reports
- Jin Yoon
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: Navigating headwinds and uncovering opportunities upon...
Chinese internet companies’ share prices have dropped 10-30% mtd following the implementation of incremental tariffs from the US. Chinese internet companies have limited business exposure to the US except for PDD’s Temu. However, the 34% tariffs announced by China on all US imports could have potential implications for China mega-caps’ AI capex in relation to US chip imports. We prefer domestic-focused plays which stand to benefit from domestic policy stimuli, with Southbound inflow to be a key ...
NEH NETEASE INC. SPONSORED ADR
JD JD.COM INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
N1U NEW ORIENTAL EDUCATION & TECHNOLOGY GROUP INC. SPONSORED ADR
K3SD BAIDU INC SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
00780 TONGCHENG-ELONG HOLDINGS LIMITED
TCOM TRIP.COM GROUP LTD. SPONSORED ADR
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
09888 BAIDU INC
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: Monetisation potential and trends of AI agent from the...
Seeing great opportunities in AI development, major China cloud hyperscalers are significantly lifting their AI investment in 2025. With the launch of Manus, we are more optimistic about the accelerating monetisation capabilities of AI agents and applications through API integration and tool utilisation, which benefit cloud hyperscalers. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Bible 4Q24 – Mobility & Delivery: Healthy underlying growth
Today, we are publishing the Mobility & Delivery section of our 26th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. Later this week we will publish sections on Memory, Semicap, Enterprise IT, PC. Ride-sharing bookings decelerated slightly but still posted robust double-digit growth, while delivery bookings a...
A Majority of Businesses Intrigued by the Potential of AI in Achieving...
EQS Newswire / 10/03/2025 / 03:30 CET/CEST More than one in two organizations acknowledge gap in understanding how digital technology can facilitate achieving sustainability goalsHANGZHOU, CHINA - - 10 March 2025 - Over three quarters of businesses (76%) across Asia, Europe and the Middle East are intrigued by the potential of digital technologies, including AI and cloud computing in driving sustainable development, according to the latest survey report titled "Tech-Driven Sustainability Trends and Index 2024", commissioned by Alibaba Cloud, the digital technology and intelligence backbo...
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: Potential implications from implementation of social s...
JD and Meituan announced plans to gradually begin providing social security coverage for full-time and stable part-time riders nationwide starting 2Q25. Despite JD’s strategic implementation on zero commission and full social security coverage, we opine that this will have a limited impact on the company on competitive landscape and cost level, on the back of Meituan’s dominant market share, extensive restaurant coverage and 1P rider network scale advantages. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
Moody's Ratings announces completion of a periodic review of ratings o...
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has completed a periodic review of the ratings of Alibaba Group Holding Limited and other ratings that are associated with this issuer. The review was conducted through a rating committee held on 26 February 2025 in which we reassessed the appropriateness of the ratings in...
- Jin Yoon
BABA FY3Q25 Results: Capex to Meaningfully Increase Over the Next Thre...
What’s new: Alibaba’s reported FY3Q25 results that were above consensus and our expectations. CMR growth could continue to be supported by improvement in take rates, while AI-related cloud revs could remain resilient. The investments in cloud and AI infrastructure over the next three years could exceed what the company has spent over the past decade. We up our PT from US$100 to US$155 on improving outlook coupled with multiples rerating related to AI. Our updated PT of US$155 implies FY25E P/E o...
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Alibaba Group (9988 HK): 3QFY25: CMR beat; all-in AI; capex in next th...
Alibaba’s 3QFY25 results surpassed expectations. Revenue grew 8% yoy to Rmb280.2b, in line with the street’s estimate. Non-GAAP net profit was Rmb51.1b, up 6% yoy, beating our and consensus forecasts, with net margin of 18.2%. CMR revenue growth of 9% yoy came in above expectations, propelled by the introduction of service fees, a take rate improvement and the national subsidies programme. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$150.00 (US$150.00).
- Arsit Pamaranont
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Colin Lee
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Jonathan Koh
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Ken Lee
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Ming San Soong
- Stevanus Juanda
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Regional Morning Notes - Friday, February 21, 2025
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales rebound wow but remain low due to wait-and-see sentiment. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Renewable Energy: Solar energy equipment: Policy-driven installation rush to support prices; milder module shipment growth in 2025. Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$120.90/Target: HK$150.00): 3QFY25: CMR beat; all-in AI; capex in next three years to exceed that of the past decade. Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK...
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
00992 LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
F34 WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
GFPT GFPT
7153 KOSSAN RUBBER INDUSTRIES BHD.
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
TRUE TRUE CORP. PUBLIC CO. LTD.
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED
INRI INARI AMERTRON BHD
SCGB SUNWAY CONSTRUCTION GROUP BH
AMM AMMB HOLDINGS BHD
09999 NETEASE INC
OXMU PRIME US REIT
OR PTT OIL AND RETAIL BUSINESS PUBLIC CO LIMITED
BUKA BUKALAPAK.COM PT TBK
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Colin Lee
- Greater China Research Team
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ken Lee
- Ming San Soong
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Greater China Daily: Friday, February 21, 2025
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China auto sales rebounded in the seventh week of 2025, but remained low compared with the previous month due to consumers’ wait-and-see sentiment amid a price war and the transitional period of product upgrade. Zeekr’s acquisition of Lynk & Co strengthens Geely’s premium EV strategy. GWM has unveiled a strategy for affordable smart driving solutions. DeepSeek is gaining traction among automakers. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay S...
