOFI, SAP. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 4T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El lujo arrastra a Europa Caídas en las bolsas europeas tras la mala acogida de Rdos de LVMH y antes de la comparecencia de J...
NEWS SUMMARY: AEDAS HOMES, NATURGY, NEINOR HOMES. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 4Q’25 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Luxury drags down European markets European stock markets fell after the poor reception of LVMH’s results and before J. Powell’s appearance before the Fed, which brought no big surprises. In the STOXX 600, Real Estate and ...
Neinor Homes receives CNMV authorisation to launch the mandatory tender offer for 100% of AEDAS’s share capital at €24.00 per share The mandatory tender offer is launched as a consequence of Neinor successfully securing a 79.20% controlling stake in AEDAS through the voluntary tender offer completed in DecemberThe offer price of €24.00 per share, which has the consideration of an equitable price, represents a 12.5% premium over the price of the voluntary tender offerThe acceptance period of the mandatory tender offer will run from 30 January to 27 February, both dates inclusiveThis step com...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: IBERDROLA. EUROPA: ASML, LVMH. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 4T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Los aranceles presionan al dólar Las bolsas europeas cerraron con ganancias mientras el rebrote del riesgo comercial depreció al dólar, algo que en palabras del pr...
NEWS SUMMARY: IBERDROLA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 4Q’25 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Tariffs pressure the dollar European stock markets closed with gains, while the renewed trade risk depreciated the dollar to above 1.1900 against the euro, which is not a source of concern for D. Trump. Thus, the €/US$ exchange rate hit 1.20 (4-ye...
La saison de résultats ne devrait pas apporter de mauvaises surprises concernant la fin 2025 (cf. messages rassurants lors de nos conférences et des pre-close calls) mais les perspectives 2026 devraient rester prudentes face au manque de visibilité. Face à cela, les managements vont à nouveau concentrer leurs efforts sur les leviers internes et l’agilité mais le sentiment sur le secteur pourrait rester fragile à court terme, nous conduisant à maintenir nos estimations prudentes et une approche o...
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