AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 06/06/2025

Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; Target price of C$0.35 per share: On track for first gas in 1Q26 – 1Q25 production of 988 boe/d had been previously reported. Criterium held ~C$1.6 mm in cash at the end of 1Q25. The company has reduced its accounts payable by ~C$3.5 mm while inventory + amounts receivable were flat vs. YE24. Operations are expected to commence at North MGH in June. Four wells were shut-in in 2014 due to high GOR. Criterium is looking to re-open some of the wells in the area. No resou...

Criterium Energy Ltd (TSX-V: CEQ): On track for first gas in 1Q26

Energy Morning - 2 June 2025

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 23/05/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Adding four low risk drill-ready shallow gas prospects to start drilling by YE25 – ADX has now matured 13 shallow gas prospects across the ADX-AT-I and ADX-AT-II licence areas in Austria. The play is proven, supported by historical discoveries within the basin. Nearby historical discoveries in the area have produced 220 bcf to date. The prospects benefit from AVO anomalies, enhanc...

Panoro Energy ASA (OSE: PEN): Potential resources addition in EG, redu...

• 1Q25 production of ~12 mbbl/d and net debt at the end of March had been previously disclosed. • The company has reaffirmed its FY25 production guidance of 11–13 mbbl/d but has raised its expected capex for 2025 from US$35 mm to US$40 mm. This increase reflects additional spending to appraise the Bourdon discovery. • Panoro has initiated an audit of 112 mmboe WI 2C resources on Block EG-23, offshore Equatorial Guinea, in 50–100 metres of water depth. Some of these resources, estimated by the M...

Energy Morning - 21 May 2025

Q1: Limited liftings, distributions as expected

ADX Energy (ASX: ADX): Adding four low risk drill-ready shallow gas pr...

• ADX has now matured 13 shallow gas prospects across the ADX-AT-I and ADX-AT-II licence areas in Austria. The play is proven, supported by historical discoveries within the basin. Nearby historical discoveries in the area have produced 220 bcf to date. • The prospects benefit from AVO anomalies, enhancing confidence in their potential. Four of these prospects, with a best-case recoverable resource estimate of 16.1 bcf, are drill-ready. ADX holds a 100% interest and is currently in discussions w...

Energy Morning - 19 May 2025

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 16/05/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Chariot (CHAR LN)C: Recovering 75% WI of licences in Morocco – Energean has returned its Moroccan offshore interests to Chariot. As a result, Chariot now holds 75% in the Lixus Offshore and Rissana Offshore licences. Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.90 per share: Acquiring a LNG facility for Kazakhstan to deliver first LNG sale in 2Q26 – 1Q25 production in Uzbekistan was 11,179 boe/d (+6% vs. production in 4Q24). Condor ...

Criterium Energy Ltd (TSX-V: CEQ): Stepping on the gas

• The staged development of gas discoveries at Tungkal is the primary driver of near-term growth. Assuming flat oil production, bringing just two gas discoveries online could enable Criterium to triple output to ~3 mboe/d and triple 2P reserves by early 2027 • The first discovery to be developed, SE MGH (15 bcf 2C resources), is expected to see resource conversion to reserves in 2025. In early 3Q25, the existing well—previously tested at 8 mmcf/d—will be re-tested, with initial production of 5-...

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 09/05/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; Target price of NOK49 per share: ~12 mbbl/d in 1Q25. Re-iterating FY25 guidance – 1Q25 production was ~12 mbbl/d, including 6,841 bbl/d in Gabon, 3,661 bbl/d in Equatorial Guinea and 1,492 bbl/d in Tunisia. Production in Gabon and Equatorial Guinea was previously reported by BW Energy and Kosmos Energy. Equatorial Guinea output was temporarily impacted by unplanned downtime at the Ceiba Cluster, but operations ...

Panoro Energy Minor model adjustments

We have updated our estimates, owing to the Q1 operations and trading update. We do not consider these changes to be material, and we have not changed our BUY recommendation. We reiterate our NOK38 target price.

Panoro Energy ASA (OSE: PEN): ~12 mbbl/d in 1Q25. Re-iterating FY25 gu...

• 1Q25 production was ~12 mbbl/d, including 6,841 bbl/d in Gabon, 3,661 bbl/d in Equatorial Guinea and 1,492 bbl/d in Tunisia. • Production in Gabon and Equatorial Guinea was previously reported by BW Energy and Kosmos Energy. Equatorial Guinea output was temporarily impacted by unplanned downtime at the Ceiba Cluster, but operations are now back online. We project ~3,800 bbl/d WI production in Equatorial Guinea over 2Q-4Q25. • Output in Tunisia has increased compared to 4Q24 (1,467 bbl/d) foll...

Energy Morning - 7 May 2025

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector.

Targets higher oil production at Maromba

Weekly news, topics & discussion

This week, Equinor reported Q1 results in line with expectations. However, we continue to see valuation downside due to Empire Wind risks and a likely sharp YOY drop in 2026e buybacks. OKEA also reported in-line Q1 results. In other news, Equinor announced it agreed to sell its 60% Peregrino stake at a solid price, although we believe the proceeds would have to support near-term shareholder returns to drive a positive share price reaction.

ADX Energy (ASX: ADX): Readying-up the portfolio to return to drilling...

• 1Q25 net production was 246 boe/d. This is in line with our expectations. ADX held A$6.7 mm in cash at the end of March. • ADX is prioritizing production growth in Austria, with plans to advance up to 12 shallow gas prospects across ADX-AT-I and ADX-AT-II where it has varied its exploration acreage to maximise exposure to the proven gas play. The company aims to secure a partner for the first cluster of three prospects in 3Q25, with two of these wells potentially being drilled in 4Q25. • These...

Panoro Energy ASA: 1 director

A director at Panoro Energy ASA maiden bought 25,000 shares at 23.150NOK and the significance rating of the trade was 70/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two ye...