GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: September Conviction Calls: We expect an improving operating performance among selected companies in September, and add AIA, COLI, Desay SV, Galaxy Entertainment, Meituan, Ping An and TUL to our BUY list and add Li Auto as a SELL. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Trailing The JCI’s Strong Performance In Aug 24: Our picks are ICBP, TOWR, BBNI, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Adapting To A Bipolar Market: Our Al...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls: We expect stimulus to be announced in August and add COSCO Shipping Ports, Haier Smart Home, and KE Holdings to our BUY list and add SELL call on WuXi Bio, and XPeng. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance in Jul 24: Our picks are BBNI, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Raising The M&A And Monetisation Bets: Our Alpha Picks marginally beat the KLCI. Jul 24 picks: Ekovest, Gamu...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Call: Adding ASMPT, Innovent, Poly Property Services, TAL Education and Trip.com to our BUY list; hedging with SELL call on BYD. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Jun 24 And 2Q24: Our picks are BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, BSDE, TLKM, ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Opting For More Adventurous Choices: Our Alpha Picks beat the KLCI again. Jul 24 picks: BURSA, Ekovest, Gamuda, Lagenda, Mah Sing, MYEG, Pekat...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: June Conviction Call: Adding KE Holdings and Wharf REIC to our BUY list; hedging with SELL call on BYD. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: First Month Of Underperformance In 2024: Our picks are EXCL, BSDE, TLKM, ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Choices For A “Summer Lull”: Our Alpha Picks trounce the KLCI again. May 24 picks: BAUTO, BURSA, Gamuda, GENM, Lagenda, Mah Sing, MYEG, PMETAL, RGB, and VSI. SINGAPORE Strategy Alpha Picks...
EME Equity Market – August 2023 Market performance – Turkey the top performer in August, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index lost 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 2.2% mom in USD in August. Turkey, yet again, outperformed its peers, with the ISE30 gaining 9.4% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX index saw a solid performance in August, adding 6.1% mom in EUR terms, while the Romanian BET had a lacklustre month, barely making any gains (0.1% mom in EUR terms). Elsewhere, the index performances were neg...
HEADLINES: • Elm: digital enabler (HOLD - initiation of coverage) • Turk Telekom: 2Q23 results POSITIVE • Pegasus Airlines: 2Q23 - high RASK and costs under control drive stellar profitability POSITIVE • Telecom Egypt: 2Q23 results review - EBITDA up 30% yoy, 7% above the consensus NEUTRAL • Telecom Egypt: key takeaways from the 2Q23 earnings call NEUTRAL • DIGI Communications: key takeaways from the 2Q23 earnings call NEUTRAL • CEZ: IndMin says "no reason for quick action" on CEZ split NEUTRAL...
EME Equity Market – May 2023 Market performance – in its election month and with talks of a return to investment grade starting to materialise, Greece outperformed, posting a stellar performance. The MSCI EM Europe Index gained 2.3% mom in EUR terms, but lost 1.4% mom in USD in May. The Greek ASE Index saw the biggest gains (+12.3% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Hungarian BUX Index (+6.2% mom in EUR terms) and the Turkish ISE 30 Index (+3.4% mom in EUR terms). The remaining geographies finis...
HEADLINES: • Alpha Bank: 1Q23 - a strong start to 2023 POSITIVE • Turk Telekom: 1Q23 results slightly below the consensus on EBITDA/NI • BIM: 1Q23 results - in line operationally, but bottom line misses expectations NEUTRAL • Petkim: 1Q results - net income beats forecasts • CCC: soft start to the year, with 1Q23 adjusted EBITDA down 36% yoy NEGATIVE • Auto Partner: April sales up by 36% yoy, 3ppts above our model assumption NEUTRAL • Electrica: 1Q23 operational indicators show 9% decline in ...
EME Equity Market – February 2023 Market performance – Greece and Czechia continue with good momentum; Turkey resumes rally. The MSCI EM Europe Index gained 4.9% mom in EUR terms and 2.4% mom in USD in February. The Greek ASE and the Czech PX were, again, the best performers, adding 10.4% mom and 7.6% mom in EUR terms, respectively; while the rally resumed in Turkey, with the ISE 30 index gaining 7.3% mom in EUR terms. There was a somewhat muted performance in Hungary and Romania, with the BUX a...
HEADLINES: • Bank of Cyprus: patience wins the race (stays BUY) • Turk Telekom: 4Q22 results in line, but no dividends from the FY22 earnings NEGATIVE • Magyar Telekom: 4Q22 results - EBITDA down 3% yoy, 2% above the consensus; strong 2023-24E outlook POSITIVE • TBC Bank: 4Q22 highlights, and our take on the redemption liability • Brisa: small 4Q22 earnings beat, declares DPS of TRY 3.6 (6.0% yield) POSITIVE • Piraeus Bank: 4Q22E results (due out tomorrow morning) • Alro: 4Q22E results previ...
