A director at X5 Retail Group N.V. sold 20,000 shares at 21.000USD and the significance rating of the trade was 86/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cl...
MARKET COMMENT - SOME BOND HOLDERS RECEIVE COUPONS WHILE EQUITIES STILL FROZEN, CAPITAL CONTROLS IN PLACEThe ruble gained 4.5% in Moscow Exchange trading and fell 4.9% in offshore trading to be quoted around USD/RUB 102-103, reaching the narrowest spread in weeks. Reuters reported that some bond holders had successfully received dollar coupon payments that were due on Russian sovereigns. STORIES> Russia's budget surplus reaches R156 bln in February> X5 Group's 4Q21 EBITDA 7% above our estimate
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ДЕРЖАТЕЛИ ЕВРООБЛИГАЦИЙ РФ ПОЛУЧИЛИ КУПОННЫЕ ВЫПЛАТЫ, РОССИЙСКИЕ АКЦИИ ПО-ПРЕЖНЕМУ ЗАМОРОЖЕНЫ ДЛЯ НЕРЕЗИДЕНТОВ ИЗ-ЗА ОГРАНИЧЕНИЙ НА ВЫВОЗ КАПИТАЛАРубль вчера укрепился на 4,5% на Московской бирже, но на внешнем рынке просел на 4,9% до 102-103 руб. за доллар, и разница между курсами на внешнем и внутреннем рынках стала наименьшей за последние недели. Агентство Reuters сообщило, что держатели российских суверенных еврооблигаций благополучно получили купонные платежи в долла...
X5 (FIVE LI / FIVE RX: U/R) reported its 4Q21 financials, which came in line with our expectations both on revenue and EBITDA. The 2021 EBITDA margin of 7.3% came in line with recent guidance and the company’s strategic commitment to maintain >7% EBITDA margin. The company decided not to distribute the final 2021 dividend amid the current market condition. Looking into 2022, the demand side looks secured for food retailers, and the ongoing stockpiling is likely to support X5’s and Magnit’s Lf...
MARKET COMMENT - MOSCOW EQUITIES TO BE CLOSED ANOTHER WEEK WHILE VALUE STOCKS OUTPERFORMThe CBR has announced that equity trading will be closed another week. Possible negotiations between Russia and Ukraine are the focal point for Russia investors this week, while main themes elsewhere include resumed rotation to value stocks and above $100/bbl oil prices, all of which would be benefiting Russia in a normal market environment, but not this one.STORIES> Government allocates R1 trln to support th...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ТОРГИ В МОСКВЕ НЕ БУДУТ ПРОВОДИТЬСЯ ЕЩЕ НЕДЕЛЮ; НА ГЛОБАЛЬНОМ РЫНКЕ ОПЕРЕЖАЮЩУЮ ДИНАМИКУ ПОКАЗЫВАЮТ АКЦИИ СТОИМОСТИЦБ РФ принял решение еще неделю не возобновлять торги на МосБирже в секции фондового рынка. На текущей неделе в центре внимания будут возможные переговоры между Россией и Украиной. НОВОСТИ> Правительство выделило 1 трлн руб. на поддержку экономики> Нефтяные котировки консолидировались около минимумов прошлой недели в преддверии многочисленных событий на этой ...
MARKET COMMENT - RUSSIAN MARKETS REMAIN CLOSED, RUSSIA-UKRAINE TALKS CONTINUERussian securities markets remained closed yesterday, while the London Stock Exchange finally suspended trading in Russian GDRs. The RSX ETF fell another 19%. The ruble was quite volatile, plunging to USD/RUB 118 at the beginning of yesterday's trading, and then strengthening to 106 toward the end of the session in the lead-up to the second round of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. STORIES> MTS posts neutral 4Q2...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗВчера котировки Брент вплотную приблизились к $120/барр., но затем начали снижаться и достигли внутридневного минимума $109,4/барр. на фоне сообщений о том, что Иран, возможно, вскоре подпишет соглашение по ядерной программе. МТС, VK и Global Ports опубликовали результаты за 4К21. Яндекс представил информацию по последним событиям. Segezha Group объявила, что намерена придерживаться дивидендной политики.НОВОСТИ> Цены на нефть стабилизировались на фоне перспектив ядерной сдел...
MARKET COMMENT - RDX DOWN MORE THAN IN 1998, MSCI RUSSIA THE MOST SINCE 2008 AS MOSCOW TRADING REMAINS CLOSEDWhile Moscow stock trading remains closed, offshore and composite indexes dropped another 6-57%. The RDX offshore DR index has now fallen 91% since its October decade-long peak, a fall sharper than that of 1998 or 2008. The government announced plans to support the market with share purchases, while capital restrictions and supply shocks have also been in the news.STORIES> Government mull...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗСегодня утром котировки Брент выросли до $111/барр., и, вероятно, поднимутся еще выше, хотя МЭА объявило, что страны ОЭСР скоординированно выведут на рынок 60 млн барр. нефти из своих стратегических резервов. После объявлений ВР и Equinor, сделанных ранее на этой неделе, еще несколько крупных международных нефтяных компаний сообщили о решении продать свой бизнес в России или выразили серьезную обеспокоенность сложившейся ситуацией.НОВОСТИ> Нехватка предложения начала сказыва...
