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Frank Maaø ... (+9)
  • Frank Maaø
  • Håkon Astrup
  • Jesper Ingildsen
  • Joachim Gunell
  • Jørgen Lian
  • Martin Huseby Karlsen
  • Niclas Gehin
  • Ole-Andreas Krohn
  • Rune Majlund Dahl
Ebba Bjorklid ... (+12)
  • Ebba Bjorklid
  • Håkon Astrup
  • Joachim Gunell
  • Johannes Grunselius
  • Jørgen Lian
  • Karl-Johan Bonnevier
  • Markus Tryggvason Lanesskog
  • Ole Martin Westgaard
  • Ole-Andreas Krohn
  • Rune Majlund Dahl
  • Simen Mortensen
  • Tomi Railo
Cecilie Skaane ... (+15)
  • Cecilie Skaane
  • David Martinsson
  • Frank Maaø
  • Håkon Astrup
  • Joachim Gunell
  • Karl-Johan Bonnevier
  • Mats Bye
  • Mattias Holmberg
  • Niclas Gehin
  • Niklas Wetterling
  • Ole Martin Westgaard
  • Ole-Andreas Krohn
  • Patrik Ling
  • Rune Majlund Dahl
  • Simen Mortensen
Joachim Gunell
  • Joachim Gunell

Freja eID Group Planting the seeds for sales growth

Freja eID has built a strong platform and we are encouraged by early uptake metrics such as a 100k users expanding by 285% YOY and 252 relying parties showing 61% YOY growth. We also recognise that it still has a lot of work to do to demonstrate monetisation of the ecosystem, but Freja eID appears to have the right balance of user simplicity and capabilities. We forecast a 76% sales CAGR to 2023e and have lifted our fair value to SEK75–125 (50–100).

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Bullish Outlook Intact; Growth vs. Value Stalemate Continues Market dynamics remain positive and there continues to be an absence of breakdowns across the broad indexes and Sectors. As a result we remain bullish and we view any weakness as a buying opportunity. · S&P 500. The S&P 500 is currently testing short-term support in the 3630-3645 zone, which happens to coincide with a multi-week uptrend. If this area fails to hold, the next important support levels to watch would be 3588 foll...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Joachim Gunell
  • Joachim Gunell

Verisec Underlying KPIs signal traction

Freja eID is showing early platform success, and its decision to disclose the number of users (68k, with an additional backlog of 95k) is a positive signal to us. That said, until it proves that the eID platform can accelerate top-line growth, the stock should continue to lag. Having cut our 2020–2022 sales forecasts by 6%, we have arrived at a fair value of SEK50–100 (60–110).

Jesper Ingildsen ... (+5)
  • Jesper Ingildsen
  • Joachim Gunell
  • Jørgen Lian
  • Ole-Andreas Krohn
  • Simen Mortensen
Joachim Gunell
  • Joachim Gunell

Verisec Changing its stripes

Verisec continues to demonstrate early success in building its Freja eID ecosystem, which is set to benefit from continued digitalisation tailwinds accelerated by Covid-19 and an increasingly eID-focused organisation. However, we await further signs that it can successfully monetise its ecosystem into paying customers, and have thus cut our 2020–2022e sales by 24%, and our fair value to SEK60–110 (70–110).

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

S&P 500 Coiled Spring Our view remains bullish as long as the S&P 500 is above the 2940-2980 support zone and we suggest buying any dips. Additionally, 3076 is a short-term support level to watch on the S&P 500; if 3076 holds it would be further confirmation that the bulls are still in charge. · What Would Alter Our Bullish Outlook? Key support levels we are watching include the 2940-2980 zone on the S&P 500, 9500 on the Nasdaq 100 (or $231.50 on the QQQ), and $133 on the Russell 2000...

Frank Maaø ... (+6)
  • Frank Maaø
  • Joachim Gunell
  • Mats Bye
  • Nicolay Dyvik
  • Niklas Wetterling
  • Ole-Andreas Krohn
Joachim Gunell
  • Joachim Gunell

Verisec Going through changes

Verisec’s Q1 report was disappointing in our view, but we like that the divestment of non-core businesses lessens the financial risk and increases the margin and growth profile. We expect the stock to re-rate on greater Freja eID visibility in 2020, as we expect accelerated cloud security adoption driven by Covid-19. We have cut our fair value to SEK70–110 (80–120).

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Booster Shots: Attractive bottom-fishing stocks

For investors looking for bottom-fishing candidates; stocks that are breaking downtrends, exhibiting ascending reaction lows, and showing stabilizing relative strength.

