reports
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Aalberts: Building already bottoming, industry tough. Air France-KLM: Nobody helps. Alfen: Covenant agreement, hikes output Smart Grid. AMG: Sweet for 2024F, sour for 2025F. ArcelorMittal: 3Q24 EBITDA beats by 6%, FCF solid. BAM: 3Q beats, on its way to reach FY guidance. CMB.TECH: 3Q and FY24 reasonable but then more challenges. D'Ieteren: EGM and dividend dates announced; Belron US peer Boyd disappointing 3Q24. GBL: Double-digit TSR expected over 2024-27F. KBC: 3Q better acro...
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dynamic Top Pick List Update November 2024 – Adding Azelis – Removing ...
With 2 changes in our Dynamic Top Pick list (we add Azelis and we remove Solvay) we maintain a defensive stance on the market for 2H24. The long anticipated interest rate cuts by central banks have finally started. The Trump election victory in the US does not bode well for European stocks as he favours a protectionist course. Although industrial companies with a US base could actually benefit. Cleantech names with exposure to the US could also suffer (unless owned by E.Musk). We expect the US ...
BEKB BEKAERT SA
ABN ABN AMRO BANK NV DEPOSITARY RECEIPTS
FAGR FAGRON SA
EVS EVS BROADCAST EQUIPMENT SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
SOLB SOLVAY SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SOF SOFINA SA
IBAB ION BEAM APPLICATIONS SA
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
KIN KINEPOLIS GROUP NV
NN NN GROUP N.V.
TINC TINC COMM. VA
FUR FUGRO NV
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
SYENS SYENSQO
- Sharad Kumar S.P
Holdings Report - October 2024 KBCS Holdings Universe Returns -2.5% Du...
1M Performance - Absolute: During Oct'24 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of -2.5% which was mainly driven by single-asset holdings (-2.8%) while multi-asset holdings posted a slightly less negative return of -2.3%. The 3 top performers during the period were Financière de Tubize (+6.7%), D'Ieteren Group (+4.5%), and Solvac (+2.8%) while the 3 worst performers were Sofina (-11.4%), Gimv (-9.8%), and Compagnie du Bois Sauvage (-6.3%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YTD ...
GBLB GROUPE BRUXELLES LAMBERT SA
HAL HAL TRUST
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SOF SOFINA SA
SOLV SOLVAC S.A.
GIMB GIMV NV
QFG QUEST FOR GROWTH
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
TUB FINANCIERE DE TUBIZE S.A.
HEIO HEINEKEN HOLDING N.V.
KBCA KBC ANCORA SCA
TEXF TEXAF
BREB BREDERODE S.A.
TINC TINC COMM. VA
EXO EXOR N.V.
ROCK WHITESTONE GROUP
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Adecco: 3Q24 miss; stabilising trends in 3Q24 and into 4Q24; accelerating cost savings. B&S Group: 3Q24 preview - liquor bottoming into 4Q24? Coca-Cola Europacific Partners: Almost the real thing. D'Ieteren: Belgian October car registrations down 5.5%, VW down 11%. Kinepolis: Oct US/Canada box office at 59% of pre Covid level, France recovery to 78%. Recticel: 3Q24 compares well with Kingspan. Renewi: 1H25 preview - battling cost inflation with self help. Syensqo: Slight beat on 3Q...
- Michiel Declercq
D'Ieteren Update on financing costs
This morning, D'Ieteren group provided an update on its financing costs after raising € 1.0bn in bank loans at the group level, hereby completing the final piece of the puzzle. In total, the refinancing will be a roughly € 30m headwind in FY24, mainly related to the additional charges at Belron (11 weeks impact), while the impact for the increased group debt & PHE refinancing will be marginal. D'Ieteren further mentioned that the charges are excluded from the mid-to-high single digit adj. PBT (...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Ageas: More bidders for ESURE UK ASR: Completion of KNAB sale, starting extra SBB D'Ieteren: Holding financing more costly, 2024 guidance (excluding financing) reassures Ebusco: Released from obligation to deliver 76 buses PostNL: 3Q24 below, FY24 outlook down, mail weak, parcels stronger; CEO steps down Sif Group: Preview - getting ready for 2025 Staffing: US temp volume weaker in October, Aug/Sep revised down, NFP jobs miss
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Aalberts: 3Q24 preview - no signs of recovery expected. AB InBev: All to play for in the final quarter. Arcadis: A mixed bag. Ayvens: Struggling to get out of neutral. dsm-firmenich: Taking your vitamins is healthy. D'Ieteren: Belron equity at €23.5bn, EV €32.2bn in minority shareholder transaction. Euronext: 3Q24 and CMD Preview. Flow Traders: Bumper harvest. Heijmans: 3Q24 as expected, keeps FY outlook in place. Proximus: Key politician pushing for major governance shake up. ...
