GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales up wow; NDRC indicates support for ICE-cars. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao Glass and Desay SV. IT Hardware Blackwell production ramp accelerating; brace for another year of robust growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/HOLD/HK$83.85/Target: HK$90.00) ...
Service revenue slowed for the incumbents but stayed in the low-single digit band, with Softbank still ahead followed by NTT. Mobile divergence continues to play out with SB leading the pack and is likely to remain so in our view. Industry EBITDA improved as NTT inflected to growth and led to a strong EBIT beat this quarter.
Pelham Smithers reviews the FY24 Q3 performance of Rakuten which saw the firm move into the black, boosted by a +53% YoY increase in the Fintech business. The key question is whether the stock is likely to hit EV/adj OP of 15~16x within three years?
Rakuten reported mixed results as revenue and EBIT were slightly ahead of expectations, but net profit recorded a large miss. The company has redefined Mobile EBITDA to include ecosystem benefits which seems disingenuous to us when it is apparent it is unable to achieve breakeven within by the end of this year.
Softbank printed a strong beat across its revenue and net profit, ahead by 5% and 6% respectively. Consequently, management raised its FY24 guidance by roughly 2% for Revenue, EBITDA and Net profit while EBIT was raised by 5.6%.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls: Add Hansoh Pharma, Sands China, CSCEC and BYDE to our BUY list. Add Sinopharm to our SELL list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance in Oct 24: Our picks are NCKL, BBTN, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI, CMRY and ASII. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Gearing Up For The Reporting Season: Our Alpha Picks outperformed in Oct 24. Nov 24 picks: EcoWorld, Gamuda, Lagenda, MYEG, Pekat, RGB, RHB Bank, Top Glove, VSI and Yinson...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls Add Hansoh Pharma, Sands China, CSCEC and BYDE to our BUY list. Add Sinopharm to our SELL list. Sector Aviation – China Airlines: 3Q24 earnings a slight miss; expect losses in seasonally weak 4Q24. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Macau Gaming Oct 24 GGR up 7% yoy and...
ADVANC's net profit for 3Q24 came in at Bt8.8b, in line with our and market forecasts. Net profit increased yoy due to higher revenue and margin growth. Meanwhile, earnings was flat qoq, impacted by higher SG&A-to-sales. For its operations, mobile ARPU increased yoy, but was flat qoq due to the seasonal impact. EBITDA margin was stronger yoy due to to higher core service revenue from TTTBB’s contribution. We maintain BUY with a target price of Bt310.00
KDDI today announced an increase in their share buyback from ¥300-¥400bn this year. On the call, the company indicated that this pace could be maintained at least for next year suggesting a structural increase in share buybacks. Thoughts below.
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in October 2024. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the Top/Bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on d...
KDDI’s results were okay in Q2 as it was pegged against a tougher comparable. Topline remained ahead of expectations while EBIT was slightly behind YTD though we believe it is likely to improve on the back of DX, synergies from Lawson, mobile and declining roaming losses from Rakuten
TRUE reported a net loss of Bt810m for 3Q24. The net loss was lower yoy and qoq. Core profit remained strong at Bt2.3b, skyrocketing 295% yoy and 19% qoq due to better core operations. Service revenue increased 5% yoy and was flat qoq, mainly supported by the FBB, digital, and mobile businesses. ARPU’s outlook also improved for the mobile and FBB businesses. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of Bt14.50.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Delta Electronics (DELTA TB/HOLD/B136.50/Target: Bt128.00) 3Q24: Earnings beat estimates due to robust gross margin. True Corporation (TRUE TB/BUY/Bt12.10/Target: Bt14.50) 3Q24: Results above our and consensus estimates; expect smaller loss in 4Q24.
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet: Key takeaways from marketing trip. Results ENN Energy Holdings (2688 HK/HOLD/HK$57.90/Target: HK$58.40): 3Q24 operational data: Largely in line with guidance; 9M24 retail gas sales up 4.8% yoy. Great Wall Motor (2333 HK/BUY/HK$14.38/Target: HK$23.00): 3Q24: Earnings in line with estimates. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$23.00. Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial & Commercial (600872 CH/BUY/Rmb23.87/Target: Rmb28.40): 3Q24: Channel adjustment is bearing fruit; expect revenue ...
TRUE's core profit for 3Q24 is projected to soar 295% yoy and 19% qoq, underpinned by better cost control, resulting in higher gross profit margin and lower SG&A-to-sales. Revenue from the mobile business should be flat both yoy and qoq due to fewer prepaid subscribers, as a result of the impact of the flood and rainy season. However, ARPU of both mobile and FBB continues to see a positive trend. Re-initiate coverage with BUY and a target price of Bt13.00.
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