GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Tariffs curtail US rate cuts, thereby hindering the recovery of Hong Kong property and tourism; Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China property. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25 Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Update Pekat Group (PEKAT MK/BUY/RM1.08/Target: RM1.45) Good earnings visibility over 2025...
The selloff driven by the US’ unprecedented and perplexing tariff plans has liberated many investors of profits this year. Given the fluidity of market conditions, we highlight a number of domestic-focused stocks such as CENT, CD, DFI, HLA, PANU, PROP, RFMD, SSG and SIE as well as Singapore-focused REITS such as CDLHT, FEHT, FCT, KREIT, LREIT and PREIT. In addition, the MAS’ equity market review should inject much needed liquidity in 2H25. We lower our STI target to 3,720 (previously 4,115).
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Monetisation potential and trends of AI agent from the launch of Manus AI. Results CMOC (3993 HK/BUY/HK$6.72/Target: HK$8.70) 2024: Above expectations; copper output up 55% yoy to 650,161 tonnes. COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK/BUY/HK$12.58/Target: HK$11.62) 2024: Results in line; more volatile business environment in 2025 but limited valuation ...
GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation Airlines: The three major airlines’ 2024 preliminary earnings estimates were below expectations – still loss-making. Healthcare TCM: GPO price pressure continues to cloud 2025’s growth outlook. Consumer CNY preview: Expect home appli...
GREATER CHINA Economics Trade Export Growth Rebounded; Rush Order Ahead Of Tariffs? Sector Education Key growth themes in 2025 upon policy clarity and AI integration progress. Property Sales pull back mom before Chinese New Year; updates of 2024 op...
Today, we are publishing the Industrial section our 25th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. Industrial semi revenues were again below seasonality in 3Q24, and most companies have guided for a further decline in 4Q24. Visibility on a 2025 recovery remains limited, although Analog Devices remains p...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly Stronger order visibility into 2025, reiterate BUY on Crystal International and raise target price to HK$5.12. INDONESIA Results Indofood Sukses Makmur (INDF IJ/BUY/Rp7,875/Target: Rp12,000) 3Q24: Ahead of consensus expectation – driven by IFAR. Indofood CBP (ICBP IJ/BUY/Rp12,450/Target: Rp15,000) 3Q24: Strong volume growth; core NPAT in line wit...
GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation Deflationary pressures rising. Sector Construction Building on the positive development of macroeconomic policies in 2H24-2025. Internet 2Q24 results wrap-up: Overall earnings beat; 2H24 outlook remains promising. INDONESIA Small...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales rebound by 10% yoy, beating estimates. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Desay SV. Top SELL: XPeng. INDONESIA Update Pertamina Geothermal Energy (PGEO IJ/BUY/Rp1,130/Target: Rp1,400) Additional capacity of 55MW by Dec 24. Upgrade to BUY with target price unchanged. MALAYSIA Initiate Coverage 99 Speed Mart Retail (99SMART MK/BUY/RM1.65/Target: RM2.00) ...
After Powell’s Jackson Hole speech on 23 August, we see a turning point starting with a US Fed rate cut in Sep 24 and lower rates heading into 2025. In the Singapore market, REITs and the property sector should benefit, as should highly-geared companies and those looking to recycle capital. Our current forecasts have incorporated lower NIMs for banks which we believe are protected by their high dividend yields.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: EV sales pull back last week. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Tuopu and Joyson Electronics. Top SELLs: XPeng. Internet Strategic revamp to foster re-accelerating growth and shareholders’ return. INDONESIA Update Bank Tabungan Negara (BBTN IJ/BUY/Rp1,240/Target: Rp1,700) ...
During the Dragon Boat Festival holiday, consumer services, experiential spending (eg tourism) and lower-tier cities continued to lead the growth. For China’s consumer sector, we keep Anta, CTGDF, Haidilao, Haier and Shenzhou as our most preferred stocks. At the same time, we add Miniso but remove CR Beer and Midea from the stock picks. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China’s consumer sector.
What’s New: In this first take following tonight’s results, we touch on: 1. 1Q24 roughly in-line, but 2Q24 and 2024 guidance lower 2. Tinder trough deepens, but still on track for 3Q24 sequential payer growth 3. Hinge growth in line with guidance: RPP better than expected, payers a little light 4. Adjusted OI margins solid, but higher GAAP items called out 5. Share buyback target moved to 75% of FCF from prior 50% target
Ahead of Tuesday PM’s earnings report, we review key controversies for MTCH, including: 1. Tinder payers: the moment of truth approaches 2. The path to $1 billion in revenue for Hinge 3. Will MTCH outspend the 50% of FCF target for share buybacks again in 2024? We also review what to look for in the investor letter and listen for on the earnings call, our top questions for management, and potential positive and negative catalysts for MTCH.
Artificial intelligence (AI) is a double-edged sword in cybersecurity. Whilst new AI models, architectures, and innovations are emerging to protect the security posture of organisations, attackers are also benefiting from deepfakes, sophisticated phishing, and automation of malicious codes. To ensure the impact of AI on cybersecurity to be a net-positive, we need to pit good AI against bad AI. Point solutions enhanced with machine learning: Global cybersecurity has been built with point soluti...
The Great Correction of 2022 saw the share prices of streamers plunge after market leader Netflix reported a slowdown/fall in subscriber growth. Having formerly been seduced by hectic subscriber growth rates, investors quickly refocused, this time on fundamental metrics such as revenue, margins, profits and cashflow. Since then, streamers have continued to take a steadily greater share of viewing while linear TV continues to decline. But growth in streaming subscribers in the US and UK is now a ...
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