A director at X5 Retail Group N.V. sold 20,000 shares at 21.000USD and the significance rating of the trade was 86/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cl...
MARKET COMMENT - SOME BOND HOLDERS RECEIVE COUPONS WHILE EQUITIES STILL FROZEN, CAPITAL CONTROLS IN PLACEThe ruble gained 4.5% in Moscow Exchange trading and fell 4.9% in offshore trading to be quoted around USD/RUB 102-103, reaching the narrowest spread in weeks. Reuters reported that some bond holders had successfully received dollar coupon payments that were due on Russian sovereigns. STORIES> Russia's budget surplus reaches R156 bln in February> X5 Group's 4Q21 EBITDA 7% above our estimate
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ДЕРЖАТЕЛИ ЕВРООБЛИГАЦИЙ РФ ПОЛУЧИЛИ КУПОННЫЕ ВЫПЛАТЫ, РОССИЙСКИЕ АКЦИИ ПО-ПРЕЖНЕМУ ЗАМОРОЖЕНЫ ДЛЯ НЕРЕЗИДЕНТОВ ИЗ-ЗА ОГРАНИЧЕНИЙ НА ВЫВОЗ КАПИТАЛАРубль вчера укрепился на 4,5% на Московской бирже, но на внешнем рынке просел на 4,9% до 102-103 руб. за доллар, и разница между курсами на внешнем и внутреннем рынках стала наименьшей за последние недели. Агентство Reuters сообщило, что держатели российских суверенных еврооблигаций благополучно получили купонные платежи в долла...
X5 (FIVE LI / FIVE RX: U/R) reported its 4Q21 financials, which came in line with our expectations both on revenue and EBITDA. The 2021 EBITDA margin of 7.3% came in line with recent guidance and the company’s strategic commitment to maintain >7% EBITDA margin. The company decided not to distribute the final 2021 dividend amid the current market condition. Looking into 2022, the demand side looks secured for food retailers, and the ongoing stockpiling is likely to support X5’s and Magnit’s Lf...
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has led to unprecedented dislocations of capital and resources, on top of human tragedies. The sanctions imposed, by the world’s key nations, on Russia, its politicians, institutions, companies and businessmen, as well as the counter-measures introduced by the Russian government, are wide-ranging and continue to be imposed on a daily basis. The most severe sanctions are related to the freezing of the CBR’s FX reserves, as well as the freezing of non-residents’ assets...
AT: Andritz - Andritz to supply a new pickling and galvanizing line to Jiuquan Iron and Steel in China (neutral) AT: Frequentis - Frequentis bought 51% stake in small family-owned Italian emergency system and software company (neutral) AT: Semperit - Press news about renewed disposal plans for Sempermed (positive) AT: Vienna Insurance Group - EU orders Hungary to cancel veto of Aegon transaction (neutral) HU: OTP - CKB files the criminal charges against 2 employees suspected in embezz...
EME Equity Market – January 2022 Market performance – Russia’s equities lost 9.3%, while Turkish and Hungarian stocks advanced 8.6% and 9.3%, respectively, in January. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 4.5% in EUR terms and 5.9% in USD. Hungary’s equities were the best performers in January, adding 9.3% in EUR and 5.4% in HUF terms; followed by Turkish equities, with an 8.6% gain in EUR and an 8.8% gain in TRY. In Greece, the ASE Index added 4.9%, while the PX Index, the Czech benchmark, gained ...
Exporters may be the best choice in 2022e, thanks to strong export sales multiplied by raised commodity prices The Russian equity market is very attractive with a 50-60% discount to EM peers on PE In our base case, geopolitical tensions will not intensify and the RUB will consequently appreciate but the pressure will not promptly fade Top picks: Gazprom, Alrosa, MMK, X5, PhosAgro
We continue to track the Ivanovs' savings and spending patterns, as well as their perceptions, to get an idea of how entire sectors and individual companies are performing and might perform in the future. We also look at competition among the public retailers. The main conclusions from the most recent survey are as follows:> The fieldwork took place from November 22 to December 10, when the number of new Covid-19 cases in Russia was close to a historic high, inflation was on the rise, the ruble ...
The independent financial analyst theScreener just lowered the general evaluation of X5 RETAIL GROUP N.V. (GB), active in the Food Retailers & Wholesalers industry. As regards its fundamental valuation, the title still shows 1 out of 4 possible stars. Its market behaviour, however, has slightly deteriorated and will be qualified as risky moving forward. theScreener considers that these new qualifications justify an overall rating downgrade to Slightly Negative. As of the analysis date January 25...
