Last week we attended the 2025 edition of the Semicon West conference, the key event for investors focused on the semiconductor equipment market. Over two days we hosted more than a dozen meetings with companies across the semiconductor value chain. Here are our key takeaways.
Les prix de la mémoire ont progressé de 15% sur un mois et de ~30% YTD. Cela reflète une forte tension sur l’offre alors que la demande IA est plus élevée qu’attendu. Les stocks de mémoires sont, par ailleurs, au plus bas, ouvrant la voie en 2026 à un supercycle, tiré par l’IA mais aussi par l’intégration de l’Edge AI dans les smartphones/PC. Un marché des semis à ~+15/20% en 2026 est crédible dans ce contexte. Dans notre couverture, cela devrait d’abord bénéficier à ASML, VAT, Siltronic, ASMi e...
Memory prices have risen by 15% m-o-m and by ~30% since the start of 2025. This reflects a tight supply situation, with demand for AI stronger than expected. Memory inventories are also at an all-time low, paving the way for a super cycle in 2026, driven by AI but also by the integration of Edge AI in smartphones/PCs. A semis market at ~+15-20% in 2026 is a credible scenario in this context. In our coverage, this should first benefit ASML, VAT, Siltronic, ASMi and SUSS (Outperform vs Neutral), f...
ASML appoints next Chief Technology Officer ASML appoints next Chief Technology Officer Marco Pieters appointed ASML Chief Technology Officer ASML Supervisory Board intends to reappoint CFO Roger Dassen and COO Frédéric Schneider-Maunoury, and to appoint CTO Marco Pieters to the Board of Management as of the April 2026 AGM VELDHOVEN, The Netherlands, October 9, 2025 – ASML Holding NV (ASML) today announced the appointment of Marco Pieters as Executive Vice President and Chief Technology Officer, reporting to President and Chief Executive Officer, Christophe Fouquet. With over 25 years of...
We published earlier this week our updated view on the Semicap rally, looking at the implication of AI spending tripling by 2030 for WFE spending. Today, we publish a follow-up looking at the implications of the $3tn AI bull case for Semicap on a single slide.
Ageas: AG Real Estate looking to reduce exposure to Interparking, lower capital charges. Air France-KLM: 3Q25 a bit light? ASML: Preview 3Q25, riding the AI wave. Barco: Preview 3Q25, self-help offsets macro headwind. D'Ieteren: Belron starts to roll out static mobile recalibration. Euronext: September's seasonal recovery. Tessenderlo More focus on capital allocation and returns. TomTom: Preview 3Q25, Cost cutting offsets slow markets. Umicore: Gold inventory sale-and-lease-back
NEWS SUMMARY: ECOENER, FERROVIAL, INDRA, MAPFRE, NATURGY, OHLA, SACYR, UNICAJA. Risk of snap election in France Most European stock markets fell, with the French CAC performing the worst due to the political instability of Macron’s Govt. In the STOXX 600, Energy (Brent rallied after OPEC+ “only” raised production by 137,000 b/d), Technology (boosted by the agreement between AMD and OpenAI) and Insurance led the gains, while Consumer Goods, Banks and Chemicals suffered the biggest drops. On the ...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ECOENER, FERROVIAL, INDRA, MAPFRE, NATURGY, SACYR, OHLA, UNICAJA. Riesgo de elecciones anticipadas en Francia Recortes en la mayoría de bolsas de Europa y con peor comportamiento del CAC francés por la inestabilidad política del ejecutivo de E. Macron. En el STOXX 600 dirigieron las subidas Energía (el Brent rebotó después de que la OPEP+ incrementase sólo 137.000 b/d), Tecnología (impulsado por el acuerdo entre AMD y OpenAI) y Seguros mientras qu...
The outlook for AI spending has strengthened in recent months, driving a rally in Semicap stocks. Our forecast embeds AI capex tripling by 2030, requiring ~$130bn of cumulative WFE spending, but driven by the first-order derivative of AI deployments, i.e. peak acceleration this year and peak spending next year; a trajectory in expectations already and resulting in a weak outlook beyond 2026. With near-term uncertainty, limited upside to 2026 forecasts, and valuations 2–12 turns above historic ...
The fifth ODDO BHF Iberian Forum was held virtually, gathering 62 Iberian issuers and close to 200 institutional investors, making it one of the largest dedicated Iberian conferences of the year. The event generated 47 feedbacks, 6 target price revisions (including 4 downgrades), and a rating downgrade for Ence. The main topics of discussion were the impact of US tariffs and a weak USD on industrial companies, concerns about final demand in Europe and the US, and the sustainability of Spain’s ec...
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