Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has completed a periodic review of the ratings of American Public Education, Inc. and other ratings that are associated with this issuer. The review was conducted through a rating committee held on 26 February 2025 in which we reassessed the appropriateness of the ratings ...
S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Breaking Out We are seeing signs that this 2+ month consolidation in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) is ready to break out to the upside. Part of that is the obvious; both the SPX and QQQ are breaking out to marginal new highs. The other part that has kept us bullish this whole time is that market dynamics have remained risk-on, which we have discussed on a weekly basis. Bottom line: our outlook remains bullish as long as the S&P 500 remains above 5770-5850. Our recommen...
S&P 500 Holding Above Prior Breakout Level Yet Again As discussed throughout the first half of January, we continue to believe that tariffs will mostly be used as a negotiation tactic, and much like Trump's prior presidency, will be much less impactful than feared. We reiterated this in yesterday's pre-market ETF Pathfinder, also noting "we anticipate the Canada/Mexico tariffs to be resolved relatively quickly, and therefore we view the latest pullback as a buying opportunity." Sure enough, bot...
Local Tops for 10-Year Yield, DXY, and WTI Crude Oil Our outlook remains bullish, and since late-December we have been suggesting to use the pullback as a buying opportunity. Our most recent and highest conviction "buy the dip" call came last week (1/14/25 Compass) amid all the major indexes testing key supports (S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJI, S&P Mid Caps, VXF, Russell 2000, ARKK, and SMH), bullish breadth divergences, and other ongoing risk-on signals. Those dip buys are finally paying off, with a...
Continue to Ride the Trend Higher Our outlook remains bullish and the significant end-of-year rally that we have been expecting since mid-October is in full swing; continue to ride the trend higher. Our election day Compass report (11/5/24) was titled "Buy the Pullback," and last week's Compass (11/19/24) was similarly titled "Buy the Pullback Again" considering our expectation for support at the 20-day MAs on the Russell 2000 (IWM), S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) with small- and mid-caps likely...
Upgrading Health Care to Market Weight Breadth continues to improve and Russell 2000 (IWM) small-caps and the Dow remain bullish, all while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) are going through a pullback/consolidation phase. Considering the Russell 2000 vs. S&P 500 ratio is reversing a 3.5-year downtrend, we expect this trend of small-cap outperformance to continue for months or longer. We will maintain our bullish view on small-caps (IWM) and the Dow as long as they remain above $210 and 39,800,...
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