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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MONET CP; MIL PW; KRKG SV; AKBNK TI; WIZZ LN; Poland macro...

HEADLINES: • • MONETA Money Bank: solid 4Q24, solid dividend, material upgrade to MT guidance but all priced in very generously POSITIVE • Millennium: 4Q24 adjusted results in line on pre-provision profit, beat from low LLPs POSITIVE • Krka: preliminary 4Q24 numbers seem weak NEGATIVE • Akbank: 4Q24 results and 2025E guidance highlights NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: 3Q FY25 – a miss, as groundings weigh on costs • Poland macro: positive GDP preliminary estimate, 2.9% for 2024 overall • Hungary macro: econ...

Jonathan Lamb
  • Jonathan Lamb
MOL MOL NYRT
OMV OMV AG ... (+5)

WOOD Flash – Global oil and gas: uh-oh, Canada – the oil markets and p...

This weekend (1-2 February), the US government may impose 25% tariffs on all Canadian goods entering the US. It may seem of little consequence from our perspective, but we believe that it could have a significant impact on the global oil and refining markets. Canada produces 5m barrels of oil per day and exports 80% to the US. About 25% of all crude oil processed in the US is from Canada. The trade was worth approximately USD 100bn in 2024. The oil is too heavy for most global refineries and the...

 PRESS RELEASE

BAWAG Group: Vorstandsmandate bis Ende 2029 verlängert

BAWAG Group: Vorstandsmandate bis Ende 2029 verlängert WIEN, Österreich – 28. Jänner 2025 – Der Aufsichtsrat der BAWAG Group hat beschlossen, die Mandate aller sechs Vorstandsmitglieder bis Ende Dezember 2029 zu verlängern. Diese Veränderungen spiegeln das langfristige Engagement – sowohl seitens des Aufsichtsrats als auch seitens der Vorstandsmitglieder – für das anhaltend profitable Wachstum und den Erfolg der BAWAG Group wider. "Meine Kolleginnen und Kollegen im Aufsichtsrat und ich freuen uns, bekannt geben zu können, dass die Mandate des Vorstands bis Ende 2029 verlängert wurden. Pers...

 PRESS RELEASE

BAWAG Group: Mandates of Management Board Members extended through end...

BAWAG Group: Mandates of Management Board Members extended through end of 2029 VIENNA, Austria – January 28, 2025 – The Supervisory Board of BAWAG Group has decided to extend the mandates of all six Management Board members through the end of December 2029. This reflects the long-term commitment of both the Supervisory Board and Management Board members to the long-term profitable growth and success of the Group. "My Supervisory Board colleagues and I are proud to announce that we've extended the mandates of the Management Board through the end of 2029. I am personally excited about the j...

Egor Fedorov ... (+2)
  • Egor Fedorov
  • James Wilson

EM Credit Spark/EM credit weekly & trade ideas update

EM credit markets saw some relief this week with no major surprises from US President Trump's inauguration, while activity picked up in primary markets again. We see some risk of modest spread widening amid decent supply, along with further clarity on US trade measures.

Felix Fischer
  • Felix Fischer

European High Yield Investment Outlook 2025 - Lucror Analytics

In this publication, we review the past year and discuss our outlook for the next 12 months. We begin our discussion with the macro factors at play, including GDP forecasts, the geopolitical landscape and our expectations for cost inflation. We also trace the development of primary markets in the European HY space, and give our view on defaults in general as well as for our coverage universe. We then discuss sector trends and expectations, along with earnings development for companies under our ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PKN PW (stays BUY); ENA PW; EUROB GA; PEO PW

HEADLINES: • Orlen: who are you calling a refiner? (stays BUY) • Enea: signs an annex to its coal supply agreement with Bogdanka NEUTRAL • Eurobank Ergasias Services: Fairfax sells a 2.2% stake through an ABB NEUTRAL • Bank Pekao: 4Q24E preview (due on 27 February) • Short News (OPL)

Egor Fedorov ... (+2)
  • Egor Fedorov
  • James Wilson

EM Credit Spark/EM credit weekly & trade ideas update

The primary market has quietened down and performance remains solid in EM credit markets, while the focus this week will be on US politics, with some risks for EM in the event of aggressive tariff measures coming into force.

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 17/01/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Corcel (CRCL LN)C; Target price of 1.00p per share: Initiating Coverage - Corcel is a ~£6 mm market cap AIM-listed E&P company focused on Portuguese-speaking Angola and Brazil. It offers a unique exposure to the prolific Kwanza onshore basin in Angola which reopened to international companies in 2021. Corcel is also building a portfolio of mature onshore producing assets in Brazil. The key asset in Angola is the KON-16 licence, which C...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: KRU PW; MYTIL GA; PL Macro; PEO PW; HUG PW; GPP PW; GPP PW...

