reports
- Dan Salmon
The Match Group (MTCH, Neutral, $31 target) New Tinder MAU headwind, H...
What’s New: Yesterday, we met with CEO Spencer Rascoff to discuss his broader strategy for turning around MTCH. The highlights included: 1. New Tinder MAU headwind in India, but with goal of better male-female balance 2. Monetization team not the focus of early moves at Tinder 3. HER acquisition will be followed by more; BMBL would be hard, not off the table
- Dan Salmon
Match Group Inc: 1 director
A director at Match Group Inc bought 70,885 shares at 28.049USD and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clea...
- Dan Salmon
The Match Group (MTCH, Neutral, $31 target) A battle between short-ter...
What’s New: We felt the most important issues from today's results were: 1. Resetting the long-term cost structure after a 13% RIF and 20% fewer managers 2. No big surprises in payer/revenue trends: Tinder ALC weakening, as expected 3. Capital return above 100% of FCF target and we think possible for 2025 full year
- Dan Salmon
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Chong Lee Len
- Damon Shen
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Jieqi Liu
- Johnny Yum
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Singapore Research Team
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Wei Xiang Ku
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, April 08, 2025
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Tariffs curtail US rate cuts, thereby hindering the recovery of Hong Kong property and tourism; Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China property. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25 Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Update Pekat Group (PEKAT MK/BUY/RM1.08/Target: RM1.45) Good earnings visibility over 2025...
FR FIRST INDUSTRIAL REALTY TRUST INC.
AES AES CORPORATION
OU8 CENTURION
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
CC3 STARHUB LTD
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
S63 SINGAPORE TECHNOLOGIES ENGINEERING LTD
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
C09 CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED
S68 SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LTD.
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
F34 WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
GFPT GFPT
00014 HYSAN DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
PTTEP PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PLC
Y92 THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
AP4 RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
ICBP PT INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR TBK
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
MIKA MITRA KELUARGA KARYASEHAT
01997 WHARF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CO. LTD.
SE SEA ADS
SATS SP SATS LTD.
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
NETLINK NETLINK NBN TRUST
SIE SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD
BAL BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
SPOST SINGAPORE POST LTD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
FHT FRASERS HOSPITALITY TRUST
PMAH PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDIN
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
RFMD RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
RSTON RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
HMN ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
SE US SEA LIMITED
BUKA BUKALAPAK.COM PT TBK
CVL CIVMEC
9CI CAPITALAND INVESTMENT LTD
EXCL XL AXIATA TBK PT
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
BCOW 1895 BANCORP OF WISCONSIN INC
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
ITC I-TAIL CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
DCRU DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
STM SEATRIUM LTD
EPIC 1CM INC
Z29 029 GROUP SE
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
PAN SP PAN-UNITED CORPORATION (PAN SP)
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Singapore Research Team
Singapore Market Strategy - Turbulence To Continue – Stay With Domesti...
The selloff driven by the US’ unprecedented and perplexing tariff plans has liberated many investors of profits this year. Given the fluidity of market conditions, we highlight a number of domestic-focused stocks such as CENT, CD, DFI, HLA, PANU, PROP, RFMD, SSG and SIE as well as Singapore-focused REITS such as CDLHT, FEHT, FCT, KREIT, LREIT and PREIT. In addition, the MAS’ equity market review should inject much needed liquidity in 2H25. We lower our STI target to 3,720 (previously 4,115).
AES AES CORPORATION
OU8 CENTURION
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
CC3 STARHUB LTD
S63 SINGAPORE TECHNOLOGIES ENGINEERING LTD
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
C09 CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED
S68 SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LTD.
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
F34 WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
Y92 THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
AP4 RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
SE SEA ADS
SATS SP SATS LTD.