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has led to unprecedented dislocations of capital and resources, on top of human tragedies. The sanctions imposed, by the world’s key nations, on Russia, its politicians, institutions, companies and businessmen, as well as the counter-measures introduced by the Russian government, are wide-ranging and continue to be imposed on a daily basis. The most severe sanctions are related to the freezing of the CBR’s FX reserves, as well as the freezing of non-residents’ assets...
AT: Andritz - Andritz to supply a new pickling and galvanizing line to Jiuquan Iron and Steel in China (neutral) AT: Frequentis - Frequentis bought 51% stake in small family-owned Italian emergency system and software company (neutral) AT: Semperit - Press news about renewed disposal plans for Sempermed (positive) AT: Vienna Insurance Group - EU orders Hungary to cancel veto of Aegon transaction (neutral) HU: OTP - CKB files the criminal charges against 2 employees suspected in embezz...
EME Equity Market – January 2022 Market performance – Russia’s equities lost 9.3%, while Turkish and Hungarian stocks advanced 8.6% and 9.3%, respectively, in January. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 4.5% in EUR terms and 5.9% in USD. Hungary’s equities were the best performers in January, adding 9.3% in EUR and 5.4% in HUF terms; followed by Turkish equities, with an 8.6% gain in EUR and an 8.8% gain in TRY. In Greece, the ASE Index added 4.9%, while the PX Index, the Czech benchmark, gained ...
Exporters may be the best choice in 2022e, thanks to strong export sales multiplied by raised commodity prices The Russian equity market is very attractive with a 50-60% discount to EM peers on PE In our base case, geopolitical tensions will not intensify and the RUB will consequently appreciate but the pressure will not promptly fade Top picks: Gazprom, Alrosa, MMK, X5, PhosAgro
We continue to track the Ivanovs' savings and spending patterns, as well as their perceptions, to get an idea of how entire sectors and individual companies are performing and might perform in the future. We also look at competition among the public retailers. The main conclusions from the most recent survey are as follows:> The fieldwork took place from November 22 to December 10, when the number of new Covid-19 cases in Russia was close to a historic high, inflation was on the rise, the ruble ...
The independent financial analyst theScreener just lowered the general evaluation of X5 RETAIL GROUP N.V. (GB), active in the Food Retailers & Wholesalers industry. As regards its fundamental valuation, the title still shows 1 out of 4 possible stars. Its market behaviour, however, has slightly deteriorated and will be qualified as risky moving forward. theScreener considers that these new qualifications justify an overall rating downgrade to Slightly Negative. As of the analysis date January 25...
MARKET COMMENT - RATES, SOFT EARNINGS LEAN ON GLOBAL STOCKS, GEOPOLITICS ON RUSSIAGlobal markets were under broad pressure, the MSCI ACWI falling 1.7% with growth stocks particularly out of favor. Rates and inflation concerns have been joined by earnings disappointments in the early US reporting season to lean on stocks. The RTS fell 3.4% to 1,402, the weakest result among liquid EMs. News on geopolitics and international relations is likely to remain the core focus for the Russian market this w...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ГЛОБАЛЬНЫЕ РЫНКИ ПОД ДАВЛЕНИЕМ ИЗ-ЗА ПОВЫШЕНИЯ СТАВОК И СЛАБОЙ ОТЧЕТНОСТИ КОМПАНИЙ, РОССИЙСКИЙ - ИЗ-ЗА ГЕОПОЛИТИКИГлобальные рынки в пятницу были под давлением: индекс MSCI ACWI снизился на 1,7%, наибольшие потери понесли акции быстрорастущих компаний (growth stocks). Инвесторов беспокоит перспектива повышения ставок и высокая инфляция. Кроме того, настрой ухудшился после публикации более слабых, чем ожидалось, финансовых результатов компаний в США. Индекс РТС в пятницу с...
X5 (FIVE LI / FIVE RX: O/W; TP $40.4/RUB3,031) reported its 4Q21 trading update. Retail sales grew 14.9% y/y in 4Q21, accelerating from 11.6% y/y in 3Q21, supported by 9% y/y LfL sales growth. The company expects the Q4 and FY21 EBITDA margin to be at least flat y/y (7.3% for FY20). YTD the top line growth in 2022 remains strong at 14.9% y/y with LfL sales growth of 8.6% y/y. Overall the numbers look slightly better than we had expected, and we see scope for upward revisions of the consensus ...
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