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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: G2M SS; CZG CP; MBR PW; CPS PW; TPE PW; ESLT IT; EXAE GA; ...

HEADLINES: • Gentoo Media: one step back, two steps forward (stays BUY) • Colt CZ Group SE: 1Q25 results – strong beat, no change in guidance POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: 1Q25 earnings call – management optimistic on 2H25E, but we see challenges NEGATIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: key takeaways from the 1Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Tauron: 1Q25 conference call highlights NEUTRAL • Elbit Systems: raises USD 512m on the Nasdaq POSITIVE • Athens Exchange Group: 1Q25E preview (due on 26 May) • Motor Oil Hellas: 1Q25E...

Chris Hoare ... (+2)
  • Chris Hoare
  • David Lopes

CelcomDigi – Q1 25 Quick Take: Topline recovery delayed by prepaid sof...

What’s New: Recovery in service revenue trend was delayed by Prepaid competition although prepaid net additions were encouraging. EBITDA growth improved to flat while underlying EBIT was up 6.3% YoY. Management reiterated its FY25 guidance and for it to work, ARPU needs to stabilise given that prepaid subscriber base is now rising again. In terms of shareholder remuneration, the company proposed a quarterly dividend of RM 3.7sen, which is unchanged from previous quarter.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ESLT IT; PPC GA; TRESTATE GA; ENA PW; CBF PW; VRC PW; SHO ...

HEADLINES: • Elbit Systems: 1Q25 results – top-down driven beat POSITIVE • Public Power Corporation: uninspiring 1Q25 results, as expected POSITIVE • Trade Estates: 1Q25 – strong turnovers driving rents higher POSITIVE • Enea: full 1Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • cyber_Folks: 1Q25 results review – EBITDA +46% yoy, 4% above the consensus POSITIVE • Vercom: 1Q25 results review – 24% yoy EBITDA growth, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Shoper: 1Q25 above expectations, but F...

Haidje Rustau
  • Haidje Rustau

Digi Communications - Earnings Flash - Q1 FY 2025 Results - Lucror Ana...

Digi Communications has released its Q1/25 numbers. Revenues rose 19.7% y-o-y to EUR 533 mn, driven by improvement across divisions. EBITDA growth was more modest at 4.6%, while the margin narrowed. Subscriber trends remained robust. OCF generation was solid, supported by the EBITDA increase, while cash generation and capex were largely stable. We calculate net leverage of 2.7x. Management was pleased with the results, highlighting that Digi has delivered another record quarter. Its focus re...

Felix Fischer ... (+6)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Vallourec, Aggreko, TK Elevator, Aston Martin, Techem, Bite, Virgin Media O2, NewDay, Sunrise, Digi Communications, Telecom Italia, Banijay, Liberty Global, Solenis, Air France-KLM, Flos B&B Italia (formerly International Design Group), Forvia (formerly Faurecia), Flora Food Group (formerly Upfield), Premier Foods, The Very Group, Lecta, Air Baltic, Teva, Standard Profil

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Digi (Underweight) Q1 25: Full steam ahead on Portugal fibre roll

Digi has given KPIs for Portugal for the first time on a LFL basis and has added +68k in mobile and +10k for broadband. This is ahead of the full year run rate in our model, and so if this pace can be maintained, it would be doing well we think.

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 05/15/2025

Maxeda: solid Q4 results and Q1 expected to be strong. Further bond buybacks.|Ubisoft: sharp decline in 2024/25 earnings, no rebound expected in 2025/26|Forvia is considering selling its spare parts division|Techem Q2 25 results: Good earnings print; ownership change and mandatory call remain open|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 15/05/2025

Maxeda : de bons résultats T4 et un T1 qui devrait l’être tout autant. Poursuite des rachats de dettes.|Ubisoft : résultats 2024/25 en forte baisse, pas de rebond attendu en 2025/26|Forvia envisagerait la cession de sa division de pièces détachées|Techem Q2 25 results: Good earnings print; ownership change and mandatory call remain open|

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PZU PW; CEZ CP; EUR PW; GPW PW; SFG RO; TLV RO; BVB RO; DI...

HEADLINES: • PZU: solid 1Q25 results, ahead of the market's expectations; some upside risk for2025E EPS forecasts POSITIVE • CEZ: 1Q25 beat on distribution and sales segments, disposal of Polish assets POSITIVE • Eurocash: 1Q25 – weak, as expected NEGATIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: strong 1Q25, with a significant net income beat POSITIVE • Sphera Group: 1Q25 softer than expected; FY25E budget below our forecasts NEGATIVE • Banca Transilvania: bottom-line miss, due mainly to asset quality deterior...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MTELEKOM HB; IGN1L LH; GSPARK HB; AQ RO; INPST NA; OPTIMA ...