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
NETLINK NETLINK NBN TRUST
SIE SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD
BAL BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
SPOST SINGAPORE POST LTD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
FHT FRASERS HOSPITALITY TRUST
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
RFMD RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
RSTON RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
HMN ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
SE US SEA LIMITED
CVL CIVMEC
9CI CAPITALAND INVESTMENT LTD
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
BCOW 1895 BANCORP OF WISCONSIN INC
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
DCRU DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
STM SEATRIUM LTD
EPIC 1CM INC
Z29 029 GROUP SE
PAN SP PAN-UNITED CORPORATION (PAN SP)
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Gigi Cheuk
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kate Luang
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Lester Siew
- Ming San Soong
- Paula Ruth
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Sunny Chen
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, March 25, 2025
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Monetisation potential and trends of AI agent from the launch of Manus AI. Results CMOC (3993 HK/BUY/HK$6.72/Target: HK$8.70) 2024: Above expectations; copper output up 55% yoy to 650,161 tonnes. COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK/BUY/HK$12.58/Target: HK$11.62) 2024: Results in line; more volatile business environment in 2025 but limited valuation ...
2488 ALLIANCE BANK MALAYSIA BHD.
1295 PUBLIC BANK BHD
3993 CHINA MOLYBDENUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
TISCO TISCO FINANCIAL GROUP
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
2899 ZIJIN MINING GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
COSCO SHIPPING HOLDINGS CO. LTD. CLASS H
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
HLFG HONG LEONG FINANCIAL GROUP
IOI IOI CORP BHD
AMM AMMB HOLDINGS BHD
HLBK HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
ABANK AFFIN BANK BHD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
1888 KINGBOARD LAMINATES HOLDINGS LTD
09888 BAIDU INC
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
BIMB BANK ISLAM MALAYSIA BHD
EPIC 1CM INC
Z29 029 GROUP SE
MAYBANK MALAYAN BANKING BHD
HUIZ HUIZE HOLDING LIMITED
- Dan Salmon
- Dan Salmon
Match Group (MTCH, Neutral, $34 target) First Take: BK out as 1Q25 gui...
What's New: In this first take following tonight’s results, we focus on: 1. BK out, Spencer Rascoff in as Tinder turnaround remains stagnant 2. Tinder MAU trends stable but still negative (Hinge was up 20% however) 3. 1Q25 revenue/AOI guidance below consensus, look for heavier Tinder marketing
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Jonathan Koh
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Ming San Soong
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Sunny Chen
- Wei Xiang Ku
Regional Morning Notes - Monday, January 27, 2025
GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation Airlines: The three major airlines’ 2024 preliminary earnings estimates were below expectations – still loss-making. Healthcare TCM: GPO price pressure continues to cloud 2025’s growth outlook. Consumer CNY preview: Expect home appli...
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
600132 CHONGQING BREWERY CO.LTD CLASS A
000858 WULIANGYE YIBIN CO. LTD. CLASS A
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
02331 LI NING COMPANY LIMITED
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
600519 KWEICHOW MOUTAI CO. LTD. CLASS A
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
600872 JONJEE HI-TECH INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HOLDING CO. LTD. CLASS A
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
5162 VSTECS
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
603288 FOSHAN HAITIAN FLAVOURING & FOOD CO. LTD. CLASS A
0168 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO. LTD. CLASS H
AD2 AIR CHINA LIMITED CLASS H
1055 CHINA SOUTHERN AIRLINES COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
0670 CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS H
06862 HAIDILAO INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
CAB CARLSBERG BREWERY MALAYSIA B
CPALL TB CP ALL
2877 CHINA SHINEWAY PHARMACEUTICA
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
1368 XTEP INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
6186 CHINA FEIHE LTD
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
2209 YESASIA HOLDINGS LTD
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
09922 JIUMAOJIU INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LTD.
09888 BAIDU INC
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
EPIC 1CM INC
Z29 029 GROUP SE
VST VSTECS BHD
- Arsit Pamaranont
- Damon Shen
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jieqi Liu
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kong Ho Meng
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Ming San Soong
- Stevanus Juanda
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Tham Mun Hon
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, January 14, 2025
GREATER CHINA Economics Trade Export Growth Rebounded; Rush Order Ahead Of Tariffs? Sector Education Key growth themes in 2025 upon policy clarity and AI integration progress. Property Sales pull back mom before Chinese New Year; updates of 2024 op...