MARKET COMMENT - RATES, SOFT EARNINGS LEAN ON GLOBAL STOCKS, GEOPOLITICS ON RUSSIAGlobal markets were under broad pressure, the MSCI ACWI falling 1.7% with growth stocks particularly out of favor. Rates and inflation concerns have been joined by earnings disappointments in the early US reporting season to lean on stocks. The RTS fell 3.4% to 1,402, the weakest result among liquid EMs. News on geopolitics and international relations is likely to remain the core focus for the Russian market this w...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ГЛОБАЛЬНЫЕ РЫНКИ ПОД ДАВЛЕНИЕМ ИЗ-ЗА ПОВЫШЕНИЯ СТАВОК И СЛАБОЙ ОТЧЕТНОСТИ КОМПАНИЙ, РОССИЙСКИЙ - ИЗ-ЗА ГЕОПОЛИТИКИГлобальные рынки в пятницу были под давлением: индекс MSCI ACWI снизился на 1,7%, наибольшие потери понесли акции быстрорастущих компаний (growth stocks). Инвесторов беспокоит перспектива повышения ставок и высокая инфляция. Кроме того, настрой ухудшился после публикации более слабых, чем ожидалось, финансовых результатов компаний в США. Индекс РТС в пятницу с...
X5 (FIVE LI / FIVE RX: O/W; TP $40.4/RUB3,031) reported its 4Q21 trading update. Retail sales grew 14.9% y/y in 4Q21, accelerating from 11.6% y/y in 3Q21, supported by 9% y/y LfL sales growth. The company expects the Q4 and FY21 EBITDA margin to be at least flat y/y (7.3% for FY20). YTD the top line growth in 2022 remains strong at 14.9% y/y with LfL sales growth of 8.6% y/y. Overall the numbers look slightly better than we had expected, and we see scope for upward revisions of the consensus ...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: Turkey - pushing against the inevitable • X5: 4Q21 sales up 15% yoy POSITIVE • Kernel: 2Q22 trading update - 2022E yields above our expectations NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: launches buyback programme; aiming to spend PLN 20m to buy 70k shares by February POSITIVE • Echo Investment: sells West4Business HUB (27% above cost, 8.3% yield, EUR 2.1k per sqm, EUR 12m net proceeds) POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: subsidiary completes first phase of market test for LNG Term...
MARKET COMMENT - PARTIAL REBOUND AND HEFTY TURNOVER FOLLOWING TECHNICAL, POLITICAL SIGNALSThe RTS rallied 3.5% to 1,415, offsetting half of the previous day's decline in response to technical and potential political signals. Global markets have turned from a mixed day yesterday to a rally today, adding another tailwind for the Russian market. A meeting of core NATO members is in focus today, along with NLMK trading numbers and a variety of global rates and macro releases.STORIES> Less bearish po...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - РЫНОК ЧАСТИЧНО ВОССТАНОВИЛСЯ НА ФОНЕ ТЕХНИЧЕСКИХ ФАКТОРОВ И ПОЛИТИЧЕСКИХ СИГНАЛОВИндекс РТС вчера вырос на 3,5% до 1 415 пунктов, наполовину отыграв потери предыдущего дня на фоне технических факторов и политических сигналов. На глобальных рынках динамика вчера была неоднозначной, а сегодня наблюдается рост, что оказывает дополнительную поддержку российскому рынку акций. Сегодня в центре внимания встреча основных членов НАТО, операционная отчетность НЛМК, а также ряд макр...
Based on our Ivanov survey and recent macro data, we expect positive trends, as inflation is being passed on to the consumer, trading down has not intensified, while Covid-related restrictions are benefitting the large players. This should all bode well for the food sector, less so for non-food. We expect Magnit and X5 Group to see 9% LFLs and outpace the consensus, whereas Fix Price is set to miss the consensus, and Detsky Mir could prompt concern over pressure from marketplaces. We expect a po...
MARKET COMMENT - RUSSIA DRAGGED BY GEOPOLITICAL CONCERNS, GLOBE BY RATES AND INFLATIONGlobal markets saw significant declines on rate and inflation concerns, the MSCI ACWI falling 1.6% with weakness particularly in growth stocks. Despite relatively better appetites for energy and other cyclicals, Russia was the worst performing EM with a 7.3% drop on the RTS to 1,367. Geopolitical headlines will likely remain in focus for the Russian market, as detailed in our stories below, while inflation and ...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - НА РОССИЙСКИЙ АКЦИИ ОКАЗЫВАЮТ ДАВЛЕНИЕ ГЕОПОЛИТИЧЕСКИЕ РИСКИ, НА ГЛОБАЛЬНЫЕ РЫНКИ - ОПАСЕНИЯ НАСЧЕТ СТАВОК И ИНФЛЯЦИИГлобальные рынки вчера понесли большие потери из-за обеспокоенности ростом ставок и инфляцией. Индекс MSCI ACWI снизился на 1,6%, сильнее всего пострадали акции роста. Несмотря на относительно неплохой спрос на бумаги нефтегазового и прочих циклических секторов, Россия завершила вчерашние торги хуже всех развивающихся рынков: индекс РТС упал на 7,3% до 1 36...
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