The fifth ODDO BHF Iberian Forum was held virtually, gathering 62 Iberian issuers and close to 200 institutional investors, making it one of the largest dedicated Iberian conferences of the year. The event generated 47 feedbacks, 6 target price revisions (including 4 downgrades), and a rating downgrade for Ence. The main topics of discussion were the impact of US tariffs and a weak USD on industrial companies, concerns about final demand in Europe and the US, and the sustainability of Spain’s ec...
2Q'25 vs. 2Q'24 Results Sales: € 115.9 M (-35.5%); EBITDA: € -30.1 M (€ 20.8 M in 1H'24); 1H'25 vs. 1H'24 Results Sales: € 270.1 M (-22.0%); EBITDA: € -16.5 M (€ 40.9 M in 1H'24); EBIT: € -37.0 M (vs. € 28.6 M in 1H’24); Net Profit: € -65.7 M (€ 14.6 M in 1H'24).
Rdos. 2T'25 vs 2T'24: Ventas: 115,9 M euros (-35,5%); EBITDA: -30,1 M euros (20,8 M euros en 1S'24); Rdos. 1S'25 vs 1S'24: Ventas: 270,1 M euros (-22,0%); EBITDA: -16,5 M euros (40,9 M euros en 1S'24); EBIT: -37,0 M euros (vs 28,6 M euros en 1S’24); BDI: -65,7 M euros (14,6 M euros en 1S'24).
NEWS SUMMARY: AENA, REPSOL, ROVI, SANTANDER, TALGO. Shutdown in the US Govt. European stock markets saw gains despite the US newsflow suggesting a government shutdown. In this regard, the Senate rejected the Republican party’s resolution which would have maintained Govt. financing through 21/11 as it did not include an extension to healthcare subsidies (Affordable Care Act), which could affect around 750,000 public jobs. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sector was Household, with the mixed...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AENA, REPSOL, ROVI, SANTANDER, TALGO. Shutdown en la administración estadounidense Avances en las bolsas europeas, que presentaron subidas a pesar de que las noticias desde EE.UU. ya apuntaban a un cierre del gobierno. En este sentido, el Senado rechazó la resolución republicana que habría mantenido la financiación del gobierno hasta el 21/11 al no incluir la extensión de los subsidios sanitarios (Affordable Care Act), lo que podría afectar a unos ...
NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, BANKING SECTOR, INDRA, PHARMA SECTOR. Rate cuts lose steam European stock markets fell, as the strong US employment data and the latest comments from the Fed have cooled the likelihood of seeing the amount of rate cuts the market expects (fed fund futures through Dec’25 rising to 3.76%). Thus, in the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Basic Materials and Retail, whereas Pharma and Construction suffered the biggest drops. On the macro side, in the euro zone August’s M...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, INDRA, SECTOR BANCARIO, SECTOR FARMA. EUROPA: INTESA SAN PAOLO, UNICREDIT. Las bajadas de tipos pierden fuerza Caídas en las bolsas europeas, ya que la fortaleza en los datos de empleo americanos y los últimos comentarios desde la Fed enfrían las probabilidades de ver las bajadas de tipos que el mercado espera (futuros de los fed funds a dic’25 corrigen al alza hasta el 3,76%). Así, en el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores fueron R. Básicos y Ret...
NEWS SUMMARY: N/A. Whether inflation will not rise or whether the Fed will be forced to cut rates in September is not so clear anymore The release of July’s industrial production prices, speeding up significantly more than expected, suggests that companies are indeed seeing the inflationary pressure from tariffs but not yet passed on to final prices, which could also have a negative impact on their margins in the 3Q’25. Following the data release, with weekly jobless claims also easing slightl...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: N/A Igual ya no está tan claro que la inflación no vaya a subir o que la Fed tenga que bajar tipos en septiembre La publicación del Precio de la Producción Industrial de julio en EE.UU., acelerándose sensiblemente más de lo esperado, apunta a que las empresas sí estarían sintiendo ya las presiones inflacionistas de los aranceles, pero que todavía no las han trasladado a los precios finales, lo que además podría incidir negativamente en sus márgenes en 3T’25...
NEWS SUMMARY: N/A. Greater expectations of rate cuts fuel stock markets Following the good inflation data released in the US, the Secretary of the Treasury, Scott Bessent, demanded new rate cuts of more than 150bps this year, starting with -50bps in September (R. Bostic, Fed member, stated he would see a -25bps cut appropriate in 2025 and thanks to the strength of the job market the Fed could still wait before cutting rates). Against this backdrop and in the absence of additional references, th...
NEWS SUMMARY: ROVI, TALGO. A transition session awaiting the US inflation data It was a transition session with flat stock markets or with slight corrections and without practically any volume and macroeconomic references, awaiting the release of July’s inflation in the US today (main reference this week) amid some fears about a rise in inflation as tariffs are passed on to prices, which could delay the rate cuts expected in September in the US. Thus, in Europe in the STOXX 600 defensive sector...
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