W WAYFAIR INC.
DXCM DEXCOM INC.
SHOP SHOPIFY INC.
INCY INCYTE CORP
RGLD ROYAL GOLD INC
NEM NEWMONT CORPORATION
VEEV VEEVA SYSTEMS INC CLASS A
QRVO QORVO INC.
NUE NUCOR CORPORATION
NOW SERVICENOW INC.
MASI MASIMO CORPORATION
ZBRA ZEBRA TECHNOLOGIES CORPORATION CLASS A
TSCO TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY
TECH BIO-TECHNE CORPORATION
TEAM ATLASSIAN CORP. PLC CLASS A
SMG SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO COMPANY CLASS A
SFM SPROUTS FARMERS MARKETS INC.
RP REALPAGE INC.
ROK ROCKWELL AUTOMATION INC.
PZZA PAPA JOHN'S INTERNATIONAL INC.
PYPL PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC
PRLB PROTO LABS INC.
NERV MINERVA NEUROSCIENCES
MSCI MSCI INC. CLASS A
MPWR MONOLITHIC POWER SYSTEMS INC.
MOH MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC.
MNTA MOMENTA PHARMACEUTICALS INC.
MKTX MARKETAXESS HOLDINGS INC.
LMNX LUMINEX CORP
HZNP HORIZON THERAPEUTICS PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY
HALO HALOZYME THERAPEUTICS INC.
GFI GOLD FIELDS LTD. ADS
FFIV F5 NETWORKS INC.
ETSY ETSY INC.
ELMD ELECTROMED
EBS EMERGENT BIOSOLUTIONS INC.
EBAY EBAY INC.
CYTK CYTOKINETICS INCORPORATED
CTMX CYTOMX THERAPEUTICS INC.
CTLT CATALENT INC
CIEN CIENA CORPORATION
CHMA CHIASMA
CHGG CHEGG INC.
CDNA CAREDX INC
VPA1 AVEO PHARMACEUTICALS INC.
AUDC AUDIOCODES LTD.
AU ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI LTD. ADS
AKBA AKEBIA THERAPEUTICS INC.
AGI. ALAMOS GOLD INC.
ADVM ADVERUM BIOTECHNOLOGIES
AAWW ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS INC.
K. KINROSS GOLD CORPORATION
CCO. CAMECO CORPORATION
SWKS SKYWORKS SOLUTIONS INC.
MAG. MAG SILVER CORP.
AEM. AGNICO EAGLE MINES LIMITED
ELA ELAND OIL & GAS
FREJA VERISEC AB
BIO BIO-RAD LABORATORIES INC. CLASS A
EA ELECTRONIC ARTS INC.
LSCC LATTICE SEMICONDUCTOR CORPORATION
MRTN MARTEN TRANSPORT LTD.
ODFL OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE INC.
SAM BOSTON BEER COMPANY INC. CLASS A
TREX TREX COMPANY INC.
WERN WERNER ENTERPRISES INC.
MTSI MACOM TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS HOLDINGS INC.
WMK WEIS MARKETS INC.
RVP RETRACTABLE TECHNOLOGIES INC.
CC CHEMOURS CO.
FLWS 1-800-FLOWERS.COM CL A
X UNITED STATES STEEL CORPORATION
COUP COUPA SOFTWARE INC.
SNDX SYNDAX PHARMACEUTICALS
KNSL KINSALE CAPITAL GROUP INC.
CDXC CHROMADEX CORP
IRTC IRHYTHM TECHNOLOGIES INC.
SPGI S&P GLOBAL INC.
SSRM SSR MINING INC
SPRO SPERO THERAPEUTICS
SE SEA ADS
BAND BANDWIDTH CLASS A
SIGA SIGA TECHNOLOGIES INC.
SMAR SMARTSHEET
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC ADS
DOCU DOCUSIGN INC.
DUBA DRDGOLD LTD. ADS
SCPL SCIPLAY
AVTR AVANTOR INC.
VAPO VAPOTHERM
GNMSY GENMAB A/S
ADPT ADAPTIVE BIOTECHNOLOGIES CORP.
ZYXI ZYNEX
CGEN COMPUGEN LTD.
Joachim Gunell ... (+5)
  • Joachim Gunell
  • Karl-Johan Bonnevier
  • Ole-Andreas Krohn
  • Olof Larshammar
  • Patrik Ling
Joachim Gunell
  • Joachim Gunell

Verisec Freja eID momentum building up…

… as Covid-19 is forcing organisations to work remotely, resulting in a spike in demand for secure digital processes. Still, we are concerned about delayed sales cycles for its legacy security products, hence we have cut our 2020–2022e sales forecasts by ~10%, which cuts our fair value to SEK80–120 (100–140).

Christoffer Wang Bjørnsen ... (+14)
  • Christoffer Wang Bjørnsen
  • Eivind Sars Veddeng
  • Håkon Astrup
  • Joachim Gunell
  • Karl-Johan Bonnevier
  • Mattias Holmberg
  • Niclas Gehin
  • Nicolas McBeath
  • Niklas Wetterling
  • Ole Martin Westgaard
  • Ole-Andreas Krohn
  • Patrik Ling
  • Rune Majlund Dahl
  • Simen Mortensen
Joachim Gunell
  • Joachim Gunell

Verisec Freja eID launch – worth the wait

Quarterly volatility in the legacy business remains high, and while 2019 sales growth of 31% was a clear step forward, Q4 disappointed. With recent impressive ‘relying parties’ announcements, we expect Verisec’s Freja eID offering to become better reflected in the share price. We have lowered our fair value to SEK100–140 (110–150), but this still suggests an attractive investment opportunity in our view.

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