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Javier Esteban
  • Javier Esteban

INFORME SECTORIAL BANCOS ESPAÑA/EUROPA: EL MERCADO YA DESCUENTA RÉCORD...

El mercado ya descuenta récord de beneficios 2026. En los últimos seis meses el sector ha subido +17% (vs +9% IBEX y +4% ES 50) con una revisión de estimaciones a medio plazo de +11%.

Farid Bitari ... (+3)
  • Farid Bitari
  • Nicolas David
  • Nicolas Thorez

ODDO : No, AI will not eat incumbent software vendors... on the contra...

While market sentiment has abruptly reversed regarding the AI opportunity for software vendors, we are convinced of the potential of agentic AI in the medium term for the sector, particularly for SAP, which we believe is the best positioned and which we upgrade to Outperform. Nemetschek, Planisware and Sage also seem to offer a good risk/reward trade-off following their recent de-rating. Conversely, we are downgrading Amadeus to Neutral after the reduction in its discount vs peers.

Farid Bitari ... (+3)
  • Farid Bitari
  • Nicolas David
  • Nicolas Thorez

ODDO : Non l’IA ne dévorera pas les éditeurs historiques… au contraire...

Alors que le sentiment du marché s’est brutalement retourné concernant l’opportunité de l’IA pour les éditeurs de logiciels, nous sommes convaincus du potentiel lié à l’IA agentique à moyen terme pour le secteur, notamment pour SAP qui nous semble le mieux positionné et que nous upgradons à Surperformance (vs Neutre). Nemetschek, Planisware et Sage nous semblent également offrir un bon risk/reward suite à leur récent de-rating. A l’inverse, nous dégradons Amadeus à Neutre suite à la nette réduct...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 19 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: AENA, CAF, FCC, TELEFÓNICA, VISCOFAN. The Fed spurs the markets Following the expected rate cut by the Fed, European stock markets reacted with sharp rises of more than +1.5%. The IBEX lagged behind and closed with slight losses due to the lack of technology stocks. In the STOXX 600, Technology was once again the big winner, with Utilities and Basic Materials falling the most. On the macro side, in the US the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index rose sharply in August. Weekly jobl...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 19 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AENA, CAF, FCC, TELEFÓNICA, VISCOFAN. EUROPA: ESSILORLUXOTTICA. La Fed anima las bolsas Tras la esperada bajada de tipos por parte de la Fed, las bolsas europeas reaccionaron con fuertes avances por encima del +1,5%. El Ibex se quedó rezagado y cerró con tímidas pérdidas por la ausencia de representación tecnológica. Así, en el STOXX 600 Tecnología volvió a liderar con fuerza los avances frente a Utilities y R. Básicos que fueron los que más cayero...

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Deutsche Bank 3Q comments, Spanish covered ratings, Swedis...

Deutsche Bank's Investment Bank gears for another solid quarter; S&P raised the covered bond ratings for four Spanish names to ‘AAA'; Finansinspektion extends its risk-weights floors for Swedish mortgages and commercial real estate

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Deutsche Bank 3Q comments, Spanish covered ratings, Swedis...

Deutsche Bank's Investment Bank gears for another solid quarter; S&P raised the covered bond ratings for four Spanish names to ‘AAA'; Finansinspektion extends its risk-weights floors for Swedish mortgages and commercial real estate

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 17 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAF, CAIXABANK. Caídas antes de la Fed Las bolsas europeas perdieron ayer más de lo ganado en la sesión del lunes ante las dudas de mayor presión impositiva en Europa y a pesar de unos datos macro muy sólidos en Estados Unidos. En el STOXX 600 todos los sectores menos R. Básicos terminaron con caídas, lideradas por los financieros Seguros y Bancos. Por el lado macro, en Alemania el índice ZEW de septiembre repuntó inesperadamente. En la Eurozona,...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 17 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: CAF, CAIXABANK. Corrections ahead of the Fed Yesterday corrections on European stock market cancelled out Monday’s gains amid doubts about higher fiscal pressure in Europe and despite the robust macroeconomic data released in the US. In the STOXX 600, all sectors except Basic Resources ended with drops, led by Insurance and Banks. On the macro side, in Germany, September’s ZEW index rose unexpectedly. In the euro zone, July’s industrial output climbed more than expected in MoM ter...

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Sovereign ratings vs banks, CaixaBank AT1, UniCredit SNP b...

Convergence of sovereign credit quality a positive for some and negative for others; Another tender from CaixaBank to support AT1 issuance; UniCredit in the market with a 6NC5 senior non-preferred bond

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Sovereign ratings vs banks, CaixaBank AT1, UniCredit SNP b...

Convergence of sovereign credit quality a positive for some and negative for others; Another tender from CaixaBank to support AT1 issuance; UniCredit in the market with a 6NC5 senior non-preferred bond

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 19 AUGUST (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: FCC. Markets kick off second half of August with drops Although no definitive peace agreement was expected to come from the talks between the US and the Ukraine-Europe delegation, stock markets took the opportunity for profit taking while rewarding defence companies in view of the possible “security guarantee” the US would offer Ukraine. In the STOXX 600, the sectors falling the most were Basic Materials and Autos, with Pharma (driven by Novo Nordisk) and Media rising the most. On...

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