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
UCB UCB S.A.
DIE D'IETEREN SA
REC RECTICEL SA
HEIJM HEIJMANS N.V. CERT
VLK
ARCAD VAN LANSCHOT KEMPEN NV CERT. OF SHS
AALB ARCADIS NV
ABI AALBERTS N.V.
ALD ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
SHEL ALD SA
FLOW SHELL PLC
DSFIR FLOW TRADERS LTD
KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Michiel Declercq
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Michiel Declercq
D'Ieteren Shareholder transaction values Belron at EV of € 32.2bn
D'Ieteren announced that Atessa, the holding company of ex-CEO Gary Lubner, has signed a binding agreement to sell 1.4% of its stake in Belron to existing minority shareholders (CD&R, H&F, GIC & Blackrock). The transaction values Belron at an EV of € 32.2bn and equity value of € 23.5bn (post dividend recap). This compares to an EV of € 21.0bn and equity value of € 17.2bn in 2021, when CD&R sold part of its stake to Blackrock, H&F & GIC. Note that since the 2021 transaction, Belron also distribut...
- Jean-François Granjon
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 10/30/2024
The outcome of the US presidential election hangs in the balance, but the momentum seems to be with Donald Trump since the beginning of October: the candidate is now in the lead in six of the seven swing states, has just overtaken Kamala Harris in the national vote while 63% of punters are tipping him to win. We recap in the present note on the European stocks to play or avoid in the event of Donald Trump's victory and have also listed European stocks with a production base in the US,...
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
ALCLA CLASQUIN SA
TYRES NOKIAN RENKAAT OYJ
ACX ACERINOX SA
TRI TRIGANO SA
NEX NEXANS SA
ROYAL VOPAK NV
MMT METROPOLE TELEVISION SA
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
AED AEDIFICA SA
MCPHY MCPHY ENERGY SA
SHOT SCANDIC HOTELS GROUP
MELE MELEXIS NV
ENC ENCE ENERGIA Y CELULOSA SA
CSM CORBION NV
LFDE LA FRANCAISE DE L'ENERGIE SA
IBG IBERPAPEL GESTION S.A.
IDR INDRA SISTEMAS S.A. CLASS A
MVC METROVACESA SA
ANTIN ANTIN INFRASTRUCTURE PARTNERS
FPE3 FUCHS PETROLUB SE
ORP ORPEA
- Jean-François Granjon
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 30/10/2024
Le scrutin présidentiel US reste incertain, mais le momentum semble être du côté de Donald Trump depuis début octobre : le candidat est désormais en tête dans 6 des 7 swing states, vient de dépasser Kamala Harris dans le vote national et est donné gagnant à 63% chez les parieurs. Nous rappelons les valeurs européennes à privilégier ou à éviter en cas de victoire de Donald Trump, et avons également listé les valeurs européennes ayant une base de production aux US, par nature moins expo...
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
ALCLA CLASQUIN SA
TYRES NOKIAN RENKAAT OYJ
ACX ACERINOX SA
TRI TRIGANO SA
NEX NEXANS SA
ROYAL VOPAK NV
MMT METROPOLE TELEVISION SA
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
AED AEDIFICA SA
MCPHY MCPHY ENERGY SA
SHOT SCANDIC HOTELS GROUP
MELE MELEXIS NV
ENC ENCE ENERGIA Y CELULOSA SA
CSM CORBION NV
LFDE LA FRANCAISE DE L'ENERGIE SA
IBG IBERPAPEL GESTION S.A.