The Turkish telecom sector has trailed our non-bank coverage in terms of earnings growth momentum during 2022. On a risk-return basis, we think the worst is behind the sector and our current estimates factor in the effect of high inflationary trends. Additionally, the price increases executed in 2H22 should improve the growth outlook in 2023. Therefore, we upgrade our rating for Turkcell to a BUY, with a TL55 per share TP (TL23.5 previously). We favour Turkcell due to its prudent cost management...
EME Equity Market – November 2022 Market performance – Turkey does it again, breezing past everyone else, once more, in November. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 11.6% mom in EUR terms and 16.7% mom in USD. The ISE30 index, again, boasted the best performance among our coverage, adding 18.6% mom in EUR terms and 23.9% mom in local currency (lcl) terms. Positive performances were also recorded in the WIG (+14.0% EU /13.0% lcl mom), the BUX (+12.6% EUR/12.0% lcl mom), the BET (+8.4% EUR/8.6% lcl...
EME Equity Market – August 2022 Market performance – Turkey the biggest winner, in a predominantly bad month. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 1.2% mom in EUR and 2.8% mom in USD terms. Turkey’s ISE index outperformed all other indices, adding 24.9% mom in EUR terms and 25.1% in local currency terms. Hungary’s benchmark, the BUX Index, added 1.1% mom and 0.2% mom in EUR and HUF terms, respectively. Greece’s ASE Index had a muted performance and added only 0.6% mom. All the other indices across ...
HEADLINES: • Migros: 2Q22 earnings above expectations, FY22E guidance increased POSITIVE • Magyar Telekom: solid 2Q22 results (9% beat vs. the consensus EBITDA), but harmed by special tax POSITIVE • Enerjisa Enerji: 2Q22 results review - solid beat, guidance hiked, but FCF remains negative POSITIVE • Kalekim: strong 2Q22 results POSITIVE • Alro: strong 2Q22 results, despite weak environment POSITIVE • Graphisoft Park: 2Q22 - a small beat, attractive valuation NEUTRAL • Erdemir: 2Q22 results revi...
EME Equity Market – April 2022 Market performance – regional benchmarks performance rather mixed in April. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 5.3% in EUR terms and by 9.9% in USD. The best-performing market was Turkey, whose equities gained 13.3% in EUR terms and 9.2% in local currency. Russia’s MOEX Index added 9.0% in EUR terms, but declined by 9.6% in local currency. In Greece, the ASE Index advanced by 4.9% in EUR terms, the last to end the month in the black; while Romania’s BET Index rec...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: 1Q22 results review - strong beat vs. market's expectations • MONETA Money Bank: 1Q22 results review - in line with our expectations and 5% ahead of consensus • Akbank: 1Q22 results highlights - better than expected, due to trading • Turkish Airlines: 1Q22 yet another strong quarter, continued recovery of traffic and yield strength POSITIVE • Tofas: 1Q22 results - strong beat POSITIVE • Turk Telekom: 1Q22 - results in line, no guidance change NEUTRAL • Ford Otosan: 1...
EME Equity Market – March 2022 Market performance – regional benchmarks mostly in the black, despite the MSCI EM Europe Index losing half of its value. Following its decline in February, the MSCI EM Europe Index lost in March as well, declining by 49.5% in EUR terms and 50.1% in USD terms. Russia’s MOEX Index added 13.2% in EUR terms and 9.4% RUB terms (we note that Russian companies’ GDRs are still suspended for trading). The Turkish ISE30 Index added 8.2% in EUR terms and 13.3% in local curren...
HEADLINES: • Eurobank: pullback creates attractive entry point • Dino: mixed bag in 4Q21 NEUTRAL • Ulker: 4Q21 bottom line misses expectations NEGATIVE • Turk Telekom: Turkish Wealth Fund buys out LYY's 55% stake POSITIVE • Electrica: budgets consolidated net loss of RON 342m for 2022 NEGATIVE • Komercni Banka: Czech Central Bank raises countercyclical buffer to 250bps as of April 2023E • Alpha Bank: 4Q21E results (due on 14 March) • National Bank: 4Q21E results (due on 16 March) • Short N...
EME Equity Market – February 2022 Market performance – Russia’s equities bled in February due to the country’s invasion of Ukraine. The MSCI EME Europe Index declined by 38.7% in EUR terms and 38.8% in USD terms. Russian stocks, represented by the MOEX Index, lost the most in February, declining by 34.6% in EUR terms and 30.0% in RUB terms. The Hungarian BUX Index lost 21.8% in EUR terms and 18.2% in HUF terms; while the Polish WIG20 Index declined by 11.7% in EUR and 9.5% in PLN. In Prague, the...
The independent financial analyst theScreener just slightly lowered the general evaluation of TURK TELEKOMUNIKASYON (TR), active in the Integrated Telecommunications industry. The title has lost a star(s) at the fundamental level and now shows 2 out of 4 stars. Its exposure to market risk remains nonetheless the same and can be still described as defensive. theScreener slightly downgrades the general evaluation to Slightly Positive for the title on account of the lost star(s). As of the analysis...
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