HEADLINES: • Magyar Telekom: 1Q25 results review – EBITDA +24% yoy, 4% above the consensus; solid 2025E guidance reiterated POSITIVE • Ignitis Group: 1Q25 adjusted EBITDA 20% above our expectations, driven by strong Green Capacities POSITIVE • Graphisoft Park: 1Q25 – recurring income higher yoy, and a small revaluation loss • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: strong 1Q25 gross profit margin sustainable in FY25E POSITIVE • InPost: 1Q25 in line with expectations; FY25E EBITDA guidance maintained; soft do...

Bram Buring ... (+2)
  • Bram Buring
  • CFA

WOOD Flash – Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: strong 1Q25 gross profit margi...

During yesterday’s (13 May) 1Q25 earnings call, Aquila noted that the increase in the wholesale gross margins – 22.15% this quarter, vs 20.48% for FY24 ؘ– should be sustainable in FY25E. The margin was driven primarily by the sales mix – especially higher sales in the HoReCa, travel retail and traditional retail channels – and supported by recent M&A (Romtec and Parmafood). We had expected sales in those channels to accelerate as we go through 2025E, but the uplift in the wholesale gross margin ...

Felix Fischer ... (+7)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Kantar, Digi Communications, Bite, Banijay, Lowell, Lecta, Aggreko, Trivium, Fedrigoni, Softbank Group, Cheplapharm, Air Baltic, Vallourec

Research Team
  • Research Team
CEZ CEZ AS
KRKG KRKA D.D. ... (+14)

WOOD Daily: OPTIMA GA; PKO PW; SOKM TI; RICHT HB; ARABIAND AB; TPE PW;...

HEADLINES: • Optima Bank: a touch of Midas, none of Icarus (BUY - initiation of coverage) • PKO BP: solid 1Q25 results, in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Sok Marketler Ticaret: 1Q25 results – significant miss NEGATIVE • Richter: 1Q25 results in line NEUTRAL • Arabian Drilling: 1Q25 results NEUTRAL • Tauron: 1Q25 preliminary EBITDA 16% above our expectations POSITIVE • Kaspi.kz: 1Q25 highlights; 2025E guidance revised down NEGATIVE • Bank of Cyprus: 1Q25 results highlights • Zabka (NOT RATED): ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BIMAS TI; MOL HB; OTP HB; EAT PW; NLBR SV; ETE GA; EUROB G...

HEADLINES: • BIM: weak results in 1Q25 NEGATIVE • MOL: 1Q25 results – strong EBITDA, big net income beat POSITIVE • OTP Bank: neutral 1Q25 results, but supported strongly by Russian operations NEUTRAL • AmRest: 1Q25 below expectations, due to EUR 5m negative one-off NEUTRAL • NLB Group: small bottom-line miss in 1Q25, but guidance maintained NEUTRAL • National Bank of Greece: 1Q25 highlights POSITIVE • Eurobank Ergasias Services: 1Q25 highlights NEUTRAL • Alpha Services and Holdings: 1Q25 highli...

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

NOS (Neutral, TP: €3.7, +1%) Q1 25: Digi starting to have an impact

NOS has reported a solid set of numbers, with Telco revenue and EBITDAaL +0.8% and +0.9% ahead of consensus expectations respectively. However, there is now evidence of Digi’s impact on the numbers, particularly in the mobile prepaid net adds, and NOS’s commitment to not raising prices in 2025 is likely to lead to a further slowdown in consumer revenue trends during 2025 and feed through to EBITDA trends.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BRISA TI; AIRA LI; VGO PW; DSPW CP; PCF PW; CIMSA TI; AKCN...

HEADLINES: • Brisa: reports weak 1Q25 numbers, as expected NEGATIVE • Air Astana Group: 1Q25 – first take broadly in line • VIGO Photonics: full 4Q24 results – miss on adjusted EBITDA, slight beat on net profit NEUTRAL • Doosan Skoda Power: 2024 P&L numbers fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • PCF Group: post-4Q24 earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL • Cimsa: 1Q25 conference call takeaways • Akcansa: 1Q25 conference call takeaways • Solutions by STC: 1Q25 conference call takeaways • CEZ: to...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: EME indices mostly in the red in A...

EME Equity Market – April 2025 EME indices mostly in the red in April, Hungarian BUX and Greek ASE the exceptions. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.0% mom in EUR terms, but was up 2.9% mom in USD terms in April. The Hungarian BUX was the best performer, followed by the Greek ASE index (+3.5% and 0.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively). There was a slight decline in the Polish WIG20, and more pronounced deteriorations in the Romanian BET and Czech PX indices (-0.6%, -2.0% and -4.2% mom in EUR ...

GARAN TURKIYE GARANTI BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
KRKG KRKA D.D.
YKBNK YAPI VE KREDI BANKASI A.S.
OMV OMV AG
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
DOC DO & CO AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
AKBNK AKBANK TAS
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
MAVI MAVI GIYIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
BOROUGE BOROUGE
7203 ELM CO
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAG DIAGNOSTYKA SA
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