reports
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy
Stick With Global Technology; China Breaking Out We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int'l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment. We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 and $125-$126. Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 4+ month uptrend continues on ACWI...
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Semicap and the $3tn AI bull-case: material upside, but well below the...
We published earlier this week our updated view on the Semicap rally, looking at the implication of AI spending tripling by 2030 for WFE spending. Today, we publish a follow-up looking at the implications of the $3tn AI bull case for Semicap on a single slide.
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Japan Market Strategy: Market Implications from Takaichi's Suprise...
The Japanese stock market’s take on the surprise victory of Sanae Takaichi in the LDP Presidential race suggested that it wasn’t so much a repeat of the “Koizumi Boom” from 20 years ago, but rather a brand new “Takaichi Boom”, and we saw the Nikkei 225 jump +4.8% to just under 48,000. Pelham Smithers compares and contrasts the impact and flags “Takaichi Stocks”. Importantly, market valuations suggest further upside.
6702 FUJITSU LIMITED
5631 JAPAN STEEL WORKS LTD.
7013 IHI CORPORATION
1812 KAJIMA CORPORATION
7012 KAWASAKI HEAVY INDUSTRIES LTD.
6920 LASERTEC CORP.
7011 MITSUBISHI HEAVY INDUSTRIES LTD.
6701 NEC CORP.
1801 TAISEI CORP
6857 ADVANTEST CORP.
8035 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
6506 YASKAWA ELECTRIC CORPORATION
6526 SOCIONEXT INC
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Does the Semicap rally have legs? Downgrading ASML to Neutral
The outlook for AI spending has strengthened in recent months, driving a rally in Semicap stocks. Our forecast embeds AI capex tripling by 2030, requiring ~$130bn of cumulative WFE spending, but driven by the first-order derivative of AI deployments, i.e. peak acceleration this year and peak spending next year; a trajectory in expectations already and resulting in a weak outlook beyond 2026. With near-term uncertainty, limited upside to 2026 forecasts, and valuations 2–12 turns above historic ...
Advantest to Showcase Latest Test Solutions at SEMICON West 2025 in Ph...
Advantest to Showcase Latest Test Solutions at SEMICON West 2025 in Phoenix, Ariz. TOKYO, Oct. 06, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Leading semiconductor test equipment supplier Advantest Corporation (TSE: 6857) will feature its latest semiconductor test solutions at SEMICON West 2025, which will be held from Oct. 7-9 at the Phoenix Convention Center in Phoenix, Ariz. Advantest will highlight its broad portfolio of leading-edge test technologies for applications, including AI and high-performance computing (HPC), 6G, automotive and memory. Additionally, the company is a proud sponsor of this yea...
Advantest Pioneers a New Era of AI-Powered Semiconductor Testing
Advantest Pioneers a New Era of AI-Powered Semiconductor Testing Test Leader Taps the Power of NVIDIA’s Machine Learning Technology SAN JOSE, Calif., Oct. 06, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Advantest America, a leader in semiconductor test solutions, today announced it is reinventing semiconductor testing with the power of real-time artificial intelligence (AI). Advantest is combining advanced machine learning (ML) from NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) with the (ACS RTDI™) to drive a shift from traditional test workflows to adaptive AI-driven systems. NVIDIA has selected ACS RTDI for high-volume produ...
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Strategy: Japan Stock Market Quarterly for 2025 Q4
For almost three years the Nikkei 225 has been tracking its performance from the 2003~5 bull market, albeit at levels some 3.3x higher In this report, Pelham Smithers discusses the similarities and asks three key questions: (1) Can we continue to track 2005 through the rest of the year; (2) Whatever happens in Q4, should we fear or be hopeful for 2026? And (3) Who are the upcoming winners and losers.
4689 Z HOLDINGS CORPORATION
7751 CANON INC.
6952 CASIO COMPUTER CO. LTD.
4519 CHUGAI PHARMACEUTICAL CO. LTD.
7762 CITIZEN WATCH CO LTD.
4751 CYBERAGENT INC.
4755 RAKUTEN INC.
9433 KDDI CORPORATION
5803 FUJIKURA LTD
4902 KONICA MINOLTA INC.
6752 PANASONIC CORPORATION
7752 RICOH COMPANY LTD.
6869 SYSMEX CORPORATION
5423 TOKYO STEEL MANUFACTURING CO. LTD.
8729 SONY FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INC.
7267 HONDA MOTOR CO. LTD.
7202 ISUZU MOTORS LIMITED
9616 KYORITSU MAINTENANCE CO. LTD.
6981 MURATA MANUFACTURING CO. LTD.
6723 RENESAS ELECTRONICS CORPORATION
7974 NINTENDO CO. LTD.
6701 NEC CORP.
6594 NIDEC CORPORATION
7731 NIKON CORP.
2371 KAKAKU.COM INC.
6963 ROHM CO. LTD.
6753 SHARP CORPORATION
6762 TDK CORPORATION
4502 TAKEDA PHARMACEUTICAL CO. LTD.
6857 ADVANTEST CORP.
6976 TAIYO YUDEN CO. LTD.
4186 TOKYO OHKA KOGYO CO. LTD.
8035 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
7261 MAZDA MOTOR CORP.
3774 INTERNET INITIATIVE JAPAN
3697 SHIFT
6857 JP ADVANEST
6460 JP SEGA SAMMY
4385 MERCARI INC.
36350 KOEI TECMO
45870 PEPTIDREAM INC
3491 JT GA TECHNOLOGIES
3630 JT DENSAN SYSTEM CO LTD (3630 JT)
4194 VISIONAL
4483 JMDC
WOLF WOLFSPEED INC
TSE: 2980 SRE HOLDINGS CORP
AST VISIONAL INC
5032 JT ASTREE CIE ASSURANCE & REASSURANCE
5253 JT ANYCOLOR INC
9616 JT COVER CORPORATION (5253 JT)
8473 JT KYORITSU MAINTENANCE (9616 JT)
215A SBI HOLDINGS [STRATEGIC BUSINESS INNOVATOR GROUP] (8473 JT)
285A JT TIMEE INC
KIOXIA CORPORATION (285A JT)
Advantest Launches Power Optimization Solution to Enhance Energy Effic...
