Lockheed Martin (LMT) has a long-term profitability tailwind from its multi-decade long F-35 sales cycle, plus growing demand from the U.S. and allies as the world becomes less safe. Uniform Accounting highlights the company's profitability improvements that the market is missing, indicating equity upside. Lockheed is the largest U.S. defense contractor, and it makes high value military equipment including missiles and aircraft like HIMARS and F-35s. Over the last several years, as contract tai...
In this Weekend Update, we summarize the four Congressional efforts to extend the Affordable Connectivity Program (ACP): - Two in the House (including a new one from the Republican side,) but where we think Speaker Johnson remains the primary obstacle, and - Two in the Senate, both of which involve spectrum as a funding mechanism, and where Senator Lujan’s effort has some bipartisan momentum but not likely enough to move forward to passage. - Meanwhile, the ISPs are deep into their post-ACP pl...
Four US companies issuing Euro notes recently reported 1Q24 earnings: IBM, Equinix, Verizon and AT&T. There were no large surprises. Even IBM's large acquisition did not come as a complete surprise, given previous commentary by its CFO. We continue to see most value in the notes of Equinix.
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
Since the companies announced a merger on April 30th, we have been asked whether it could lead to more C-band spectrum being released to carriers. We think the merger could result in 100MHz being released relatively soon. In this brief note, we touch on the implications for Intelsat and SES shareholders, as well as for T-Mobile, Verizon, AT&T, and Dish / EchoStar.
A director at Tidewater Inc sold 193,060 shares at 107.259USD and the significance rating of the trade was 69/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...
Last week began with hopes for a Senate markup of legislation that would provide, both, some short-term opportunities for reallocating spectrum for commercial wireless providers, and an extension of funding for the Affordable Connectivity Program (ACP). But the markup was pulled. In this update, we provide an analysis of what happened and what the implications are for the companies hoping for more funding or spectrum opportunities.
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
This week, we published a report and model exploring the economics of the AT&T / Gigapower JV. The analysis shows that the project will yield compelling returns for both AT&T and Blackrock. It also shows that the project would have to be at least 3X larger to have a material financial or strategic benefit to AT&T.
A director at Renaissancere Holdings Ltd sold 2,000 shares at 222.686USD and the significance rating of the trade was 57/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two ye...
We created a model to better understand the economics of Gigapower for both AT&T and Blackrock. Please use the model and give us your thoughts. The model clarifies the value of broadband assets generally. It also clarifies why we are likely to see similar JVs from Frontier, Lumen, and others. We will adapt this model for those instances in due course.
A director at Newell Brands Inc sold 50,000 shares at 8.040USD and the significance rating of the trade was 77/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearl...
Two Directors at Unum Group sold 12,500 shares at between 52.470USD and 52.610USD. The significance rating of the trade was 59/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last ...
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