N1U NEW ORIENTAL EDUCATION & TECHNOLOGY GROUP INC. SPONSORED ADR
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
S68 SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LTD.
EGCO ELECTRICITY GENERATING PUBLIC CO. LTD.
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
3816 MISC BHD
GENM GENTING MALAYSIA BHD
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
0181942Z AGFA HEALTHCARE CORP
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
EPIC 1CM INC
Z29 029 GROUP SE
1797 EAST BUY HOLDING LIMITED
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Bible 3Q24 – Industrials: Bouncing Along the Bottom; Glimpses of a 20...
Today, we are publishing the Industrial section our 25th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. Industrial semi revenues were again below seasonality in 3Q24, and most companies have guided for a further decline in 4Q24. Visibility on a 2025 recovery remains limited, although Analog Devices remains p...
- Dan Salmon
Match Group (MTCH, Neutral, $34 target) Downgrade to Neutral on lower...
We are lowering our rating on MTCH to Neutral from Buy following last week’s Investor Day. Our model now reflects management’s detailed guidance, resulting in lower estimates, and we also lower our target valuation, leading to new target of $34 vs $48 previously.
- Dan Salmon
Match Group (MTCH, Buy, $52 target) 3Q24 Model Update
We continue to see a positive risk-reward for the stock, anchored by strong margins and FCF generation, with share buybacks protecting downside ~$30 and the potential for strategic alternatives to unlock value if Tinder cannot grow MAUs and payers consistently.
- Dan Salmon
Match Group (MTCH, Buy, $54 target) MTCH First Take: Positioning for a...
What's New: In this first take following tonight’s results, we focus on: 1. Tinder a la carte (ALC) rollout delayed, clouding outlook for the flagship app 2. Tinder MAU trends under more pressure since mid-Sept: back to school hangover? 3. Are new segment profit disclosures a precursor to “exploring strategic alternatives?” 4. What does all of this imply for the Investor Day? And the CFO transition? 5. What to do with the stock
- Arsit Pamaranont
- Chong Lee Len
- Gigi Cheuk
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jonathan Koh
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Kate Luang
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Nurul Nazira Binti Abdullah
- Philip Wong
- Stevanus Juanda
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, November 06, 2024
GREATER CHINA Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly Stronger order visibility into 2025, reiterate BUY on Crystal International and raise target price to HK$5.12. INDONESIA Results Indofood Sukses Makmur (INDF IJ/BUY/Rp7,875/Target: Rp12,000) 3Q24: Ahead of consensus expectation – driven by IFAR. Indofood CBP (ICBP IJ/BUY/Rp12,450/Target: Rp15,000) 3Q24: Strong volume growth; core NPAT in line wit...
IRPC IRPC PUBLIC CO. LTD.
F34 WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
VST HOLDINGS LTD.
ICBP PT INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR TBK
NETLINK NETLINK NBN TRUST
FNH FRASER & NEAVE HOLDINGS BHD
MSGB MAH SING GROUP BHD
ECW INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
SPSB ECO WORLD DEVELOPMENT GROUP
SWB SP SETIA BHD
TXG SUNWAY BHD
UEMS 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
321 UEM SUNRISE BHD
CICT TEXWINCA HOLDINGS LTD
MCH CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
123F MATRIX CONCEPTS HOLDINGS BHD
ITC 123FAHRSCHULE SE
2232 I-TAIL CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
EPIC CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP LTD
IOIPG 1CM INC
LAGENDA IOI PROPERTIES GROUP BHD
LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
- Dan Salmon
Match Group (MTCH, Buy, $54 target) Quick Thoughts Ahead of the Print
Ahead of Wednesday’s PM’s earnings report and Thursday’s AM’s call, we review what to look for in the shareholder letter, listen for on the call, our top questions for management, potential positive and negative catalysts, and key debates, controversies, and popular topics of late, specifically: 1. Can Tinder payers return to year-over-year growth in 4Q24? 2. If so, how much payer growth is being driven by ALC only buyers vs subscribers? 3. Details on the refreshed a la carte offering 4. How lon...
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