IDR INDRA SISTEMAS S.A. CLASS A
MVC METROVACESA SA
ANTIN ANTIN INFRASTRUCTURE PARTNERS
FPE3 FUCHS PETROLUB SE
ORP ORPEA
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Aedifica: Good top line, portfolio stabilising, guidance marginally revised upward. Ageas: China Taiping Life 3Q Solvency remains strong. ASM: 3Q24 results – That's a relief - FY25 guide narrowed upwards. Belgian Telecoms: Peer Telenet 3Q24 results, still losing shares. Fugro: Focus on EBITDA and orderbook. GBL: Kicking off its trainers and cashing in €0.6bn. Colruyt: To operate 100 OKay City stores by 2032F. Heijmans: Preview - Progressing well. KPN: VodafoneZiggo 3Q24 show still weak pe...
GBLB GROUPE BRUXELLES LAMBERT SA
MDLZ MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL INC. CLASS A
AGS AGEAS SA/NV
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
COLR ETABLISSEMENTEN FRANZ COLRUYT N.V.
LOTB LOTUS BAKERIES NV
HEIJM HEIJMANS N.V. CERT
AED ROYAL VOPAK NV
MELE AEDIFICA SA
ASML MELEXIS NV
OBEL ASML HOLDING NV
FUR ORANGE BELGIUM SA
FUGRO NV
- Guy Sips
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Lynn Hautekeete
Aedifica Increases FY24 guidance by 1%, no surprises
Aedifica reports 3Q24 results and increases the guidance by 1.0%. This is driven by positive currency differences and an improving operational margin. The results are perfectly in line with our expectations as we were already slightly above the FY24 guidance. The total investment program amounts to EUR 236m of which a EUR 93.0m cost-to-come remains. If Aedifica wants to grow EPS in the next years, new projects should be added to the pipeline. In the 3Q24 results Aedifica guides additional EUR 5....
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
Aedifica SA : Q3 2024 results: Results better than expected, strong de...
>EPS outlook +1%; upward revaluations (UK is strong) - Outlook increased +1% to >€4.90 EPRA EPS FY2024 and €233m EPRA earnings (before: €4.85/sh and >€231m); and reconfirmed the €3.90 DPS proposal.Like-for-like rental income +3.3% (H1 2024: 3.2% and 3% in FY2024 budget) broken down by +3.0% indexation, -0.2% rent negotiations and +0.5% fx changes.Fair value of investment portfolio increased +0.12% in Q3 (H1: +0.14%). Belgian (-1.4%) and German (-1.2%) fair v...
Aedifica NV/SA: Interim financial report – Q3 2024
Aedifica NV/SA: Interim financial report – Q3 2024 Please find below Aedifica’s interim financial report for the 3rd quarter of the 2024 financial year. Robust operational performance driving strong results above budget EPRA Earnings* amounted to €178.3 million (+7% compared to 30 Sept. 2023) or €3.75/shareRental income increased to €251.0 million (+7% compared to 30 Sept. 2023)3.3% increase in rental income on a like-for-like basis in the first 9 months of the yearWeighted average unexpired lease term of 19 years and occupancy rate of 100% Real estate portfolio* of over €6.1 billion as...
- Hans D’Haese
- Maxime Stranart
Colruyt/Discounted valuation/BUY (previously Hold0
We upgrade Colruyt to BUY and increase our target price from €36 to €52. We believe Colruyt's current discount to peers is unwarranted, especially given its healthy balance sheet and potential superior EBIT growth thanks to a rebound in profitability for its Retail division. We flag that Colruyt Lowest Prices (c.65% of group sales) is a unique player in the Food Retail segment and has a best-in-class EBIT margin. With a recovery in its key format, we expect Colruyt to post an EBIT CAGR of 6.3% o...
Colruyt Group N.V: 1 director
A director at Colruyt Group N.V bought 990,100 shares at 40.060EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years c...
D`ieteren Group: 1 director
A director at D`ieteren Group bought 400 shares at 193.130EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 57/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...
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