- Jin Yoon
BIDU 4Q24 Results: AI Cloud Remains Resilient
What’s new: Baidu’s reported 4Q24 top-line results that were largely in line with consensus and our expectations. Baidu Core ad rev growth could potentially bottom out in 4Q24 and recover throughout 2025 partly driven by monetization of gen-AI search ads. AI Cloud could remain resilient partly driven by demand for gen-AI related services. We maintain our PT at USD110. Analysts: Jin Yoon
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Baidu Inc (9888 HK): 4Q24: Solid earnings beat and strong AI cloud rev...
Baidu’s 4Q24 earnings beat expectations. Revenue dipped 2% yoy to Rmb34.1b, in line with consensus estimate. Gross margin inched down 3ppt yoy to 47.2%, within consensus expectation. Non-GAAP operating profit was Rmb5b, down 29% yoy, while non-GAAP operating profit margin came in at 15%. Non-GAAP net profit plummeted 13% yoy to Rmb6.7b, albeit surpassing consensus estimate by 39%. Maintain HOLD with an unchanged target price of HK$93.00 (US$103.00).
- Damon Shen
- Greater China Research Team
- Jieqi Liu
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Greater China Daily: Wednesday, February 19, 2025
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/HOLD/HK$90.20/Target: HK$93.00) Baidu’s 4Q24 earnings beat expectations. Revenue dipped 2% yoy to Rmb34.1b, in line with consensus estimate. Gross margin inched down 3ppt yoy to 47.2%, within consensus expectation. Non-GAAP operating profit was Rmb5b, down 29% yoy, while non-GAAP operating profit margin came in at 15%. Non-GAAP net profit plummeted 13% yoy to Rmb6.7b, albeit surpassing consensus estimate by 39%. Maintain HOLD with an unchanged target p...
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: Potential implications of de minimis tax exemption.
On 5 February, the USPS temporarily suspended the receipt of parcels from mainland China and Hong Kong. However, on 7 February, Trump signed an order delaying the cancellation of the de minimis trade exemption. We think PDD’s valuation will be partially overshadowed by the potential tariff pressures on Temu but supported by ongoing strategic mitigation efforts. As such, we believe that the uncertainties in policy changes will remain as the key concern throughout 2025.
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: Growth potential and AI development trends following e...
Amid geopolitical uncertainties, the emergence of DeepSeek models have ignited a major AI industry shake-up, garnered investor attention and drawn wide developer interest in the Chinese AI industry as it lowers the technical and financial barriers in deploying LLM. An increasing number of global hyperscalers and application companies have facilitated the deployment of DeepSeek and Qwen models, further expanding their accessibility and adoption. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Baidu Inc (9888 HK): 4Q24 preview: Online ad weakness persists; poised...
Baidu’s 4Q24 results will be released on 18 Feb 25. We forecast 4Q24 revenue dropping 4% yoy, mainly dampened by a subdued macro backdrop. Management expects online ad revenue to drop at a high single digit yoy in 4Q24, deepening the decline from 3Q24. However, AI Cloud revenue growth is guided to ramp up in 4Q24 and maintain its double-digit growth in 2025, with GenAI now accounting for 11% of cloud revenue. Maintain HOLD with a lower target price of HK$80.00 (US$89.00).
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Greater China Research Team
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Ming San Soong
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Sunny Chen
Greater China Daily: Monday, January 27, 2025
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Aviation: Airlines Based on their preliminary earnings estimates, all three airlines remained in a loss-making position for 2024. This is below our expectations as we were expecting Air China and CSA to record slight profits. The losses were likely due to the sector’s overcapacity situation, but we remain hopeful for the sector’s turnaround in 2025 helped by further demand growth. Having said that, a moderate earnings recovery is not enough to resolve the airlines’ balanc...
Alibaba Cloud Announced the Latest AI Models, Tools and Infrastructure...
EQS Newswire / 21/01/2025 / 04:59 CET/CEST JAKARTA, INDONESIA - - 21 January 2025 - Alibaba Cloud, the digital technology and intelligence backbone of Alibaba Group, has unveiled an expanded suite of large language models and AI development tools, upgraded infrastructure offerings, and new support programs for global developers at its annual developer summit today. These advancements aim to empower developers worldwide to build innovative AI applications more cost-effectively and drive a thriving global generative AI community. "Alibaba Cloud is committed to delivering real value to glo...
- Jin Yoon
BIDU 4Q24 Preview: Lowering BIDU Core Margin Estimates
What’s New: We nudge down our 4Q24 and 1Q25 Baidu Core non-GAAP OPM estimates partly to reflect the impairment losses related to JIDU in 4Q and potential investments in user acquisitions related to search and other consumer-facing related products in 1Q. Analysts: Jin Yoon
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