HEADLINES: • Kruk: 2025-29E strategy – ambitious, and sees further growth of earnings, assisted by high ROEs POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: EUR 0.3bn capex plan to boost alumina capacity by 50% and produce gallium as well POSITIVE • Poland macro: NBP keeps rates unchanged, as expected • Bank Pekao: to add PLN 370m of FX mortgage provision charges, shielded by PLN 103m of deferred tax asset recognition; positive change in NPL stock NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: USD 3.5m impairment of investment in ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CCOLA TI; OMV AV; SNP RO; MBR PW; EME Macro/Strategy Weekl...

HEADLINES: • Coca-Cola Icecek: announces 4Q24 volume data and 2025E guidance POSITIVE • OMV: 4Q24 trading statement NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 4Q24 trading statement NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: interview with the CEO NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (6-12 January)

Erste Group Bank AG: 1 director

A director at Erste Group Bank AG bought 3,183 shares at 58.840EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 55/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cl...

OTP Bank Nyrt: Update following change of outlook

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its strong profitability, against its exposure to countries with a weaker operating environment than that of Hungary, which elevates risks.

Jonathan Lamb
  • Jonathan Lamb

European Oil and Gas Monthly: December 2024

Average crude oil prices changed little in December, after production increases and perceived weakness in demand pushed prices down in November. The WOOD benchmark margin remains above average, despite reaching its lowest level in 2024, after declining by USD 0.7/bbl. Petrochemicals remains in the doldrums, with some product groups marginally better and others marginally worse.

Research Team
  • Research Team
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS ... (+38)

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: positive performances from all ind...

EME Equity Market – December 2024 A green December. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 2.9% in EUR terms and 0.8% in USD terms in December. The Greek ASE Index (+5.5% mom in EUR terms) was the best performer, followed closely by the Czech PX Index (+5.0% mom in EUR terms). Solid performances were also reported by the BET (+2.4% mom), BUX (+2.2% mom) and ISE 30 (+1.5% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). The Polish WIG 20 Index (+0.4% mom in EUR terms) reported a muted performance.

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 20/12/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.80 per share: Material discovery at Alberta Llanos - The AB-1 (Alberta Llanos) exploration well has encountered four main hydrocarbon bearing reservoirs with a total true vertical depth of 121 feet, including the C7, Gacheta, Guadalupe, and Ubaque formations. The main pre-drill targets were the C7 and the Ubaque formations. The Gacheta and Guadalupe formations carried a higher risk, an...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PZU PW; ALR PW; PEO PW; RO Macro; GE Macro; CZ Macro; CEZ ...

HEADLINES: • PZU: discounted valuation for growing EPS and dividend yields (stays BUY) • Alior Bank: trading cheaply, but in stand-by mode (stays BUY) • Bank Pekao: complicated, but not value destructive (stays BUY) • Romania macro: a frail situation • Georgia macro: NBG keeps policy rate unchanged, at 8.0%; sanctions from the US and the UK • Czech Republic macro: CNB keeps policy rate on hold • CEZ: government takes new nuclear financing plan under advisement NEUTRAL • NEPI Rockcastle: pre-clos...

Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska ... (+2)
  • Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
  • Miguel Dias

Bank Pekao: complicated, but not value destructive (stays BUY)

We have lowered our 12M price target (PT) slightly, to PLN 212.4/share (from PLN 227.5), as a consequence of our model adjustments. We have reduced our dividend payout ratio to 50%, from 62.5% previously, and rolled our model forward to 2027E. We are bought in to the potential equity story of Bank Pekao on its own, and see it as well positioned for a potential new lending cycle. It may also be boosted by the new management getting back on track with a decision-making process oriented towards mar...

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: EVN AG: Business development in the 2023/24 financial year

EQS-News: EVN AG / Key word(s): Annual Results EVN AG: Business development in the 2023/24 financial year 17.12.2024 / 07:30 CET/CEST The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. Highlights Decline in Group net result by 11.0% to EUR 471.7m Negative earnings contribution of roughly EUR 162m from the Austrian electricity and natural gas supply company Increase in share of renewable generation to 84.4% (previous year: 77.0%) Dynamic expansion of wind power and photovoltaic capacity to 477 MW and 93 MWp Start of construction on a biomass combin...

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: EVN AG: Geschäftsverlauf im Geschäftsjahr 2023/24

EQS-News: EVN AG / Schlagwort(e): Jahresergebnis EVN AG: Geschäftsverlauf im Geschäftsjahr 2023/24 17.12.2024 / 07:30 CET/CEST Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung ist der Emittent / Herausgeber verantwortlich. Highlights Rückgang im Konzernergebnis um 11,0 % auf 471,7 Mio. Euro Ergebnisbelastung von rund 162 Mio. Euro aus dem österreichischen Vertriebsgeschäft für Strom und Erdgas Anstieg des Anteils erneuerbarer Erzeugung auf 84,4 % (Vorjahr: 77,0 %) Dynamischer Ausbau der Windkraft- und Photovoltaikkapazitäten auf 477 MW bzw. 93 MWp Baubeginn der Biomasse-Kraft-Wärme Kop...

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