A director at BWX Technologies Inc sold 6,000 shares at 104.027USD and the significance rating of the trade was 84/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cl...
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) upgraded BWX Technologies, Inc.'s (BWXT) corporate family rating (CFR) to Ba1 from Ba2 and upgraded the probability of default rating to Ba1-PD from Ba2-PD. Concurrently, we upgraded the company's senior unsecured notes ratings to Ba2 from Ba3. The Speculative Grade Liquidi...
Bullish Outlook Focused on Large- and Mid-Caps Considering constructive market dynamics and the recent S&P 500 (SPX) breakout above 5783 following several months of consolidation, we upgraded our outlook to bullish as of last week's U.S. Macro Vision report (10/15/24). Since late-July, we have been neutral on the SPX, preferring to buy near 5100-5200 support and sell near 5670-5783 resistance until there is a break in either direction. The verdict of the market is the only one that matters, and...
Bull Trap Still Brewing? The S&P 500 (SPX) continues to hold below 5783, which is the upper-end of an important target/resistance area (5670-5783) we have discussed since our 8/13/24 Compass, just after the SPX hit our 5100-5191 "expected pullback zone." 5670 was the prior all-time high set in July, while 5783 is 2% above 5670. The current "breakout" above 5670 is an extraordinarily weak one, which usually suggests a false breakout/bull trap is brewing; the SPX has spent nearly three weeks abov...
SPX Bull Trap Setting Up? The S&P 500 (SPX) is approaching 5783, which is the upper-end of an important target/resistance area we have discussed for over a month (5670-5783). Using the 2007 SPX topping analog which has tracked the current market almost perfectly, it would suggest a 2% or less move above the prior all-time high set in July at 5670 before topping, which is where we get the 5783 number... see chart below. We acknowledge that the SPX is technically "breaking out" to all-time highs ...
U.S. Dollar (DXY) Violating YTD Uptrend Signs continue to point to the formation of a new uptrend on the S&P 500, something we have discussed as our expectation on a weekly basis since late-April (4/30/24 Compass). Shorterterm, both the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 are trading/consolidating within 1.5-2 week bull flag patterns, and we are on the lookout for upside breakouts due to ongoing healthy market dynamics. Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. • S&P 500, Russell 2000...
Downgrading Real Estate to Underweight Our bullish outlook we initiated on November 7, 2023 remains intact; this intermediate-to-long-term outlook is likely to stay in place as long as 4800 support holds on the S&P 500 (implying 7-10% downside) and market dynamics remain healthy. To be clear, we are not calling for a pullback to 4800; we view it as a worst-case scenario for the S&P 500, and we simply want to be prepared for anything. Shorter-term, we remain bullish on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100...
Small Caps Outperform Despite "Hot" Inflation Reports In spite of last week's hotter-than-expected inflation reports (CPI and PPI), the S&P 500 remains above its 20-day MA, and, more notably, the Russell 2000 (IWM) outperformed relative to the SPX and QQQ, and ended the week at YTD weekly closing highs. Small-caps are supposed to fall and/or underperform if inflation is on the rise. When stocks do the opposite of what is expected of them, that is valuable information. The fact that small- and m...
Yesterday's hotter-than-expected CPI report continues to suggest a more restrictive Fed policy than the market has been expecting. This raises the possibility of further consolidation for small- and mid-caps. Meanwhile, large-cap indexes (S&P 500, Nasdaq 100) remain bullish, finding support at their respective 20-day MAs since November 2023; the only question is whether that will continue to be the case, as our main concern remains rising Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar (DXY), which have bro...
U.S. Dollar, 10-Year Treasury Yield, Commodities. Over the past two weeks we have discussed the multitude of signals that either suggest (1) the bear market is over, or (2) this rally is likely to continue. Nothing has changed in terms of these expectations. Chief among the reasons we expect the rally to continue are the breakdowns in the U.S. dollar (DXY) and 10-year Treasury yield, which we view as possible early topping signals. Commodities and WTI crude oil have continued to consolidate, tho...
Another Bear Market Rally Begins The bear market rally we have been discussing since our Sept. 27 Compass has begun, with over half of the Sectors and all the major indexes (S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA, and S&P 600 Small Caps) showing bullish 2+ month inflections. As referenced last week, we expect the aforementioned indexes to rally to their respective 200-day MAs; longer-term, this is still a bear market until they can break above their respective 200-day MAs. Bullish 2+ Month Inflections. As ...
Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") has affirmed the ratings of BWX Technologies, Inc. ("BWXT"), including its Ba2 Corporate Family Rating (CFR) and Ba3 senior unsecured notes ratings. Concurrently, Moody's upgraded BWXT's Speculative Grade Liquidity (SGL) Rating to SGL-2 from SGL-3 and changed th...
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") has affirmed all ratings of BWX Technologies, Inc. ("BWXT"), including its Ba2 Corporate Family Rating (CFR) and Ba3 senior unsecured notes ratings. Moody's also downgraded BWXT's Speculative Grade Liquidity Rating to SGL-3 from SGL-2 and changed the outlook to ...
The independent financial analyst theScreener just requalified the general evaluation of BWX TECHNOLOGIES (US), active in the Industrial Machinery industry. As regards its fundamental valuation, the title still shows 1 out of 4 stars and its market behaviour is seen as moderately risky. theScreener believes that the unfavourable environment weighs on the sector and penalises the company, which sees a downgrade to its general evaluation to Slightly Negative. As of the analysis date November 30, 2...
Full Article at IIR has reaffirmed its Recommended rating for PIA after undertaking a review post the appointment of a new Portfolio Manager, Harding Loevner. The full report can be found on the IIR website. On 26 July 2021, Pengana International Equities Limited (PIA) announced a fully franked dividend of 1.35 cents per share for the June quarter. This represents an 8% increase on the March quarter dividend and takes the total dividends declared for FY21 of 5.1 cents per share, fully franked....
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