Advantest Launches Power Optimization Solution to Enhance Energy Efficiency and Sustainability in Semiconductor Testing APOS Expands Smart TestCell Ecosystem for V93000 SoC Test Platform TOKYO, Sept. 30, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Leading semiconductor test equipment supplier (TSE: 6857) today launched its new Advantest Power Optimization Solution (APOS) for the V93000 system-on-chip (SoC) test platform. Designed to improve energy efficiency without compromising performance, the APOS software enables foundries and outsourced semiconductor assembly and test (OSAT) providers to achieve the...
Advantest to Highlight Latest Test Solutions at International Test Con...
Advantest to Highlight Latest Test Solutions at International Test Conference 2025 in San Diego, Calif. TOKYO, Sept. 19, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Leading semiconductor test equipment supplier Advantest Corporation (TSE: 6857) will feature its leading-edge IC test solutions at the 2025 International Test Conference, which will be held from Sept. 21-26 at the Hilton San Diego Bayfront, in San Diego, Calif. Advantest will highlight its broad portfolio of leading-edge test technologies for applications, including AI and high-performance computing (HPC), 5G, and automotive. Advantest is a prou...
Advantest Expands 7038 System-Level Test Platform with Right-Sized Sin...
Advantest Expands 7038 System-Level Test Platform with Right-Sized Single Test Rack Solution for High-Volume Manufacturing New liquid-cooling enabled system delivers affordable, high-density SLT and burn-in test for high-demand, lower-volume HPC, AI, and automotive devices TOKYO, Sept. 18, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Leading semiconductor test equipment supplier (TSE: 6857) today announced its 7038 Single Test Rack (STR) system-level test (SLT) and burn-in test (BI) solution. The 7038 STR extends the company’s proven 7038 SLT platform with a lower-cost architecture optimized for slot-base...
Advantest Introduces Advanced Mask CD-SEM “E3660”
Advantest Introduces Advanced Mask CD-SEM “E3660” 2nm Node-Ready System with Enhanced Reproducibility, Throughput, and Curvilinear Pattern Measurement TOKYO, Sept. 09, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Leading semiconductor test equipment supplier (TSE: 6857) today announced the release of its next-generation CD-SEM* E3660, engineered for the dimensional metrology of photomasks and EUV masks used in cutting-edge semiconductor manufacturing. Compared to the previous generation’s , the E3660 delivers more than a 20% improvement in CD reproducibility, enabling process engineers to meet the stringe...
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Bible 2Q25 – Semicap: Cautious view justified; expectations at risk fo...
Today, we are publishing the Semicap section of our 28th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Hyperscale & Cloud, PCs, Enterprise IT and Foundry. 2Q25 semicap revenues up 2% QoQ, 2% above consensus. China up 19% after a 17% decline in 1Q, with manufac...
Advantest to Present Latest Test Solutions at SEMICON Taiwan 2025
Advantest to Present Latest Test Solutions at SEMICON Taiwan 2025 TOKYO, Sept. 04, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Leading semiconductor test equipment supplier (TSE: 6857) will present its latest test solutions at SEMICON Taiwan 2025 on Sept. 10-12 at the TaiNEX 1 & 2 in Taipei. At this year’s SEMICON Taiwan, Advantest will present innovative, sustainable test technology guided by its new corporate vision, “Be the most trusted and valued test solution company in the semiconductor value chain.” Moreover, Advantest’s Taiwanese subsidiary will commemorate its 30th anniversary, celebrating decades...
Advantest to Showcase IC Test Solutions at SEMICON India 2025, Sept. 2...
Advantest to Showcase IC Test Solutions at SEMICON India 2025, Sept. 2-4 in New Delhi TOKYO, Japan, Sept. 01, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Leading semiconductor test equipment supplier Advantest Corporation (TSE: 6857) will feature its leading-edge IC test solutions at SEMICON India 2025, which will be held from Sept. 2-4 at the Yashobhoomi India International Convention and Expo Centre in New Delhi. Advantest will highlight its broad portfolio of leading-edge test technologies for applications, including AI and high-performance computing (HPC), 5G, automotive and advanced memory. Product ...
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Bible 2Q25 – Memory: margins of conventional DRAM to expand as HBM gro...
Today, we are publishing the Memory section of our 28th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Automotive, Hyperscale & Cloud, Telecom Equipment, PCs, Enterprise IT, Foundry and Semicap Equipment. DRAM COGS up 25% YoY and 21% QoQ, driven by seasonality,...
- Pelham Smithers
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Advantest will Showcase Latest Memory Test Solutions at Future of Memo...
Advantest will Showcase Latest Memory Test Solutions at Future of Memory and Storage 2025 TOKYO, Aug. 04, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Leading semiconductor test equipment supplier Advantest Corporation (TSE: 6857) will showcase its latest memory test systems and solutions at the Future of Memory and Storage 2025 (formerly known as Flash Memory Summit) on Aug. 5-7 at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, California. Advantest is a gold sponsor of the event. Product HighlightsAdvantest’s booth #634 will be in Hall B of the convention center. The company will feature its end-to...
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